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2022-02-01 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2260
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.2%
in alpha space · 60.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3654.6258-13.78%3.084-42.52%0.4978✓1.001.4M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20441.0471-13.06%0.865-28.18%0.2835✓1.003.0M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048290.04354-9.84%0.03435-28.87%0.3295✓1.005.4M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52960.487188-8.01%0.3687-30.38%0.4524✓1.8848.9M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0679-7.27%1.92-13.90%0.1666✓1.003.1M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.12442-6.45%0.118-11.28%0.1454✓1.00133k2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0426170.03995-6.26%0.020258-52.46%0.8158✓1.48163k2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.463.244-6.24%2.508-27.51%0.3921✓1.4624.0M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.8627.3231-5.33%34.01+17.84%0.1122✗1.15120.6M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.1209-5.27%3.3-24.14%0.3516✓1.408.9M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.067.6505-5.08%6.34-21.34%0.2142✓0.291.8M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55750.532748-4.44%0.5501-1.33%0.0762✓1.171.8M2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43270.41417-4.28%0.4722+9.13%0.0165✓1.602.0M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03580.034273-4.27%0.0283-20.95%0.3274✓1.47540k2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1519.3756-3.84%19.97-0.89%0.0878✓1.2834.3M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,472.1824,512.86-3.77%21,698.86-14.81%0.2093✓0.9515.1M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08610.082911-3.70%0.0637-26.02%0.5029✓2.5925.7M2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.031.9631-3.30%1.545-23.89%0.3809✓1.534.2M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.20913.1159-2.90%2.2899-28.64%0.3917✓0.9123k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 252.2150.7097-2.87%90.56+73.45%0.4238✗1.698.8M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.375.2217-2.76%3.808-29.09%0.4354✓1.303.0M2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0527.8555-2.44%6.363-20.98%0.2332✓0.2441k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3373.2625-2.23%2.941-11.87%0.1828✓0.86819k2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151730.014841-2.19%0.011953-21.22%0.3250✓1.182.7M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.25894.1687-2.12%5.6206+31.97%0.2989✗-0.00375k2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum45.244.2766-2.04%44.86-0.75%0.1012✓1.2439.5M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.89914.8041-1.94%4.2636-12.97%0.2350✓1.25406k2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.51.471-1.93%1.21-19.33%0.2877✓1.001.8M2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87421.8384-1.91%2.773+47.96%0.3440✗0.733.1M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase76.287475.0304-1.65%66.5878-12.71%0.2371✓1.27383k2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28260.277988-1.63%0.2824-0.07%0.0906✓1.15557k2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9420.6085-1.58%19.77-5.59%0.1883✓1.59465k2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6115-1.45%2.04-23.02%0.3595✓1.22577k2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.60481.5817-1.43%2.1075+31.33%0.1837✗1.1282k2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.30870.304304-1.42%0.2283-26.04%0.4367✓1.624.2M2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.9525-1.39%1.85-6.57%0.1746✓1.312.5M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1545-1.32%1.176+0.51%0.1270✓1.57490k2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum164.05161.8948-1.31%129.96-20.78%0.3490✓1.4012.5M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83910.828822-1.22%0.7596-9.47%0.1914✓1.1316.8M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1253.0877-1.19%2.882-7.78%0.1442✓0.81299k2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.1661-1.18%7.63+22.28%0.1395✗0.80504k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.93646.8607-1.09%6.7949-2.04%0.0973✓0.954.3M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0624-1.08%2.95-4.71%0.1342✓1.052.0M2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero146.32144.7585-1.07%172.04+17.58%0.0785✗1.021.8M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.15121.139-1.06%1.0476-9.00%0.1778✓1.02346k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2284.1843-1.03%4.418+4.49%0.0206✓0.81351k2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18683.1547-1.01%2.9519-7.37%0.1707✓1.132.7M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum3.493.4556-0.99%3.962+13.52%0.0194✗1.272.5M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum1716.8355-0.97%14.89-12.41%0.2351✓1.2288.8M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11890.117789-0.93%0.095-20.10%0.3533✓1.501.7M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9670.958566-0.87%0.7967-17.61%0.2938✓1.1834.5M2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8371.8214-0.85%1.479-19.49%0.3228✓1.241.4M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.6726.4598-0.79%25.18-5.59%0.2027✓1.662.6M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.3503-0.76%16.42+13.55%0.0700✗0.70841k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6627-0.76%2.873+7.08%0.0652✓1.53986k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum128.16127.2124-0.74%116.89-8.79%0.2062✓1.3259k2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72310.717758-0.74%0.4943-31.64%0.5172✓1.561.2M2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.985.9378-0.71%9.598+60.50%0.3799✗1.092.1M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.18250.181242-0.69%0.146-20.00%0.2788✓0.68472k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11610.115314-0.68%0.1221+5.17%0.0657✓1.333.8M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206590.205192-0.68%0.16147-21.84%0.3896✓1.6225k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash97.2396.5859-0.66%96.75-0.49%0.1075✓1.182.9M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.49618.3885-0.58%19.526+5.57%0.0808✓1.5210.6M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04460.04435-0.56%0.01525-65.81%1.1701✓1.119.1M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058110.057788-0.55%0.05073-12.70%0.2622✓1.431.6M2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065448-0.54%0.0725+10.18%0.0000✓1.1121k2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2352-0.52%2.212-1.56%0.1111✓1.0922k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9220.8106-0.52%20.13-3.78%0.1454✓1.2112.4M2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.74793.7284-0.52%3.3937-9.45%0.2240✓1.412.5M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68032.6671-0.49%2.6368-1.62%0.1008✓0.973.1M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209540.02087-0.40%0.01877-10.42%0.2003✓1.023.0M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.375.3495-0.38%5.38+0.19%0.0625✓0.74429k2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum2.882.8693-0.37%1.46-49.31%0.8206✓1.572.2M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.843670.840679-0.35%0.7113-15.69%0.3271✓1.73458k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5251.5206-0.29%1.523-0.13%0.1100✓1.211.6M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.95490.953056-0.19%0.9796+2.59%0.1141✓1.531.9M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.65.5903-0.17%5.51-1.61%0.1116✓1.051.0M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9795.9721-0.12%5.584-6.61%0.1637✓1.04341k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5821330.581518-0.11%0.534619-8.16%0.1970✓1.223.3M2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1424890.14243-0.04%0.129579-9.06%0.1930✓1.077.1M2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.14751.1471-0.04%1.4091+22.80%0.0921✗1.232.4M2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5698-0.01%7.315+104.90%0.6989✗0.201.4M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4725.4768+0.03%30.05+17.98%0.0929✓0.78462k2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.5819.5898+0.05%18.03-7.92%0.2122✗1.4048.3M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3161.3169+0.07%1.174-10.79%0.2313✗1.263.5M2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.70062+0.09%0.72+2.86%0.1461✗1.881.1M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012830.012849+0.15%0.01236-3.66%0.1210✗0.8913k2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.255475+0.19%0.273+7.06%0.0221✗0.9667k2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2020280.202439+0.20%0.187901-6.99%0.1705✗1.0426.2M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,716.8838,805.99+0.23%42,464.41+9.68%0.0023✓1.00717.4M2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038340.038432+0.24%0.046937+22.42%0.0846✓1.259.4M2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.826.87+0.26%30.25+12.87%0.0174✓1.093.3M2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9585.9766+0.31%5.231-12.20%0.2119✗0.85118k2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2996+0.31%6.33+0.80%0.0755✗0.87529k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.010110.010142+0.31%0.00902-10.78%0.2134✗1.04565k2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009570.009601+0.32%0.01199+25.29%0.1023✓1.302.1M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.1040.104355+0.34%0.1029-1.06