GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

76.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1175

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0489

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.289	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.289003	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.285202	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.288277	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.285873	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.292287	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.288645	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.305366	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.305026	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.314346	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.320757	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.328452	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.325692	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.308537	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.311736	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.316427	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.317172	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.312743	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.316619	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.318031	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.312083	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315233	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.31374	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.312664	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328623	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342582	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348237	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.355911	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.349635	+2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.367255	+4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.372676	+3.85%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1936	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.346602	-7.50%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1275	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.329463	-3.34%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0939	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.326935	-3.90%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0794	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.322984	-10.41%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.0885	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.288435	-4.62%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0424	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.289133	-4.77%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0130	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.289012	-3.28%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0833	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.284842	-3.59%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0812	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.287798	-3.11%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1168	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.295263	-2.92%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0986	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.279765	-2.55%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1838	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.284298	-1.47%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1676	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.299054	-1.61%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0572	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.288878	-1.14%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0959	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.293482	-0.92%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0868	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.296177	-1.39%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0767	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.288435	-1.66%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0607	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290952	-0.10%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0890	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285582	-0.11%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0920	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278692	+0.50%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0864	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284934	+0.43%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0908	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283717	+0.70%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.1008	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.287872	+1.19%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0803	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.286766	+1.46%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1183	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.310105	+1.84%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0901	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.313078	+1.90%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0947	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.319292	+3.57%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0868	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.326308	+4.39%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0343	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.340036	+4.95%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0152	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.350137	+4.71%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0018	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.359931	+5.44%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0330	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.319555	+2.72%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0585	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.319212	-3.00%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0850	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.341118	-6.40%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0411	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.342522	-6.86%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1412	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.338854	-7.02%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1269	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.343787	-7.66%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1588	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.341534	-7.34%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1667	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.35892	-8.70%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2063	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.346126	-7.95%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1454	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.34308	-8.00%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.1934	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.337276	-7.33%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1733	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.323263	-6.31%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0826	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.322662	-6.81%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1210	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.317812	-6.96%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0937	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.314634	-7.09%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0690	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.328933	-8.20%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1354	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.321261	-8.09%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1190	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.316057	-7.88%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1158	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305032	-6.99%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1101	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.300019	-6.68%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0699	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.305171	-7.16%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0933	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.306618	-7.34%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0868	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.305744	-7.17%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0900	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.321884	-8.03%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0706	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.335166	-8.86%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1032	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.342984	-8.74%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1177	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.336317	-9.29%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.0831	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.332092	-8.19%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0327	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.326272	-7.49%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0152	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.330794	-6.96%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0222	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.338686	-6.79%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0898	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.3034	-6.33%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0848	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.296668	-6.34%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2058	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.298867	-6.38%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2071	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.304813	-6.15%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1776	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.312028	-6.23%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1759	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.312683	-6.07%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1630	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.310074	-6.39%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2359	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.307467	-5.99%	0.376	+14.97%	0.2031	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.317386	-6.21%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1608	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.324971	-5.86%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1136	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.329139	-5.32%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0487	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.330245	-5.21%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0510	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.337334	-5.12%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0177	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.354714	-5.36%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0441	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.357688	-5.00%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0032	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.362646	-5.00%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0357	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.368022	-5.08%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0693	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.365091	-4.92%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1049	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.36928	-5.02%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1355	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.374622	-5.09%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1243	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.374008	-5.24%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1071	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.373805	-5.09%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1176	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.360007	-4.84%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0141	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.35905	-4.85%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0360	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.371799	-4.83%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0270	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.373075	-4.66%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0080	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.364126	-4.40%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0016	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.37489	-4.14%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0535	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.383967	-4.00%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0697	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.394171	-4.09%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0714	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.399976	-4.06%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2078	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.386505	-3.94%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1942	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.358961	-3.61%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1067	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.399125	-3.83%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2103	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.410582	-3.91%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2248	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.418379	-3.98%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2409	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.468301	-5.11%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3506	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.428755	-4.22%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2366	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.43597	-4.17%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2565	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.450619	-4.61%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2698	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.450578	-4.36%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.3021	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.434179	-4.09%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2440	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.443508	-4.35%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.2079	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.447404	-4.34%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1774	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.393099	-3.06%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.422934	-2.91%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.415183	-3.47%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.459335	-4.23%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1551	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.474324	-6.81%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1180	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.414666	-7.09%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.417379	-7.48%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1730	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.437746	-8.18%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0982	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.415064	-8.49%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1172	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.561702	-10.54%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.1936	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.631826	-11.34%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2669	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.592843	-11.56%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.1764	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.564438	-11.27%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1569	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.625985	-13.42%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.2644	✓	1.00