PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

51.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0382

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.595447	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.592554	-0.57%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0088	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.61553	-0.64%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0410	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.629687	-0.70%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0252	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.627624	-0.72%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0117	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.610707	-0.67%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0295	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648146	-0.80%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0519	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.588536	-0.59%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1096	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.581328	-0.55%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0138	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619305	-0.65%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0462	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.61293	-0.61%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0067	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.672771	-0.73%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0752	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.674386	-0.75%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0001	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.656321	-0.72%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0322	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.636672	-0.69%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0321	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.653551	-0.74%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0089	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.6532	-0.69%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0225	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.734926	-0.83%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1096	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.805357	-1.04%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0788	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.712732	-0.77%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1234	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740522	-0.87%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0318	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.695828	-0.88%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0728	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.709345	-1.06%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0175	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.673501	-0.97%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0630	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.662276	-1.25%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0256	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.647771	-1.27%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0410	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.612245	-0.88%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0689	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.653209	-1.26%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0580	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613017	-0.93%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0780	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575109	-0.83%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0732	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575024	-0.58%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0206	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.570234	-0.63%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0171	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510145	-0.47%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0824	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535396	-0.57%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0431	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535372	-0.58%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0034	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.511524	-0.73%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0222	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.511479	-0.76%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0061	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484079	-0.63%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0597	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.494085	-0.54%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0008	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472542	-0.43%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0430	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478308	-0.50%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0054	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.486164	-0.79%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0116	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.486005	-1.28%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0051	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.473684	-0.95%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0472	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436246	-0.42%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0926	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446775	-0.38%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0169	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422786	-0.05%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0650	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415421	+0.00%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0156	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.41191	+0.05%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0077	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409117	+0.10%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0137	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.406516	+0.10%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0087	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414342	+0.11%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0198	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413122	+0.14%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0057	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.417594	+0.13%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0155	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.425434	+0.09%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0179	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.420378	+0.07%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0097	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415822	-0.04%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0192	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407891	-0.12%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0152	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.41902	-0.25%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0275	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445843	-0.37%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0581	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405659	-0.26%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0947	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391797	-0.20%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0355	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.4197	-0.21%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0638	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396279	-0.28%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0529	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396028	-0.42%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0026	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385794	-0.54%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0259	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.366868	-0.44%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0555	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.36595	-0.44%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0047	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.374604	-0.45%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0187	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.367702	-0.41%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0230	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.37645	-0.42%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0189	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377351	-0.41%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0018	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.389854	-0.46%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0282	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.398759	-0.50%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0169	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.406828	-0.51%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0122	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391145	-0.43%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0446	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391465	-0.44%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0035	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393102	-0.47%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0015	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392559	-0.47%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0073	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399391	-0.50%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0146	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412459	-0.56%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0295	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.43721	-0.68%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0525	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.441823	-0.71%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0063	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.432528	-0.71%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0286	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.447814	-0.76%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0217	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.430724	-0.81%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0451	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423238	-0.81%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0256	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396368	-0.52%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0735	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376392	-0.45%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0608	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.383932	-0.51%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0179	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.383164	-0.59%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0066	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.377595	-0.65%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0231	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362554	-0.44%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0502	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340116	-0.35%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0696	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323451	-0.28%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0505	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348879	-0.29%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0744	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.365449	-0.30%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0431	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.393489	-0.33%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0741	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392339	-0.32%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0058	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386051	-0.31%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0229	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.382934	-0.30%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0122	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389697	-0.27%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0259	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.41425	-0.35%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0530	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415588	-0.36%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0004	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.41264	-0.38%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0120	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391705	-0.33%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0530	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398112	-0.35%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0159	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.412667	-0.44%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0293	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403747	-0.46%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0284	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389779	-0.31%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0386	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.418749	-0.32%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0702	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423062	-0.32%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0089	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.41537	-0.24%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0185	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415487	-0.12%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0022	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417374	-0.03%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0073	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452889	-0.42%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0789	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.457583	-0.50%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0071	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458356	-0.32%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0041	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427662	-0.03%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0727	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434633	+0.01%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0163	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458359	-0.12%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0522	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.500466	-0.32%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0878	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.539169	-0.44%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0733	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.548445	-0.46%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0116	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.555673	-0.51%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0099	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.561113	-0.54%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0035	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.598479	-0.75%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0585	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.549398	-0.45%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0943	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.555135	-0.47%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0049	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.581521	-0.55%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0414	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.579473	-0.52%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0088	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.589594	-0.56%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0129	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.612669	-0.67%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0338	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.551628	-0.36%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1117	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584113	-0.39%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0591	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580146	-0.34%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0113	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600114	-0.43%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0274	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.632479	-0.57%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0477	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.640562	-0.55%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0137	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.643197	-0.56%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0019	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.611242	-0.35%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0740	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.607857	-0.29%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0105	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.603633	-0.31%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0298	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.628806	-0.46%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0031	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.622733	-0.45%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0361	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.615438	-0.43%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0182	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.606657	-0.39%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0150	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.623663	-0.44%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0224	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.635952	-0.48%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.606208	-0.41%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0728	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.614542	-0.46%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0090	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614431	-0.46%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.6487	-0.57%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.635418	-0.51%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.656135	-0.62%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.628213	-0.54%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.572768	-0.37%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0886	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.631553	-0.50%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0917	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717297	-0.68%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1163	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.756761	-0.82%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707033	-0.67%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.73518	-0.69%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698367	-0.57%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.762074	-0.63%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0666	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794927	-0.68%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.901311	-1.04%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1130	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.985874	-1.73%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.854305	-1.38%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1549	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.629289	-0.46%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3174	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.