PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0162

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.617546	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.609592	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.622496	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.620554	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.604517	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.638726	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.58306	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.575366	-1.57%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0804	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.610899	-2.00%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0152	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.60399	-2.06%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0480	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.658012	-2.91%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0298	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.657768	-3.19%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0574	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.639554	-3.26%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0284	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.620103	-3.28%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0491	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.635105	-3.54%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0717	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.635111	-3.44%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0030	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.710612	-4.11%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1159	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.773788	-4.92%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1160	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.690329	-3.89%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0061	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.714321	-4.37%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0672	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.671758	-4.31%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0298	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.681754	-4.91%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0333	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.648781	-4.61%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0034	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.636669	-5.07%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1397	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.623738	-4.93%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2535	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.593712	-3.88%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1884	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.628955	-4.93%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1695	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.594178	-3.98%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1639	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.56006	-3.42%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2522	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.56504	-2.31%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2025	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.562132	-2.04%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1998	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.5047	-1.53%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2406	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.523911	-2.70%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1441	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.523015	-2.88%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2141	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.499207	-3.12%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1641	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.498478	-3.28%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.1009	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.47432	-2.63%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1459	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.485126	-2.34%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1275	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.46598	-1.82%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0737	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.470641	-2.09%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1151	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.474784	-3.12%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1085	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.473569	-3.80%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0853	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.468329	-2.07%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1064	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436759	-0.31%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1216	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.448218	-0.06%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1066	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.426081	+0.73%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1250	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.419134	+0.90%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1497	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.415839	+1.01%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1757	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.414	+1.30%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1958	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.4105	+1.08%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1492	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.418663	+1.15%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0416	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.419151	+1.60%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0659	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.424146	+1.70%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0127	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.432466	+1.74%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0458	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.427971	+1.87%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0451	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.423598	+1.83%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0394	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.414402	+1.47%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0140	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.424592	+1.08%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0213	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.450625	+0.70%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0869	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.409352	+0.65%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0188	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.394456	+0.47%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0715	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.421579	+0.23%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0024	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396593	-0.20%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0388	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.394171	-0.89%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0203	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.38169	-1.60%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0832	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.363122	-1.46%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1901	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.36215	-1.47%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0973	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.371314	-1.32%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0348	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.365152	-1.10%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1169	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.374137	-1.04%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0487	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.375043	-1.02%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0492	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.387223	-1.13%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.396308	-1.11%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0744	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403964	-1.21%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0882	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.388305	-1.16%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0253	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.38861	-1.17%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0470	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.389574	-1.36%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0276	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388851	-1.41%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0216	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395089	-1.57%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0068	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.406386	-2.03%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0158	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.427829	-2.81%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0506	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.43089	-3.17%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.0999	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.421899	-3.15%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0777	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.43594	-3.39%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.0973	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.419826	-3.32%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0637	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.413341	-3.13%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0296	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.390333	-2.04%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0611	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.372136	-1.58%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1723	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.378685	-1.87%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1652	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.377948	-1.95%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1451	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.373644	-1.69%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1896	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.360524	-1.00%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1926	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.338784	-0.74%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2392	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.322351	-0.62%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2158	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347832	-0.59%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0815	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.364382	-0.59%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0588	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391156	-0.92%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0154	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390446	-0.80%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0314	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384651	-0.67%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0597	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.38167	-0.63%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1173	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.388332	-0.62%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1924	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.412081	-0.87%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1670	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.413306	-0.91%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1237	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.410194	-0.97%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0374	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.389484	-0.89%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0087	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396159	-0.84%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0304	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410525	-0.96%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0713	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401922	-0.91%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0228	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38817	-0.72%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0681	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415919	-1.00%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0006	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.420126	-1.01%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0194	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.412767	-0.86%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0540	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.413604	-0.58%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0411	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.416149	-0.32%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0170	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.450223	-1.01%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1099	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455396	-0.98%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1584	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.456789	-0.67%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0884	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427303	-0.12%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0101	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434781	+0.04%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0457	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.457924	-0.21%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0952	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.498566	-0.69%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1802	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.535247	-1.16%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1688	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.544383	-1.20%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1743	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55078	-1.38%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1870	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.557036	-1.26%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2694	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.592199	-1.79%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3124	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.545789	-1.11%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1706	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.550604	-1.28%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0899	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.575678	-1.55%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0598	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.57348	-1.55%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0389	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.583568	-1.57%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0438	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.605259	-1.87%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0703	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.549083	-0.82%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0942	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.581208	-0.89%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0595	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.57765	-0.76%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0450	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.595819	-1.14%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0256	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.625663	-1.64%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0767	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.634779	-1.45%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0780	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.637441	-1.45%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0397	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.607218	-1.01%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0909	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.604477	-0.84%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0142	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.600016	-0.91%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0084	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.622483	-1.46%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0309	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.6161	-1.51%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1370	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.609979	-1.31%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1903	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.602495	-1.08%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.1960	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.619024	-1.18%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0868	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.630575	-1.32%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1150	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.601684	-1.15%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1352	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.60938	-1.30%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1159	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.60932	-1.29%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0715	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.642286	-1.55%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.62947	-1.45%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.648486	-1.77%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.620895	-1.69%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0704	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.566269	-1.50%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.622888	-1.86%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.702935	-2.67%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1243	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.738254	-3.24%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.693541	-2.57%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.721519	-2.54%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.685758	-2.37%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.74576	-2.76%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2129	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.776951	-2.93%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1419	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.870371	-4.44%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.932976	-7.00%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1690	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.819181	-5.44%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.620795	-1.80%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1627	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.