2022-02-03 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1944

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

91.2%

in alpha space · 1.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+11.48%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006116	-0.06%	0.00663	+8.33%	0.1721	✓	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-04
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9369	-0.09%	15.13	+8.46%	0.0263	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-04
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080604	-0.12%	0.0871	+7.93%	0.0552	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-04
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.1801	-0.12%	8.72	+6.47%	0.0797	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-04
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039441	-0.12%	0.04226	+7.01%	0.0510	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-04
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.4372	-0.13%	51.33	+5.84%	0.0708	✓	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-04
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	281.0933	-0.13%	306.37	+8.85%	0.0269	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-04
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.1129	-0.14%	5.44	+6.25%	0.0518	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-04
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7644	-0.15%	6.123	+6.06%	0.0319	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-04
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.716896	-0.15%	0.772	+7.52%	0.0422	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-04
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.371019	-0.16%	0.41	+10.33%	0.0816	✓	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-04
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0738	-0.16%	2.207	+6.25%	0.0699	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-04
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	124.7933	-0.17%	132.7	+6.16%	0.0812	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-04
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.849069	-0.17%	0.9113	+7.15%	0.1278	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-04
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6405	-0.17%	6.47	+14.51%	0.0347	✗	0.94	832k	2022-02-04
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.1592	-0.17%	6.43	+4.21%	0.0438	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-04
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012338	-0.18%	0.01363	+10.28%	0.0045	✗	0.87	13k	2022-02-04
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040557	-0.18%	0.04407	+8.47%	0.0380	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-04
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.3787	-0.18%	88.7362	+19.09%	0.0364	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-04
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	37,140.87	-0.19%	40,457.70	+8.73%	0.0232	✓	1.00	51k	2022-02-04
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009332	-0.19%	0.0106	+13.37%	0.0124	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-04
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	89.6281	-0.19%	95.61	+6.47%	0.0375	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-04
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.442612	-0.20%	0.4872	+9.85%	0.0596	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-04
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.6103	-0.21%	43.19	+11.63%	0.0621	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-04
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.1132	-0.21%	7.996	+12.18%	0.0905	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-04
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.029119	-0.21%	0.03121	+6.96%	0.0250	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-04
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.405835	-0.21%	0.4406	+8.34%	0.0639	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-04
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.284686	-0.22%	0.3098	+8.59%	0.0931	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-04
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.32728	-0.22%	0.352	+7.32%	0.0753	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-04
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000076231	-0.22%	0.00008267	+8.21%	0.0425	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-04
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.3133	-0.22%	29.67	+16.95%	0.0205	✓	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-04
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1516	-0.22%	1.2494	+8.25%	0.0285	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-04
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.7713	-0.22%	121.42	+9.37%	0.0556	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-04
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.872039	-0.22%	0.978	+11.90%	0.0344	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-04
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.23557	-0.22%	0.2513	+6.44%	0.0623	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-04
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.10616	-0.23%	0.1207	+13.44%	0.0334	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-04
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.378	-0.23%	20.65	+12.11%	0.0828	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-04
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061458	-0.23%	0.0663	+7.63%	0.0642	✓	1.29	548k	2022-02-04
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3722	-0.23%	3.84	+13.61%	0.0060	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-04
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	6.0708	-0.23%	6.454	+6.06%	0.0508	✓	1.03	341k	2022-02-04
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.291	-0.23%	1.458	+12.67%	0.0138	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-04
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	162.3713	-0.24%	180.53	+10.92%	0.0224	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-04
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	101.6851	-0.24%	112.69	+10.56%	0.0290	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-04
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009916	-0.24%	0.01084	+9.05%	0.0546	✓	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-04
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.3647	-0.24%	11.18	+7.60%	0.0704	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-04
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.18345	-0.24%	0.2023	+10.01%	0.0472	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-04
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.0597	-0.25%	0.06445	+7.69%	0.0237	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-04
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6558	-0.26%	1.77	+6.63%	0.0745	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-04
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0583	-0.26%	1.1398	+7.43%	0.0513	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-04
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.7569	-0.26%	107.21	+6.13%	0.0827	✓	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-04
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	68.3115	-0.26%	77.91	+13.75%	0.0171	✓	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-04
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.475256	-0.26%	0.5318	+11.61%	0.0967	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-04
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.082	-0.26%	6.8761	+12.76%	0.0341	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-04
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.1135	-0.26%	0.1262	+10.90%	0.0392	✓	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-04
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.2288	-0.27%	21.99	+14.06%	0.0358	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-04
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1561	-0.27%	5.39	+4.26%	0.0381	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-04
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.036006	-0.27%	0.0408	+13.01%	0.0103	✓	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-04
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4334	-0.27%	2.65	+8.61%	0.0255	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-04
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	94.9715	-0.27%	103.07	+8.23%	0.0465	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-04
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.194524	-0.27%	0.209216	+7.26%	0.0394	✓	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-04
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010231	-0.28%	0.01119	+9.06%	0.0229	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-04
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.03201	-0.28%	0.0408	+27.10%	0.0857	✗	1.44	490k	2022-02-04
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.823967	-0.28%	0.89908	+8.81%	0.1000	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-04
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.1011	-0.29%	3.43	+10.29%	0.0588	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-04
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253271	-0.29%	0.27	+6.30%	0.0385	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-04
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.82841	-0.29%	0.964	+16.03%	0.0050	✓	1.44	99k	2022-02-04
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.3111	-0.29%	21.63	+6.19%	0.0679	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-04
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.615283	-0.29%	0.6793	+10.08%	0.0682	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-04
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053462	-0.30%	0.05692	+6.15%	0.0918	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-04
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.6928	-0.30%	6.19	+8.41%	0.0366	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-04
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.6101	-0.30%	2.734	+4.43%	0.1165	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-04
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.93315	-0.30%	0.9987	+6.70%	0.0594	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-04
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,689.30	-0.31%	2,998.19	+11.14%	0.0112	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-04
