GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0827

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301209	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300175	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295288	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297658	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295188	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301024	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.296553	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.314552	-1.35%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0235	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313896	-1.17%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0265	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.324756	-1.42%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0788	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.331044	-1.45%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0908	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.33991	-1.76%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1258	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.336942	-1.71%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0975	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.317684	-1.13%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0558	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.320836	-0.98%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0063	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.325197	-0.75%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0242	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326163	-0.70%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0106	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319402	-0.11%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0511	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324424	-0.28%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0650	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326194	-0.23%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0503	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.319115	+0.24%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0082	✓	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.322641	+0.01%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0043	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.320586	+0.36%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0212	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.318581	+0.56%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0297	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.332933	+1.13%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0407	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.345807	+0.89%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0610	✗	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.35002	+0.29%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0683	✗	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.354506	-0.07%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1077	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.342172	-0.13%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0587	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.352233	-0.06%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0982	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357758	-0.30%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1216	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.35806	-4.44%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0876	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.332398	-2.48%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0271	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.33101	-2.70%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0491	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.342038	-5.12%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0152	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.297619	-1.58%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1175	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.298656	-1.63%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1254	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.295744	-1.02%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1574	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.29217	-1.11%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2294	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.294321	-0.92%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1305	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.301446	-0.89%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1034	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.285522	-0.55%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2341	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288118	-0.15%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0586	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303333	-0.20%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0142	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292251	+0.02%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0264	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296408	+0.07%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0135	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300153	-0.07%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0018	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292836	-0.16%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0541	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292123	+0.30%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0151	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287358	+0.51%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0020	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279288	+0.72%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0778	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285625	+0.68%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0191	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.284028	+0.81%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0338	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.287077	+0.91%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0404	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.285411	+0.98%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0216	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.307431	+0.96%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0565	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.310163	+0.95%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0765	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.312392	+1.33%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1154	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.316774	+1.34%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1091	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.328606	+1.42%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1537	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.338855	+1.33%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1778	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.345863	+1.32%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2006	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.313233	+0.69%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0336	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.325578	-1.07%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0398	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355573	-2.44%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1592	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.357681	-2.74%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1550	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.35415	-2.83%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1086	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.360212	-3.25%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0917	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.357361	-3.05%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0698	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.378307	-3.76%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2078	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.362969	-3.47%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1052	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.359906	-3.48%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0111	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.353074	-2.99%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0400	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.336872	-2.37%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0822	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.337164	-2.62%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1024	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332238	-2.74%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1071	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.328918	-2.87%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1796	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.345684	-3.52%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0859	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.337208	-3.53%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.1013	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.331627	-3.34%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0925	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318755	-2.80%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0777	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.313044	-2.63%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0987	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.318971	-2.96%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0665	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.320564	-3.12%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0553	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.319597	-2.96%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1137	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.337958	-3.44%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0335	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.353326	-3.92%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0291	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.360698	-4.03%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.0935	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.355175	-4.20%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.0984	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.349318	-3.42%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0600	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.341415	-3.20%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0310	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.344574	-3.09%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0434	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.35199	-3.13%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0036	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.316501	-2.28%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1487	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.309752	-2.21%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1941	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.312004	-2.27%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1720	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.317615	-2.21%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1302	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.325115	-2.29%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0826	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.32534	-2.27%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0900	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323935	-2.21%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1162	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320876	-1.89%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0142	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.331191	-2.13%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0427	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.338051	-2.07%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0552	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34097	-1.92%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0491	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.34228	-1.76%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0270	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.349634	-1.66%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0443	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.368081	-1.79%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1014	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.370073	-1.71%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1278	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.375157	-1.73%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1027	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.380834	-1.77%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0967	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.377547	-1.68%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0786	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.382264	-1.68%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0887	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.388245	-1.64%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0828	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.388659	-1.53%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0243	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.38786	-1.52%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0205	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.373665	-1.23%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0347	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.372771	-1.21%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0494	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.385788	-1.24%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0031	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38693	-1.12%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0105	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.376951	-1.04%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0432	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.386794	-1.10%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0067	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.395332	-1.15%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0171	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.406259	-1.15%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0834	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.411897	-1.20%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1018	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39818	-1.04%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0335	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.369609	-0.75%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0389	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.410795	-1.01%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1024	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.422374	-1.15%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.1007	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.430214	-1.26%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0915	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.48444	-1.84%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1797	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.441993	-1.26%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.449517	-1.19%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1099	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.466042	-1.35%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.46641	-1.00%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1644	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.449155	-0.78%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.459155	-0.98%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.463216	-0.96%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405223	-0.07%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.435803	+0.05%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427602	-0.58%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.4742	-1.13%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.495397	-2.67%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.432945	-2.99%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1916	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.43577	-3.40%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2211	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.457915	-3.95%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.434748	-4.15%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1860	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.595141	-5.21%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1832	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.671817	-5.73%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1882	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.630275	-5.98%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0848	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.598425	-5.92%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2134	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.671961	-7.07%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3533	✓	1.00