2022-02-08 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1820

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.65%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

66.9%

in alpha space · 73.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.55%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0314	0.032163	+2.43%	0.02578	-17.90%	0.1217	✗	0.89	7.0M	2022-03-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.1	20.5718	+2.35%	14	-30.35%	0.1932	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068059	0.069455	+2.05%	0.059896	-11.99%	0.0482	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.09377	+2.03%	0.068	-26.01%	0.1841	✗	1.23	244k	2022-03-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.809	0.824166	+1.87%	0.618	-23.61%	0.1664	✗	1.09	1.7M	2022-03-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.29	7.4187	+1.77%	6.04	-17.15%	0.1698	✗	0.32	1.1M	2022-03-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	133.82	136.0744	+1.68%	102.58	-23.34%	0.1377	✗	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04533	0.04606	+1.61%	0.03918	-13.57%	0.0376	✗	1.11	30k	2022-03-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	335.57	340.8574	+1.58%	289.59	-13.70%	0.0497	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01315	0.01334	+1.44%	0.01203	-8.52%	0.0147	✗	0.79	12k	2022-03-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5288	0.535976	+1.36%	0.2987	-43.51%	0.4186	✗	1.49	2.2M	2022-03-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.15	16.3434	+1.20%	12.75	-21.05%	0.1315	✗	1.05	604k	2022-03-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3589	2.3815	+0.96%	1.6882	-28.43%	0.2120	✗	1.18	845k	2022-03-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.78	2.8059	+0.93%	1.512	-45.61%	0.5154	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.08	27.3308	+0.93%	27.97	+3.29%	0.1304	✓	0.96	543k	2022-03-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01176	0.011858	+0.84%	0.00902	-23.30%	0.1615	✗	1.00	588k	2022-03-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,914.50	43,211.47	+0.69%	39,505.90	-7.94%	0.0177	✓	0.96	41k	2022-03-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04001	0.040284	+0.68%	0.01693	-57.69%	0.7426	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.58	114.3245	+0.66%	82.92	-26.99%	0.1832	✗	1.24	182.7M	2022-03-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.692	6.7344	+0.63%	4.672	-30.19%	0.2650	✗	0.90	81k	2022-03-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2609	+0.48%	1.12	-50.22%	0.5708	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.371	0.372573	+0.42%	0.266	-28.30%	0.1863	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05908	0.059326	+0.42%	0.0474	-19.77%	0.0648	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022305	0.022398	+0.42%	0.01703	-23.65%	0.1391	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.6527	+0.40%	5.2	-7.64%	0.0030	✓	0.78	377k	2022-03-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	66.79	67.0251	+0.35%	46.78	-29.96%	0.2239	✗	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1243	0.124563	+0.21%	0.0821	-33.95%	0.2433	✗	1.56	1.5M	2022-03-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8111	6.8198	+0.13%	6.3304	-7.06%	0.0248	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92382	0.92468	+0.09%	0.68631	-25.71%	0.1333	✗	1.48	311k	2022-03-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.422	1.4229	+0.06%	1.175	-17.37%	0.0533	✗	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.72	9.724	+0.04%	8.5	-12.55%	0.0094	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10219	0.102172	-0.02%	0.08882	-13.08%	0.0225	✓	1.05	49k	2022-03-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01184	0.01183	-0.08%	0.00985	-16.81%	0.0320	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,119.57	3,116.27	-0.11%	2,608.22	-16.39%	0.0546	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-03-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.95	6.9417	-0.12%	7.54	+8.49%	0.1725	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.955	-0.13%	3.473	-12.30%	0.0105	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.557	0.556013	-0.18%	0.386	-30.70%	0.2053	✓	1.43	4.6M	2022-03-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1858	0.185366	-0.23%	0.1369	-26.32%	0.2236	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.283	0.282249	-0.27%	0.23	-18.73%	0.0984	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.62	47.4856	-0.28%	42.28	-11.21%	0.0559	✗	1.54	504k	2022-03-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.344	1.3401	-0.29%	1.0319	-23.22%	0.1465	✓	1.03	292k	2022-03-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4741	0.472713	-0.29%	0.3255	-31.34%	0.2266	✓	1.31	9.3M	2022-03-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3065	0.305583	-0.30%	0.2025	-33.93%	0.2393	✓	1.54	4.1M	2022-03-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	133.12	132.7087	-0.31%	157.3	+18.16%	0.3117	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-03-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1764	1.1727	-0.31%	0.807	-31.40%	0.2501	✓	1.11	113.2M	2022-03-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.854	-0.32%	1.374	-26.13%	0.1603	✓	1.25	1.6M	2022-03-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.0785	7.0553	-0.33%	6.006	-15.15%	0.0000	✓	1.44	179k	2022-03-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.237	20.159	-0.39%	18.083	-10.64%	0.0408	✗	1.34	10.5M	2022-03-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,085.59	