PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2045

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0552

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.554682	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.551406	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.570305	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.581365	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.579038	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.563737	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.593527	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.542834	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.53682	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.571129	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.564728	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.618476	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.618972	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.602559	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.584943	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.601294	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.603014	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.681414	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.744846	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.661154	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.690043	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.650421	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.662589	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.631606	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.617883	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.600701	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.572385	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.606503	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.572022	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.540183	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.547869	-5.28%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.1021	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.545724	-4.90%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.1071	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.485461	-5.29%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2320	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.505874	-6.05%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2220	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.505081	-6.21%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2170	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.473526	-8.11%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2288	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.474032	-8.03%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2876	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.453588	-6.89%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2333	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.47127	-5.13%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1986	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.45263	-4.63%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2892	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.461521	-3.99%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2679	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.471236	-3.84%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3330	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.46622	-5.30%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3476	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.459231	-3.98%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3440	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.424591	-3.08%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3985	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.433459	-3.35%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4012	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.410297	-3.00%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4481	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.403317	-2.91%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5807	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.400159	-2.80%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6800	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.400051	-2.12%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5694	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.394614	-2.83%	0.747	+83.94%	0.6130	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.402594	-2.73%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5304	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.404652	-1.91%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5561	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.410537	-1.56%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4830	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.420917	-0.97%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4481	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421044	+0.22%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4215	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.426603	+2.55%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3555	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.419521	+2.72%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4377	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.43178	+2.79%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3388	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.458518	+2.46%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2181	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.413872	+1.76%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3121	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.395986	+0.86%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3463	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.422456	+0.44%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1869	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.385519	-2.99%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3240	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.37771	-5.03%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3368	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.359466	-7.33%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3494	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.343661	-6.74%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3898	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.342613	-6.78%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3357	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.351246	-6.66%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3242	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.346295	-6.20%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2929	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.354831	-6.14%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2873	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.355958	-6.05%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2988	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.367062	-6.28%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2646	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.375361	-6.34%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.2043	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.383026	-6.33%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0968	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.369184	-6.02%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1536	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.369477	-6.03%	0.423	+7.58%	0.1052	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.369708	-6.39%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0769	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.369619	-6.28%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0587	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.375333	-6.49%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0279	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.386123	-6.91%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0001	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.407572	-7.41%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0347	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.411283	-7.58%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0471	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.404682	-7.10%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0174	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.421151	-6.67%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0289	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.405398	-6.64%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0129	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.397506	-6.84%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0272	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.37467	-5.97%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0650	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.358047	-5.30%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1321	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.365296	-5.34%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1704	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.365375	-5.21%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0770	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.359747	-5.34%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0589	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.345612	-5.09%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1632	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.323799	-5.13%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1854	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.307983	-5.05%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2457	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.332851	-4.87%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1531	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.349393	-4.68%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0542	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.375067	-5.00%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0165	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.374886	-4.75%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0064	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.369754	-4.52%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0050	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.36709	-4.43%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0352	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.373821	-4.33%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0086	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.396578	-4.60%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0117	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.397826	-4.62%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0068	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.394995	-4.64%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0320	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.376114	-4.30%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0384	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.383923	-3.90%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0157	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.39792	-4.00%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0102	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.388731	-4.16%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0127	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.374656	-4.18%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0677	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.399944	-4.80%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0352	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.404279	-4.74%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0820	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.397795	-4.46%	0.445	+6.88%	0.1084	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.399009	-4.08%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0798	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.401576	-3.81%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.1000	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.437253	-3.86%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0122	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.440043	-4.32%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0372	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.439316	-4.47%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1032	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.408644	-4.48%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.0845	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.414402	-4.65%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.0773	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.436241	-4.94%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1262	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.474601	-5.47%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2207	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.507141	-6.35%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3280	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.515346	-6.47%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4074	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.52173	-6.58%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4739	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.527582	-6.48%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4088	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.555019	-7.96%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4131	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.51677	-6.37%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2688	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.521972	-6.41%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2808	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.54465	-6.86%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3402	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.542917	-6.80%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3457	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.55205	-6.89%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3442	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.569463	-7.67%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3150	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.5203	-6.02%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2212	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.547842	-6.58%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2866	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.545029	-6.37%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3309	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.561645	-6.81%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3388	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.587066	-7.71%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3481	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.592231	-8.05%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3871	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.591522	-8.55%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4209	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.567847	-7.43%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2969	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.565702	-7.20%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2780	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.564334	-6.80%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2638	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.588173	-6.89%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2573	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.584283	-6.60%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1761	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.579498	-6.25%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0984	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.572954	-5.93%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0772	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.58767	-6.18%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1069	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.596414	-6.66%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1183	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.570022	-6.35%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.57625	-6.67%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.576232	-6.65%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.604761	-7.30%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0707	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.592893	-7.17%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1032	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.608146	-7.88%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.582509	-7.77%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1673	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.533871	-7.14%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3213	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.587144	-7.49%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.665813	-7.81%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.70226	-7.96%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.658602	-7.47%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.686951	-7.21%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.652044	-7.17%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1659	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.713897	-6.91%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.750166	-6.28%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.847771	-6.92%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.895169	-10.77%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1495	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.774899	-10.55%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.589683	-6.73%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3619	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.