UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s9

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +30d

assessed

33

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

87.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1250

actual -0.3070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.25988	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.259835	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.237002	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.210645	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.221457	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.262329	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.259585	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.254992	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.268579	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.190033	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.222572	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.197881	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.195597	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.189184	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.216944	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.22948	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.251236	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.271835	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.273911	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.25815	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.283331	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.377218	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.367178	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.274588	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.297463	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.344102	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.31704	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.321275	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.373264	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.446425	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.50242	-9.81%	0.276795	-50.31%	0.5143	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.42016	-9.08%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4491	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.435795	-10.26%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.5720	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.49812	-14.82%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8405	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.415347	-12.23%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6670	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.344046	-7.96%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2862	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.2979	-6.60%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1677	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.341797	-7.83%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2642	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.348024	-8.18%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2420	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.326483	-7.77%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5612	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.349811	-8.45%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4807	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.361255	-8.88%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.6383	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.378947	-9.52%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6636	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.443248	-11.70%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8463	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.479989	-13.97%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.7907	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.552064	-18.72%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.8807	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.610315	-22.77%	0.266405	-66.29%	0.9005	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.50946	-19.26%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.6533	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.604468	-21.46%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.7753	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.656212	-21.71%	0.27341	-67.38%	0.9645	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.673309	-22.99%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9007	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.668397	-26.90%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.5604	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.396138	-24.49%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.0802	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.272733	-15.91%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.228295	-5.37%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2405	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.250141	-5.50%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.3261	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.303069	-18.58%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0406	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.16053	+1.90%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6784	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.200613	+0.99%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.6121	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.143061	+1.53%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.1133	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.081632	-4.08%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8038	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.111384	+0.62%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.3873	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.098461	-6.58%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.4890	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.