UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s9

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0419

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.269976	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.27007	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.244454	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.216798	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.228005	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.273907	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.271326	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.266206	-2.98%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0069	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.284384	-4.37%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0196	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.196333	-1.06%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2345	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.231104	-2.21%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0092	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.205265	-1.54%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1564	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.203057	-1.32%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3547	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.196363	-0.83%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3439	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.225541	-1.59%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2366	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.238668	-2.04%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2767	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.260791	-2.11%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1801	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.281604	-2.16%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1115	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.284324	-2.06%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2679	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.268235	-1.89%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2194	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.293974	-1.97%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3224	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.39377	-2.99%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5344	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.382724	-2.80%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4976	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.28563	-1.91%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1262	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.308792	-1.99%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1196	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.35673	-2.12%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2139	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.32893	-2.06%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1948	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.33297	-2.06%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1158	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.386311	-2.27%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0691	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.466734	-3.36%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1146	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.531786	-4.54%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5367	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.44352	-4.02%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4056	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.462991	-4.66%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3000	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.544118	-6.95%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5435	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.447497	-5.44%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4012	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.362058	-3.14%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0446	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.311837	-2.23%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2704	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.35949	-3.06%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3309	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.367091	-3.15%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1709	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.343841	-2.87%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2889	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.369859	-3.20%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4071	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.382978	-3.40%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2143	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.403018	-3.77%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.477263	-4.92%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3658	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.52381	-6.11%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3337	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.620892	-8.59%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4485	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.704987	-10.79%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6562	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.573822	-9.06%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3752	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.688859	-10.50%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.4925	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.746928	-10.88%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.5911	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.771847	-11.72%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4437	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.790653	-13.53%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3554	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.460792	-12.17%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3542	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.299443	-7.68%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9503	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.235802	-2.26%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9610	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.257212	-2.83%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0838	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.336071	-9.71%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9358	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.158021	+0.31%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7251	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197777	-0.44%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5364	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140593	-0.22%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3176	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.083467	-1.92%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3422	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110003	-0.63%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7916	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.102484	-2.77%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8540	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.