%0.1082✗1.0243k2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88340.886446+0.34%1.6497+86.74%0.4808✓1.52103k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14250.143006+0.36%0.1559+9.40%0.0049✗0.99337k2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.3773.6562+0.39%78.49+6.98%0.0609✗1.3587.3M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.030080.030199+0.40%0.02753-8.48%0.1760✗0.908.7M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase2.15182.1617+0.46%1.868-13.19%0.2607✗1.24888k2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.532.543+0.51%2.38-5.93%0.1602✗1.02697k2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.729.7703+0.52%10.07+3.60%0.0396✗0.76744k2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.6992.2056+0.56%83.45-8.99%0.1873✗0.951.6M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.276.3105+0.65%4.42-29.51%0.4435✗0.95835k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5650.569036+0.71%0.8058+42.62%0.2243✓1.342.7M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006840.006894+0.79%0.00456-33.33%0.6284✗2.3323.2M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0620.062498+0.80%0.0725+16.94%0.0271✓1.31556k2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1111.2039+0.85%9.55-14.04%0.2851✗1.3612.9M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano1.09651.106+0.87%0.9021-17.73%0.3099✗1.15113.2M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47370.47829+0.97%0.381-19.57%0.3568✗1.402.2M2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash98.97100.0502+1.09%129.17+30.51%0.1301✓1.366.6M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.18850.190644+1.14%0.1971+4.56%0.0908✗1.343.7M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration170.69172.6544+1.15%131.9-22.73%0.3788✗1.191.3M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,691.9039,147.12+1.18%42,572.60+10.03%0.0100✓1.0251k2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.248588+1.22%0.249+1.38%0.1067✗1.171.9M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089020.090127+1.24%0.09337+4.89%0.0655✗1.0946k2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4880.49407+1.24%0.448-8.20%0.2398✗1.544.7M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010180.01032+1.38%0.01001-1.67%0.1540✗1.341.6M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43930.445492+1.41%0.3647-16.98%0.3218✗1.3210.0M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,789.662,830.65+1.47%2,833.66+1.58%0.1014✗1.11560.6M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040340.040977+1.58%0.03967-1.66%0.1358✗1.1229k2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.666.7792+1.79%6.42-3.60%0.0757✗0.231.1M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000077220.000078698+1.91%0.00007449-3.54%0.1592✗1.135.7M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078360.079875+1.93%0.06983-10.89%0.2019✗0.7380k2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4754.5297+1.98%53.31-0.30%0.1302✗1.168.0M2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96520.985244+2.08%0.7864-18.52%0.3943✗1.83852k2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.6614.9713+2.12%13.32-9.14%0.2082✗0.99795k2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana110.1112.4537+2.14%95.61-13.16%0.2729✗1.20181.0M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase39.2140.0578+2.16%38.18-2.63%0.1978✗1.62626k2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.335421+2.26%0.295-10.06%0.2547✗1.371.8M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.332+2.48%9.34+14.88%0.0085✓1.332.8M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9320.956153+2.59%0.852-8.58%0.2428✗1.382.3M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.1566+2.70%1.24-40.95%0.6967✗1.552.3M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum104.95108.1206+3.02%127.04+21.05%0.0632✓1.067.5M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.95296.6966+3.04%315.29+9.49%0.0359✗1.056.8M2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.11118.6377+3.06%111.69-2.97%0.1855✗1.3533.8M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7560.781674+3.40%0.714-5.56%0.1895✗1.071.8M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.17976.391+3.42%6.3922+3.44%0.1350✗1.46174k2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.7595+3.50%1.437-15.47%0.3224✗1.302.1M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0598310.061968+3.57%0.060032+0.34%0.1179✗0.93411k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021760.000022556+3.66%0.00002507+15.21%0.0250✓1.411.6M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08220.086244+4.92%0.072-12.41%0.2948✗1.24299k2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.3820.4017+5.27%14.3-26.21%0.5255✗1.843.9M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.