2022-01-29 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2915

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+35.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.6%

in alpha space · 54.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.51	101.0657	+3.65%	115.74	+18.70%	0.0077	✓	1.04	7.3M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.58	50.6795	+2.22%	54.42	+9.76%	0.0722	✗	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.84	112.9795	+1.93%	113.82	+2.69%	0.1569	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.22	8.3581	+1.68%	9.33	+13.50%	0.0516	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.863766	+1.62%	1.236	+45.41%	0.1724	✓	1.51	523k	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	299.03	303.1874	+1.39%	339.27	+13.46%	0.0161	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0817	0.082689	+1.21%	0.073	-10.65%	0.2767	✗	1.24	317k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060341	0.060827	+0.81%	0.061786	+2.39%	0.1011	✗	0.95	460k	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.12	14.2262	+0.75%	14.2	+0.57%	0.1239	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.65	6.6943	+0.67%	6.6	-0.75%	0.0416	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3362	2.3516	+0.66%	1.9381	-17.04%	0.3461	✗	1.24	888k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	96.39	97.0198	+0.65%	118.68	+23.12%	0.0377	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03035	0.030491	+0.46%	0.02937	-3.23%	0.1524	✗	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4637	0.465274	+0.34%	0.3943	-14.97%	0.3355	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.73335	+0.32%	0.697	-4.65%	0.1868	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01015	0.010183	+0.32%	0.00968	-4.63%	0.1806	✗	1.06	593k	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.25	96.2947	+0.05%	99.74	+3.63%	0.1115	✗	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.93	5.9194	-0.18%	7.55	+27.32%	0.1468	✗	0.78	470k	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04089	0.040781	-0.27%	0.04194	+2.57%	0.1115	✓	1.13	30k	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.34	25.2644	-0.30%	30.53	+20.48%	0.0565	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4878	3.4746	-0.38%	5.9258	+69.90%	0.5364	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9616	5.9362	-0.43%	6.4925	+8.91%	0.0879	✓	1.44	221k	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.009976	-0.44%	0.01037	+3.49%	0.1253	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,603.74	2,590.84	-0.50%	2,923.08	+12.26%	0.0161	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0479	1.042	-0.56%	1.3278	+26.71%	0.0839	✗	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.001	5.9674	-0.56%	5.63	-6.18%	0.1609	✓	0.83	125k	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.64	41.3936	-0.59%	37.91	-8.96%	0.2839	✓	1.59	639k	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.333	0.331001	-0.60%	0.308	-7.51%	0.2426	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.251	0.249459	-0.61%	0.236	-5.98%	0.1742	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.16	5.1273	-0.63%	5.51	+6.78%	0.0175	✓	0.73	413k	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.07	19.9426	-0.63%	15.37	-23.42%	0.4870	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.154	1.146	-0.69%	1.0426	-9.65%	0.2188	✓	1.01	376k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.372	2.3551	-0.71%	2.8507	+20.18%	0.0750	✗	0.94	2.8M	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002166	0.000021499	-0.74%	0.00002579	+19.07%	0.0082	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.51	3.4812	-0.82%	3.934	+12.08%	0.0311	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.2957	-0.83%	4.85	-9.18%	0.2099	✓	0.99	978k	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,181.60	37,844.16	-0.88%	43,136.20	+12.98%	0.0061	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0636	0.062988	-0.96%	0.078	+22.64%	0.0382	✗	1.43	577k	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0653	0.064633	-1.02%	0.0695	+6.43%	0.0658	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.55	95.5212	-1.07%	100.51	+4.10%	0.0950	✓	1.19	3.0M	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08979	0.088825	-1.08%	0.09213	+2.61%	0.1109	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2425	0.239804	-1.11%	0.2454	+1.20%	0.1299	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.7	91.6288	-1.16%	88.67	-4.35%	0.1495	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039999	0.039517	-1.20%	0.049264	+23.16%	0.0692	✗	1.23	10.1M	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,191.10	37,730.76	-1.21%	43,192.66	+13.10%	0.0121	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007692	0.000075977	-1.23%	0.00007869	+2.30%	0.1027	✓	1.12	5.8M	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0603	1.0467	-1.29%	0.964	-9.08%	0.2213	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4104	