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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
67.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2431
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0183
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002706-1.07%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002691-1.07%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00269-1.27%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003002-2.36%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002672-0.86%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002671-0.90%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002717-1.02%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002736-1.06%0.002735-1.08%0.0136✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002805-1.06%0.00272-4.06%0.0288✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002722-1.03%0.002725-0.91%0.0001✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002792-1.16%0.003075+8.85%0.1122✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002803-1.32%0.002695-5.11%0.0245✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002754-1.31%0.002695-3.41%0.0115✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002708-1.33%0.002745+0.00%0.0092✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002843-1.61%0.002765-4.33%0.0126✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.0029-1.37%0.002835-3.57%0.0001✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003171-2.43%0.00275-15.38%0.1001✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003076-1.73%0.002825-9.74%0.0530✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002976-1.77%0.00284-6.27%0.0263✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00288-1.72%0.00279-4.78%0.0093✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002964-1.51%0.002745-8.80%0.0413✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002912-1.61%0.00289-2.36%0.0046✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002871-1.52%0.00294+0.86%0.0022✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002943-1.89%0.00325+8.33%0.0744✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003076-2.03%0.00313-0.32%0.0047✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003308-3.27%0.00303-11.40%0.0916✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002863-1.10%0.00293+1.21%0.0182✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.00278-0.71%0.00301+7.50%0.0740✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002816-0.83%0.00296+4.23%0.0595✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002928-0.56%0.002915-1.02%0.0245✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002889-0.19%0.003+3.63%0.0749✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002506-0.55%0.00314+24.60%0.1913✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.00261-0.78%0.00342+30.04%0.2372✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002847-1.66%0.002895+0.00%0.0185✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002626-1.28%0.0028+5.26%0.0192✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002386-0.59%0.00284+18.33%0.0882✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002438-0.69%0.002945+19.96%0.0736✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00253-0.59%0.002895+13.75%0.0429✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00256-0.77%0.00252-2.33%0.0640✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002674-0.95%0.00263-2.59%0.0616✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002716-1.07%0.002895+5.46%0.0255✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002579-1.01%0.00266+2.11%0.0333✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002817-1.51%0.0024-16.08%0.1364✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.00271-0.38%0.002455-9.74%0.0678✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002624-0.02%0.002545-3.05%0.0212✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002685+0.37%0.00258-3.55%0.0007✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00276+0.54%0.0027-1.64%0.0070✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002651+0.61%0.002745+4.17%0.0609✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002913+1.14%0.002605-9.55%0.0646✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002917-0.46%0.00286-2.39%0.0313✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003168-1.30%0.00272-15.26%0.1651✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003024-0.02%0.002625-13.22%0.1483✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00257+0.39%0.002675+4.49%0.0017✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00256+0.61%0.002745+7.86%0.0499✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002801+0.56%0.002635-5.39%0.0837✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002883+1.53%0.00288+1.41%0.0131✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002716+1.17%0.00293+9.12%0.0960✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002734+1.06%0.00321+18.67%0.1740✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002902+1.31%0.003025+5.58%0.0462✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003082+0.87%0.00256-16.20%0.1847✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002974+0.63%0.002545-13.87%0.1706✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.00307+0.98%0.002785-8.39%0.0913✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003014-0.84%0.00284-6.58%0.1564✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003052-1.55%0.002685-13.39%0.2829✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002989-1.67%0.002705-11.02%0.3522✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003156-2.28%0.002865-11.30%0.3397✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002987-1.73%0.003055+0.49%0.2223✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003026-1.74%0.002955-4.06%0.2502✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002886-1.33%0.00304+3.93%0.1928✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002884-1.39%0.00304+3.93%0.1151✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003124-2.07%0.0031-2.82%0.0911✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.0029-1.52%0.00304+3.23%0.0339✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003334-2.67%0.00323-5.69%0.0334✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002983-1.87%0.00304+0.00%0.0210✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003029-1.98%0.00308-0.32%0.0169✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003229-2.46%0.002925-11.63%0.0984✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003592-3.57%0.002925-21.48%0.2045✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004636-6.91%0.00319-35.94%0.3729✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002967-0.78%0.002945-1.51%0.0085✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003146-1.08%0.003425+7.70%0.0860✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003248-1.28%0.00304-7.60%0.0636✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003223-0.85%0.00309-4.92%0.0366✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003124-0.20%0.00331+5.75%0.0632✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.00319-0.77%0.003725+15.86%0.1537✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003409-1.18%0.00498+44.35%0.3814✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003583-1.30%0.00299-17.63%0.1801✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003609-1.12%0.00318-12.88%0.1273✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00372-1.58%0.00329-12.96%0.1303✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003656-1.06%0.00325-12.04%0.1234✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003661-0.78%0.00313-15.18%0.1602✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00379-1.16%0.003215-16.17%0.1657✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00394-1.51%0.00345-13.75%0.1405✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003925-1.39%0.00363-8.79%0.0876✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003852-0.72%0.00365-5.93%0.0588✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004077-0.79%0.00378-8.03%0.0736✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004047-0.45%0.003695-9.10%0.0925✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004204-0.25%0.00369-12.46%0.1299✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004317-0.08%0.003835-11.23%0.1148✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