43,910.20	-0.40%	39,433.71	-10.55%	0.0040	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-03-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.045	1.0408	-0.40%	0.827	-20.86%	0.0775	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5159	3.4984	-0.50%	2.8775	-18.16%	0.0737	✓	1.09	2.5M	2022-03-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2693	1.2618	-0.59%	1.1927	-6.04%	0.0757	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.78	2.7632	-0.60%	2.2	-20.86%	0.1147	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.561	2.5453	-0.61%	2.141	-16.40%	0.0555	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.44	100.803	-0.63%	78.54	-22.57%	0.1488	✓	0.90	1.5M	2022-03-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	112.75	112.0309	-0.64%	104.65	-7.18%	0.0582	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-03-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.311779	-0.68%	0.2624	-16.41%	0.0487	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8682	1.854	-0.76%	2.1814	+16.76%	0.2847	✗	1.09	78k	2022-03-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.13	6.0797	-0.82%	4.46	-27.24%	0.1938	✓	1.04	867k	2022-03-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0791	1.0701	-0.83%	0.7156	-33.69%	0.2304	✓	1.54	680k	2022-03-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.578	4.5376	-0.88%	4.112	-10.18%	0.0061	✓	0.83	346k	2022-03-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.768	-0.91%	6.06	-11.27%	0.0129	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1163	0.115239	-0.91%	0.0965	-17.02%	0.0612	✓	1.04	35k	2022-03-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.95	11.8178	-1.11%	8.68	-27.36%	0.1618	✓	1.32	12.9M	2022-03-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.41	190.2569	-1.12%	126.53	-34.24%	0.2733	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.681804	0.674134	-1.12%	0.503035	-26.22%	0.1648	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.06	31.6738	-1.20%	26.7	-16.72%	0.0531	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08606	0.085017	-1.21%	0.07709	-10.42%	0.0133	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.51	6.431	-1.21%	7.407	+13.78%	0.2510	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.641	3.5943	-1.28%	2.69	-26.12%	0.1927	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.81	6.7203	-1.32%	4.08	-40.09%	0.3766	✓	1.10	789k	2022-03-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2815	0.277624	-1.38%	0.2216	-21.28%	0.1054	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1583	0.155978	-1.47%	0.116797	-26.22%	0.1748	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009444	0.000093028	-1.50%	0.00008054	-14.72%	0.0169	✓	1.14	5.5M	2022-03-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1335	0.131457	-1.53%	0.1198	-10.26%	0.0600	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-03-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2258	0.222245	-1.57%	0.1964	-13.02%	0.0311	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2095	-1.58%	2.591	-20.55%	0.1241	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.19	2.1553	-1.59%	1.67	-23.74%	0.1105	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.19	1.1708	-1.61%	0.979	-17.73%	0.0311	✓	1.33	523k	2022-03-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.847	2.7996	-1.66%	3.236	+13.66%	0.2941	✗	1.34	1.1M	2022-03-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.791	1.7608	-1.69%	1.536	-14.24%	0.0086	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.39	45.5643	-1.78%	40.75	-12.16%	0.0183	✗	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.82	30.2624	-1.81%	24.22	-21.41%	0.0564	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-03-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0239	1.0053	-1.81%	0.7308	-28.63%	0.1965	✓	1.10	29.4M	2022-03-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00724	0.007107	-1.84%	0.00366	-49.45%	0.4409	✓	2.00	20.0M	2022-03-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.68	21.2798	-1.85%	16.97	-21.73%	0.0759	✓	1.35	39.2M	2022-03-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1638	0.16075	-1.86%	0.1518	-7.33%	0.0589	✗	1.04	362k	2022-03-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	147.49	144.7319	-1.87%	116.66	-20.90%	0.1040	✓	1.00	7.8M	2022-03-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.215	5.1061	-2.09%	4.2989	-17.57%	0.0357	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.242394	0.237175	-2.15%	0.178633	-26.30%	0.1691	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-03-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.6	24.0671	-2.17%	17.9	-27.24%	0.1631	✓	1.19	10.5M	2022-03-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076888	-2.18%	0.0702	-10.69%	0.0301	✗	1.09	21k	2022-03-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.632	7.4628	-2.22%	4.75	-37.76%	0.3401	✓	1.00	460k	2022-03-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.23	16.8382	-2.27%	13.72	-20.37%	0.1269	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.084507	-2.30%	0.0684	-20.92%	0.0573	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6264	0.611825	-2.33%	0.6973	+11.32%	0.2776	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-03-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1789	1.1501	-2.45%	0.928	-21.28%	0.0516	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9872	0.962429	-2.51%	0.732	-25.85%	0.1576	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.45	84.26	-2.53%	73.95	-14.46%	0.0195	