0.405025	-1.31%	0.3772	-8.09%	0.2294	✓	1.29	10.2M	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.565434	0.557723	-1.36%	0.575051	+1.70%	0.1199	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1573	3.1133	-1.39%	3.1104	-1.49%	0.1362	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1205	0.118807	-1.40%	0.1612	+33.78%	0.1874	✗	0.96	312k	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9684	0.954772	-1.41%	0.823	-15.01%	0.3896	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0104	0.01025	-1.44%	0.01099	+5.67%	0.0876	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.72	1.695	-1.46%	1.505	-12.50%	0.2766	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.924	0.910102	-1.50%	0.877	-5.09%	0.2070	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.508	0.500351	-1.51%	0.461	-9.25%	0.2713	✓	1.54	5.2M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1844	0.181585	-1.53%	0.1925	+4.39%	0.1091	✓	1.36	3.9M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.128	6.0344	-1.53%	5.875	-4.13%	0.1487	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.245	2.2089	-1.61%	2.477	+10.33%	0.0189	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	171.16	168.4049	-1.61%	130.28	-23.88%	0.4046	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.24	15.9745	-1.63%	15.14	-6.77%	0.2037	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.542	17.2538	-1.64%	20.677	+17.87%	0.0055	✓	1.52	10.7M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01347	0.013245	-1.67%	0.01231	-8.61%	0.1852	✓	0.91	21k	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.4366	-1.67%	18.95	+1.07%	0.1421	✓	1.38	50.2M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.10813	-1.70%	0.0857	-22.09%	0.4179	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00723	0.007106	-1.72%	0.00439	-39.28%	0.7729	✓	2.37	22.6M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.2703	-1.72%	2.21	-4.33%	0.1727	✓	1.18	602k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5968	0.585919	-1.82%	0.5007	-16.10%	0.3461	✓	1.54	1.3M	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.06	120.7928	-1.84%	120.75	-1.88%	0.1574	✓	1.28	68k	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84787	0.832117	-1.86%	0.74117	-12.58%	0.3260	✓	1.71	610k	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.08	5.9649	-1.89%	6.6	+8.55%	0.0033	✓	0.85	503k	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.34	2.2956	-1.90%	1.36	-41.88%	0.7150	✓	1.56	2.4M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.15	12.8991	-1.91%	16.18	+23.04%	0.1425	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.121	0.118607	-1.98%	0.1303	+7.69%	0.0676	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.08	5.9594	-1.98%	7.228	+18.88%	0.0610	✗	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022029	0.021592	-1.98%	0.0214	-2.86%	0.1483	✓	1.13	3.2M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.24	25.6983	-2.06%	30.9	+17.76%	0.0882	✗	0.78	430k	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.73	20.2986	-2.08%	21.16	+2.07%	0.1513	✓	1.57	775k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.646157	-2.10%	0.75	+13.64%	0.0806	✓	1.87	1.2M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	154.04	150.7925	-2.11%	145.83	-5.33%	0.2012	✓	1.36	12.7M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.042	3.956	-2.13%	4.565	+12.94%	0.0463	✗	0.79	367k	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.9141	-2.20%	10.53	-5.65%	0.2002	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.42	2.366	-2.23%	2.44	+0.83%	0.0950	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143169	0.139976	-2.23%	0.133451	-6.79%	0.1770	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6081	1.5715	-2.28%	1.7163	+6.72%	0.0489	✓	1.11	82k	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05052	0.049341	-2.33%	0.01796	-64.45%	1.1753	✓	1.34	9.2M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.493	1.4574	-2.38%	1.571	+5.22%	0.0710	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.102177	-2.41%	0.1081	+3.25%	0.0734	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	79.3124	77.3617	-2.46%	67.763	-14.56%	0.2839	✓	1.23	410k	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.324	7.1437	-2.46%	6.75	-7.84%	0.0877	✓	0.25	38k	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0727	0.070882	-2.50%	0.07201	-0.95%	0.0813	✓	0.79	67k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.09	26.3923	-2.58%	26.36	-2.69%	0.2083	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9693	0.944308	-2.58%	0.8684	-10.41%	0.2273	✓	1.17	36.8M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.29	19.7663	-2.58%	21.72	+7.05%	0.0521	✓	1.19	13.0M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5251	0.511439	-2.60%	0.5696	+8.47%	0.0600	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.364	1.3285	-2.60%	1.164	-14.66%	0.2893	✓	1.28	3.6M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.92	