004506-0.53%0.004-11.70%0.1134✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003747+1.55%0.00398+7.86%0.0659✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004171+1.73%0.00388-5.37%0.0679✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00431+1.53%0.00411-3.18%0.0457✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004426+1.63%0.004065-6.66%0.0800✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004767+1.00%0.004215-10.70%0.1242✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005338+0.15%0.00432-18.95%0.2094✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.005003+1.69%0.00453-7.93%0.0896✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006191-0.78%0.00369-40.87%0.5075✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007309-1.62%0.0041-44.82%0.5895✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007938-2.13%0.004245-47.66%0.6254✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007643-2.01%0.004355-44.17%0.5603✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008068-2.39%0.00472-42.89%0.5309✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00833-2.69%0.00533-37.73%0.4415✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007736-2.20%0.00492-37.80%0.4436✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008364-2.74%0.00624-27.44%0.2804✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008778-3.43%0.00743-18.26%0.1535✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007066-0.62%0.00811+14.06%0.1569✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007663-2.01%0.0078-0.26%0.0334✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007902-2.45%0.008265+2.04%0.0572✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007807-2.35%0.00856+7.07%0.1009✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007689-2.43%0.00791+0.38%0.0248✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008344-3.09%0.0086-0.12%0.0116✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008687-3.37%0.00909+1.11%0.0263✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008399-3.34%0.00711-18.18%0.1862✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009182-3.66%0.00782-17.94%0.1833✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008816-3.60%0.0081-11.43%0.1030✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008607-3.62%0.007995-10.47%0.0897✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009334-3.87%0.00788-18.85%0.1895✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009744-4.29%0.00861-15.42%0.1391✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009145-4.34%0.00899-5.96%0.0269✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008076-3.86%0.00869+3.45%0.0612✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009034-4.61%0.00953+0.63%0.0527✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007254-3.16%0.009145+22.10%0.2314✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007173-3.07%0.00893+20.68%0.2155✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007323-2.87%0.00971+28.78%0.2974✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006441-1.36%0.01018+55.90%0.4771✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006992-2.89%0.00956+32.78%0.3317✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007542-3.68%0.0084+7.28%0.1252✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007784-3.66%0.00947+17.20%0.2232✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.00761-3.55%0.00749-5.07%0.0013✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008458-4.32%0.0074-16.29%0.1358✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008685-4.45%0.00754-17.05%0.1565✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009275-4.87%0.00653-33.03%0.3738✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011612-7.33%0.0072-42.54%0.6218✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008929-4.86%0.00783-16.57%0.2669✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008468-4.96%0.00808-9.32%0.2116✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010199-7.28%0.00789-28.27%0.3987✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006956-4.57%0.00884+21.26%0.1406✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007168-4.74%0.00909+20.80%0.1408✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007305-4.76%0.00975+27.12%0.2005✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008479-5.05%0.01253+40.31%0.3653✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.00944-5.27%0.009385-5.82%0.0181✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010069-5.46%0.00891-16.34%0.1270✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011454-5.92%0.011-9.65%0.0425✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012908-6.67%0.00729-47.29%0.5800✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012309-6.82%0.007525-43.04%0.4979✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016311-7.87%0.00767-56.68%0.7555✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018418-10.37%0.00893-56.55%0.7245✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015798-9.42%0.009965-42.86%0.4591✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016362-10.20%0.01065-41.55%0.4239✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019915-12.23%0.012175-46.34%0.4810✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015158-11.82%0.01383-19.55%0.0732✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018634-14.60%0.01321-39.46%0.3340✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00595-12.31%0.017705+160.94%1.1440✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.003984-9.46%0.02055+367.05%1.7210✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002422-0.73%0.01744+614.75%2.0634✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002408-0.90%0.01822+649.79%2.0708✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002355-1.04%0.02269+853.36%2.2871✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.00225-0.88%0.01719+657.27%2.0131✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002221-0.83%0.02182+874.11%2.3272✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002336-0.81%0.006785+188.11%1.0714✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002278-0.96%0.0044+91.30%0.6360✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002389-0.86%0.00244+1.24%0.0227✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002456-0.96%0.00243-2.02%0.0346✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.0024-0.83%0.00238-1.65%0.0320✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002619-0.99%0.00227-14.18%0.1895✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002712-1.20%0.00224-18.40%0.2624✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002911-1.33%0.002355-20.17%0.2692✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002873-1.62%0.0023-21.23%0.2538✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003049-2.28%0.00241-22.76%0.2337✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002699-1.85%0.00248-9.82%0.0974✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003222-1.48%0.00242-25.99%0.2958✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003297-1.88%0.002645-21.28%0.1954✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003385-1.73%0.002745-20.32%0.1787✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003213-1.73%0.00295-9.79%0.0852✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003485-2.10%0.00292-17.98%0.1957✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.00346-2.41%0.00312-11.99%0.1637✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003403-2.08%0.00275-20.86%0.2374✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003439-2.58%0.00327-7.37%0.0551✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003736-2.72%0.00336-12.50%0.1470✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003532-2.02%0.003445-4.44%0.0693✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003507-2.03%0.00327-8.66%0.0989✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003461-2.23%0.00356+0.56%0.0093✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003925-2.25%0.003545-11.71%0.1482✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004008-2.59%0.003475-15.55%0.1828✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.00395-2.35%0.00353-12.73%0.1736✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003792-1.52%0.00384-0.26%0.0378✓1.10
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