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.2035	-2.55%	10.26	-2.01%	0.0834	✗	0.70	660k	2022-03-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5194	3.4281	-2.59%	2.8703	-18.44%	0.0715	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.4	17.8831	-2.81%	13.18	-28.37%	0.1725	✓	1.19	76.9M	2022-03-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	179	173.9568	-2.82%	178.98	-0.01%	0.1441	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3	2.9145	-2.85%	1.79	-40.33%	0.3444	✓	1.28	407k	2022-03-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	184.15	178.7694	-2.92%	119.26	-35.24%	0.2494	✓	1.39	9.8M	2022-03-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.11	2.0451	-3.07%	1.33	-36.97%	0.2871	✓	1.28	1.3M	2022-03-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0273	-3.09%	0.91	-14.15%	0.0097	✓	1.00	287k	2022-03-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.22	55.442	-3.11%	101.21	+76.88%	0.7586	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.3529	-3.20%	4.473	-19.11%	0.0441	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-03-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	147.97	143.0885	-3.30%	103.46	-30.08%	0.1819	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04912	0.047497	-3.30%	0.040695	-17.15%	0.0236	✓	1.17	8.8M	2022-03-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7515	0.726109	-3.38%	0.4164	-44.59%	0.3852	✓	1.53	969k	2022-03-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.85	3.7198	-3.38%	5.224	+35.69%	0.3753	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.99	25.1086	-3.39%	18.43	-29.09%	0.1341	✓	1.57	405k	2022-03-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5993	0.578913	-3.40%	0.5014	-16.34%	0.0245	✓	1.07	1.3M	2022-03-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.65	8.3523	-3.44%	5.7	-34.10%	0.3441	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-03-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.1782	-3.62%	1.201	-46.86%	0.4421	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22456	0.21632	-3.67%	0.15896	-29.21%	0.1311	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.166	2.0837	-3.80%	1.676	-22.62%	0.1062	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.653	8.3009	-4.07%	5.737	-33.70%	0.3338	✓	0.32	38k	2022-03-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003097	0.000029696	-4.11%	0.00002262	-26.96%	0.1170	✓	1.39	1.4M	2022-03-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01536	0.014681	-4.42%	0.01209	-21.29%	0.0275	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0344	0.032867	-4.46%	0.02397	-30.32%	0.1480	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3927	4.1821	-4.80%	3.0579	-30.39%	0.1667	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5442	0.517641	-4.88%	0.3311	-39.16%	0.2460	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.2515	-4.93%	2.046	-40.18%	0.3084	✓	1.39	20.8M	2022-03-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4688	3.2962	-4.97%	2.3707	-31.66%	0.2207	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-03-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016889	0.015959	-5.50%	0.011453	-32.19%	0.2007	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	101.7616	95.9714	-5.69%	51.3064	-49.58%	0.4683	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	0.988374	-5.87%	0.61	-41.90%	0.2669	✓	1.93	1.0M	2022-03-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.69	1.587	-6.10%	1.51	-10.65%	0.0618	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.65	4.3653	-6.12%	2.98	-35.91%	0.2297	✓	1.36	8.3M	2022-03-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000225	0.000002109	-6.27%	0.00000181	-19.56%	0.0414	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-03-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.6711	3.4391	-6.32%	2.155	-41.30%	0.3698	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,530.13	23,867.79	-6.51%	19,059.42	-25.35%	0.1198	✓	0.94	11.8M	2022-03-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.02	21.4779	-6.70%	16.62	-27.80%	0.1282	✓	1.15	26.9M	2022-03-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.42	28.2833	-7.02%	28.05	-7.79%	0.1155	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.07401	-7.37%	0.0588	-26.41%	0.0451	✓	1.66	27.8M	2022-03-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9181	1.7758	-7.42%	2.7676	+44.29%	0.5122	✗	0.61	2.9M	2022-03-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	7.5798	7.012	-7.49%	5.8363	-23.00%	0.1494	✓	0.31	389k	2022-03-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.319	1.2125	-8.08%	1.4191	+7.59%	0.3290	✗	1.54	106k	2022-03-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.111755	-9.14%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0680	✓	1.00	81k	2022-03-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8556	0.756334	-11.60%	0.4126	-51.78%	0.4000	✓	1.85	1.8M	2022-03-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	1.9691	-11.70%	1.6	-28.25%	0.0961	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04628	0.040081	-13.39%	0.04023	-13.07%	0.1152	✓	1.00	5.0M	2022-03-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.034271	0.029633	-13.53%	0.015274	-55.43%	0.5230	✓	1.25	114k	2022-03-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3504	1.1422	-15.42%	0.7483	-44.59%	0.3114	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-03-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.831	4.6242	-20.70%	2.532	-56.58%	0.4908	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.