1.8685	-2.68%	1.86	-3.12%	0.1738	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8302	0.807877	-2.69%	0.7967	-4.04%	0.1496	✓	1.10	18.7M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.83	2.7537	-2.70%	1.564	-44.73%	0.7547	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1739	0.169148	-2.73%	0.1531	-11.96%	0.1826	✓	0.67	536k	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2671	0.259781	-2.74%	0.2945	+10.26%	0.0144	✓	1.14	604k	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.1	5.9275	-2.83%	4.86	-20.33%	0.3173	✓	0.96	953k	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.203491	0.197552	-2.92%	0.197675	-2.86%	0.1273	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.67	149.1606	-2.93%	170.31	+10.83%	0.0078	✓	1.01	2.1M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	71.95	69.8241	-2.95%	84.59	+17.57%	0.0276	✓	1.33	85.3M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9824	2.8921	-3.03%	3.1196	+4.60%	0.0528	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014518	0.014072	-3.07%	0.012148	-16.32%	0.2933	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7736	6.563	-3.11%	6.71	-0.94%	0.0924	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	7.1207	-3.12%	6.79	-7.62%	0.0838	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.73	40.402	-3.18%	45.95	+10.11%	0.0211	✓	1.22	35.1M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.952	0.921635	-3.19%	0.9803	+2.97%	0.1248	✓	1.52	2.1M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0362	0.034962	-3.42%	0.029	-19.89%	0.3682	✓	1.47	836k	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.667	2.575	-3.45%	3.317	+24.37%	0.0645	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.31	0.299219	-3.48%	0.2321	-25.13%	0.4468	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0915	2.9816	-3.55%	3.5483	+14.78%	0.0059	✓	1.37	2.5M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.851	4.6672	-3.79%	4.2345	-12.71%	0.2489	✓	1.23	430k	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.258	3.1332	-3.83%	3.233	-0.77%	0.0753	✓	0.87	884k	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9037	0.868877	-3.85%	1.6754	+85.39%	0.4698	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.009	2.8918	-3.89%	3.115	+3.52%	0.0236	✓	0.80	397k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.758	1.689	-3.93%	1.566	-10.92%	0.2357	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06396	0.061334	-4.11%	0.04871	-23.84%	0.4099	✓	1.46	1.7M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.17	8.7901	-4.14%	10.15	+10.69%	0.0517	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.99	2.8502	-4.68%	2.442	-18.33%	0.3271	✓	1.40	25.0M	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.93	48.5136	-4.74%	91.38	+79.42%	0.4323	✗	1.63	8.8M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.18	19.2103	-4.81%	20.13	-0.25%	0.1074	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18677	0.177785	-4.81%	0.16639	-10.91%	0.2600	✓	1.57	23k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.69	3.5122	-4.82%	7.529	+104.04%	0.7360	✗	0.22	837k	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.19	3.9772	-5.08%	3.54	-15.51%	0.2819	✓	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0631	2.8964	-5.44%	2.1929	-28.41%	0.3857	✓	0.87	21k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,297.65	22,846.60	-5.97%	21,589.29	-11.15%	0.1701	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4988	0.468837	-6.01%	0.504	+1.04%	0.1088	✓	1.47	2.1M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5693	0.533716	-6.25%	0.5607	-1.51%	0.0951	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.0596	-6.30%	4.154	-23.07%	0.3537	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.36	2.2079	-6.44%	1.352	-42.71%	0.6795	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	27.0066	-7.19%	31.38	+7.84%	0.0119	✓	1.12	130.3M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6022	0.557107	-7.49%	0.3657	-39.27%	0.6514	✓	1.87	48.9M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.3942	-7.67%	1.25	-17.22%	0.2323	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7284	1.589	-8.07%	2.4391	+41.12%	0.3344	✗	0.76	2.8M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.04515	0.0415	-8.08%	0.022655	-49.82%	0.7742	✓	1.37	266k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.0792	-9.99%	1.84	-20.35%	0.2453	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.173	5.4951	-10.98%	2.664	-56.84%	0.8471	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05525	0.048833	-11.61%	0.03503	-36.60%	0.4553	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2936	1.1391	-11.95%	0.7584	-41.37%	0.5298	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.12	0.104604	-12.83%	0.132	+10.00%	0.1096	✓	1.00	155k	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0907	0.07781	-14.21%	0.0703	-22.49%	0.4093	✓	2.50	23.2M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.