UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s9

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1477

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0094

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275574	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.276114	-0.53%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0093	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.248209	-0.26%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0809	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.219416	-0.11%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1307	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230788	-0.12%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0674	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.28049	-0.56%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1904	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278186	-0.63%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0317	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.27268	-0.62%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0104	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.294263	-1.05%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0268	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198352	-0.05%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3693	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235469	-0.36%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1229	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208165	-0.15%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1081	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.205607	-0.08%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0048	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198088	+0.04%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0170	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.228876	-0.14%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1073	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243025	-0.25%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0059	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265644	-0.29%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0818	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.2869	-0.32%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0572	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289496	-0.28%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0458	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272839	-0.21%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0566	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.299157	-0.24%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0822	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.403518	-0.59%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3281	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.391649	-0.53%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0378	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290575	-0.21%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2993	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.314307	-0.24%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0518	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.363368	-0.30%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1437	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334989	-0.26%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0765	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.339096	-0.25%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0025	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.393917	-0.34%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1475	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479651	-0.69%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1542	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.551153	-1.07%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1239	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.458126	-0.86%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0921	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.480392	-1.08%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0373	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.574124	-1.82%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1744	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.467162	-1.28%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1518	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371679	-0.56%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2381	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.318042	-0.29%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1521	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368901	-0.52%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1102	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376979	-0.54%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0355	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.352436	-0.44%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0795	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.380083	-0.52%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0719	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.394191	-0.57%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0409	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.415982	-0.68%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.496771	-1.03%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1686	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.550004	-1.42%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.663894	-2.26%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1583	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.765797	-3.10%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.615013	-2.54%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2488	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.744809	-3.23%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1461	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.808329	-3.56%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.0989	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.83921	-4.01%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.872547	-4.58%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.504124	-3.91%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5839	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.317196	-2.21%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5105	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239985	-0.53%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2962	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.262399	-0.87%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.359819	-3.33%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3227	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.1575	-0.03%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8537	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197976	-0.34%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2227	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140686	-0.15%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3290	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084853	-0.29%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4984	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110508	-0.17%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2449	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104954	-0.42%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0170	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.