GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0341

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0033

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30632	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304985	-0.23%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0066	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299573	-0.19%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0216	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301815	-0.19%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0056	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299127	-0.17%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0112	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304969	-0.21%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0177	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299974	-0.16%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0183	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318372	-0.15%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0577	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317308	-0.09%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0043	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328951	-0.15%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0348	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.33535	-0.16%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0182	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.345138	-0.25%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0272	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341976	-0.24%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0116	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320995	-0.09%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0657	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323826	-0.05%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0079	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327636	-0.00%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0116	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.328473	+0.01%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0025	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.320127	+0.12%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0259	✓	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.325643	+0.09%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0189	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.327273	+0.10%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0060	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318915	+0.18%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0250	✓	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.32304	+0.14%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0152	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.320079	+0.20%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0079	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.317492	+0.22%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0061	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.330087	+0.27%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0410	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.343314	+0.16%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0420	✗	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348796	-0.06%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0175	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353715	-0.29%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0134	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340935	-0.49%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0397	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350104	-0.67%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0220	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356269	-0.72%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0108	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.368251	-1.72%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0316	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337444	-1.00%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1048	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336764	-1.01%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0116	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.355011	-1.52%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0548	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301767	-0.21%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1772	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302923	-0.22%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0040	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298516	-0.10%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0287	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295121	-0.11%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0062	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296817	-0.08%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0027	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30387	-0.09%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0230	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287134	+0.01%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0544	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288779	+0.08%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0025	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304143	+0.06%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0519	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29251	+0.11%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0414	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296514	+0.11%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0088	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300592	+0.08%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0171	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293475	+0.06%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0221	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291592	+0.12%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0165	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286415	+0.18%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0075	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277882	+0.21%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0290	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284268	+0.20%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0167	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.28237	+0.22%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0019	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285115	+0.22%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0101	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283271	+0.22%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0031	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305027	+0.17%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0701	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307719	+0.15%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0140	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308812	+0.17%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0067	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312946	+0.11%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0137	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324335	+0.10%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0400	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334716	+0.09%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0342	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341462	+0.03%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0176	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311336	+0.08%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0881	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328783	-0.10%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0481	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362969	-0.41%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1038	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365871	-0.51%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0042	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.36243	-0.55%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0122	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369616	-0.72%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0138	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366235	-0.64%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0163	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389628	-0.88%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0549	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.372941	-0.81%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0526	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369874	-0.81%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0166	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361771	-0.60%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0308	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343723	-0.38%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0588	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344676	-0.45%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0012	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339903	-0.50%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0185	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336752	-0.56%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0133	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355425	-0.80%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0478	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.346654	-0.83%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0323	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340575	-0.74%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0253	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326198	-0.53%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0506	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319933	-0.49%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0240	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326672	-0.62%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0159	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328705	-0.66%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327402	-0.59%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0099	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.34734	-0.76%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0532	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364278	-0.94%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0402	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.371991	-1.03%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0099	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.366914	-1.03%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0233	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359127	-0.71%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0317	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350308	-0.68%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0328	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353102	-0.69%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0003	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360644	-0.74%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0139	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322783	-0.34%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1195	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315761	-0.31%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0260	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318189	-0.33%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0047	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323715	-0.33%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0130	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331515	-0.37%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0203	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331653	-0.37%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0025	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330243	-0.30%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0078	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326331	-0.22%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0194	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337419	-0.29%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0343	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.34419	-0.29%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0170	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.3467	-0.27%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0051	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347627	-0.22%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0021	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354835	-0.20%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0165	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373961	-0.22%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0532	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375701	-0.21%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0040	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.38091	-0.22%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0107	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386796	-0.23%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0120	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383197	-0.21%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0131	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387987	-0.21%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0078	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393919	-0.20%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0096	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.39408	-0.16%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0053	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.393226	-0.16%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0004	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.37802	-0.07%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0433	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.377092	-0.07%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0017	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.39033	-0.08%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0340	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.391096	-0.05%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0002	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380774	-0.03%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0237	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390863	-0.06%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0312	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.399615	-0.08%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0261	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410652	-0.08%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0242	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.416478	-0.10%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0164	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40214	-0.05%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0390	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.37251	+0.03%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0804	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414821	-0.04%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1199	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426948	-0.08%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0376	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.435205	-0.11%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0235	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.492141	-0.28%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1184	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.447145	-0.11%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.454486	-0.10%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.471737	-0.14%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.470822	-0.06%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452679	-0.00%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.463373	-0.07%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.467269	-0.09%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405998	+0.12%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1020	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.436072	+0.11%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0697	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.42982	-0.07%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0578	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478105	-0.31%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1022	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505083	-0.77%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.442774	-0.79%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2069	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.446674	-0.98%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0304	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.470717	-1.27%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.447554	-1.32%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.616686	-1.78%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3053	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.698367	-2.00%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.656012	-2.14%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1029	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.622569	-2.13%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.704497	-2.57%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1057	✓	1.00