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.8718	-0.31%	20.51	+8.35%	0.0683	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-04
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.102384	-0.31%	0.1096	+6.72%	0.0411	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-04
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.657945	-0.31%	0.8	+21.21%	0.0085	✓	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-04
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.1009	-0.31%	6.46	+5.56%	0.0375	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-04
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.2473	-0.31%	8.01	+10.18%	0.0686	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-04
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6896	-0.32%	1.823	+7.55%	0.0612	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-04
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.2002	-0.32%	3.373	+5.06%	0.0673	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-04
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,210.15	-0.32%	41,614.64	+11.48%	0.0032	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-04
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.13742	-0.33%	0.147947	+7.31%	0.0413	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-04
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020682	-0.33%	0.0000222	+6.99%	0.0812	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-04
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4818	-0.33%	2.71	+8.84%	0.0451	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-04
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.541799	-0.33%	0.5902	+8.57%	0.0576	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-04
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092896	-0.34%	0.09859	+5.77%	0.0532	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-04
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.176894	-0.34%	0.1886	+6.25%	0.0105	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-04
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.1218	-0.34%	4.373	+5.73%	0.0306	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-04
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075767	-0.35%	0.08239	+8.37%	0.0032	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-04
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	152.3299	-0.35%	166.87	+9.17%	0.0628	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-04
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6222	-0.35%	1.7925	+10.12%	0.0189	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-04
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.2533	-0.35%	17.51	+7.36%	0.0589	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-04
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.378	-0.35%	29.4	+25.32%	0.1426	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-04
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.7803	-0.36%	29.7	+6.53%	0.0511	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-04
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.7088	-0.36%	7.0386	+4.54%	0.0541	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-04
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.7085	-0.36%	4.9837	+5.46%	0.0847	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-04
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.3966	-0.37%	14.97	+3.60%	0.0373	✓	0.70	879k	2022-02-04
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.883	-0.37%	2.1	+11.11%	0.0328	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-04
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0324	-0.37%	2.14	+4.90%	0.1151	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-04
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.8581	-0.38%	19.447	+8.48%	0.0783	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-04
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038133	-0.38%	0.039645	+3.57%	0.1301	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-04
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	42.6051	-0.39%	46.03	+7.62%	0.0560	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-04
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	146.3146	-0.39%	165.31	+12.54%	0.0133	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-04
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0739	-0.39%	4.47	+9.29%	0.0586	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-04
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.065435	-0.40%	0.0704	+7.15%	0.0464	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-04
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0854	-0.41%	1.172	+7.54%	0.0612	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-04
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020263	-0.41%	0.0224	+10.10%	0.0122	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-04
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0773	-0.41%	3.234	+4.66%	0.0389	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-04
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8516	-0.41%	7.38	+7.27%	0.0475	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-04
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0939	-0.43%	5.1583	+25.46%	0.2306	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-04
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7276	-0.43%	5.748	+21.06%	0.0868	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-04
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.610791	-0.45%	0.647332	+5.50%	0.0737	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-04
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3845	-0.46%	3.57	+5.00%	0.0280	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-04
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.9957	-0.46%	54.06	+5.52%	0.1297	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-04
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014592	-0.47%	0.016562	+12.96%	0.0010	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-04
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2392	-0.48%	2.29	+1.78%	0.1347	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-04
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.524	-0.48%	9.89	+3.34%	0.0447	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-04
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.193875	-0.48%	0.20472	+5.08%	0.1228	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-04
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.7087	-0.49%	22.27	+7.02%	0.0590	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-04
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0648	-0.49%	5.53	+8.64%	0.0484	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-04
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,502.88	-0.50%	24,905.44	+5.44%	0.0480	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-04
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.138307	-0.50%	0.1601	+15.18%	0.0378	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-04
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0761	-0.50%	3.186	+3.05%	0.0769	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-04
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6676	-0.51%	2.8185	+5.12%	0.0491	✓	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-04
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.29139	-0.52%	0.3064	+4.61%	0.0746	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-04
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1989	-0.57%	1.2609	+4.57%	0.0582	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.4218	-0.58%	1.55	+8.39%	0.0223	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-04
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1558	-0.59%	3.4217	+7.79%	0.0129	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-04
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.118285	-0.60%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0615	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-04
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.8124	-0.61%	4.0141	+4.65%	0.0988	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-04
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3515	-0.61%	2.495	+5.45%	0.0579	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-04
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.944095	-0.62%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0412	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-04
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002057	-0.62%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0280	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-04
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.522674	-0.63%	0.543	+3.23%	0.1289	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-04
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9973	-0.63%	2.1	+4.48%	0.0585	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.557608	-0.64%	0.5994	+6.81%	0.0548	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.921665	-0.67%	0.9567	+3.10%	0.0844	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-04
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.4309	-0.73%	3.56	+3.01%	0.0591	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-04
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.6171	-0.73%	1.721	+5.65%	0.0653	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.047667	-0.80%	0.05094	+6.01%	0.0422	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-04
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	133.8722	-0.95%	134.25	-0.67%	0.1095	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-04
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.419	-1.01%	31.13	+4.74%	0.0730	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-04
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.07707	-1.07%	0.0798	+2.44%	0.2397	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-04
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	2.008	-1.14%	2.0881	+2.80%	0.0391	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-04
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0473	-1.22%	1.1073	+4.44%	0.1118	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-04
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2187	-1.72%	1.24	+0.00%	0.1397	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-04
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.3237	-1.96%	3	-11.50%	0.2633	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-04

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.