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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0784
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0045
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002727-0.30%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002711-0.32%0.002735+0.55%0.0116✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002715-0.38%0.00272-0.18%0.0117✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003056-0.63%0.002725-11.38%0.1125✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002688-0.25%0.003075+14.10%0.1269✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002688-0.27%0.002695+0.00%0.0041✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002737-0.29%0.002695-1.82%0.0081✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002757-0.30%0.002745-0.72%0.0109✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002827-0.29%0.002765-2.47%0.0038✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002742-0.28%0.002835+3.09%0.0179✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002816-0.32%0.00275-2.65%0.0056✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.00283-0.34%0.002825-0.53%0.0091✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002781-0.34%0.00284+1.79%0.0177✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002736-0.34%0.00279+1.64%0.0114✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002878-0.43%0.002745-5.02%0.0330✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002929-0.37%0.00289-1.70%0.0074✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00323-0.62%0.00294-9.54%0.0918✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003116-0.45%0.00325+3.83%0.0507✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003016-0.47%0.00313+3.30%0.0177✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002916-0.48%0.00303+3.41%0.0357✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002998-0.39%0.00293-2.66%0.0192✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002948-0.41%0.00301+1.69%0.0067✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002903-0.40%0.00296+1.54%0.0203✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002985-0.50%0.002915-2.83%0.0257✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003124-0.52%0.003-4.46%0.0294✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003391-0.83%0.00314-8.19%0.0776✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002886-0.32%0.00342+18.13%0.1660✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002793-0.25%0.002895+3.39%0.0393✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002832-0.29%0.0028-1.41%0.0114✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002937-0.27%0.00284-3.57%0.0130✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002888-0.25%0.002945+1.73%0.0243✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002514-0.22%0.002895+14.88%0.0853✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.28%0.00252-4.18%0.0391✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002881-0.48%0.00263-9.15%0.0951✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.36%0.002895+8.83%0.0402✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002395-0.20%0.00266+10.83%0.1026✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00245-0.22%0.0024-2.24%0.0270✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00254-0.21%0.002455-3.54%0.0036✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002574-0.24%0.002545-1.36%0.0267✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002692-0.29%0.00258-4.44%0.0372✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002736-0.33%0.0027-1.64%0.0138✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002596-0.36%0.002745+5.37%0.0480✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002845-0.54%0.002605-8.92%0.0687✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002715-0.19%0.00286+5.15%0.0539✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002622-0.13%0.00272+3.62%0.0435✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002673-0.08%0.002625-1.87%0.0044✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002744-0.05%0.002675-2.55%0.0309✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002634-0.04%0.002745+4.17%0.0397✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.00288-0.01%0.002635-8.51%0.0733✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002922-0.27%0.00288-1.71%0.0611✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003193-0.53%0.00293-8.72%0.0848✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003017-0.26%0.00321+6.12%0.0768✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002558-0.06%0.003025+18.16%0.1533✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002544-0.03%0.00256+0.59%0.0133✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002784-0.05%0.002545-8.62%0.0946✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002842+0.06%0.002785-1.94%0.0099✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002686+0.02%0.00284+5.77%0.0414✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002705-0.00%0.002685-0.74%0.0132✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002866+0.03%0.002705-5.58%0.0525✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003054-0.03%0.002865-6.22%0.0798✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002953-0.07%0.003055+3.38%0.0254✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003038-0.05%0.002955-2.80%0.0119✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003031-0.29%0.00304+0.00%0.0688✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003088-0.38%0.00304-1.94%0.0773✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003028-0.39%0.0031+1.97%0.0663✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003214-0.51%0.00304-5.88%0.0593✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003028-0.40%0.00323+6.25%0.0350✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003068-0.40%0.00304-1.30%0.0059✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002916-0.31%0.00308+5.30%0.0539✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002916-0.31%0.002925+0.00%0.0116✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003176-0.45%0.002925-8.31%0.0824✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002935-0.34%0.00319+8.32%0.0847✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003405-0.58%0.002945-14.01%0.1439✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003028-0.41%0.003425+12.66%0.1243✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003077-0.44%0.00304-1.62%0.0119✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003291-0.56%0.00309-6.65%0.0631✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003692-0.90%0.00331-11.14%0.1097✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004889-1.83%0.003725-25.20%0.2717✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002985-0.16%0.00498+66.56%0.5130✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003173-0.22%0.00299-5.97%0.0581✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003281-0.26%0.00318-3.34%0.0314✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003244-0.18%0.00329+1.23%0.0159✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003129-0.05%0.00325+3.83%0.0379✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.00321-0.15%0.00313-2.64%0.0309✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003442-0.24%0.003215-6.81%0.0652✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00362-0.26%0.00345-4.96%0.0480✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003642-0.23%0.00363-0.55%0.0027✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003768-0.32%0.00365-3.44%0.0384✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003687-0.22%0.00378+2.30%0.0288✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003684-0.16%0.003695+0.14%0.0035✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003826-0.24%0.00369-3.78%0.0394✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003988-0.31%0.003835-4.13%0.0427✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003969-0.28%0.004+0.50%0.0063✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003874-0.15%0.00398+2.58%0.0310✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004103-0.17%0.00388-5.60%0.0542✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004061-0.10%0.00411+1.11%0.0117✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004212-0.07%0.004065-3.56%0.0328✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004319-0.03%0.004215-2.43%0.0239✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004525-0.11%0.00432-4.64%0.0503✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003698+0.22%0.00453+22.76%0.2019✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00411+0.24%0.00369-10.00%0.1036✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004254+0.22%0.0041-3.42%0.0398✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004365+0.23%0.004245-2.53%0.0280✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004726+0.14%0.004355-7.73%0.0835✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00533+0.00%0.00472-11.44%0.1180✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004932+0.25%0.00533+8.33%0.0813✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00623-0.16%0.00492-21.15%0.2427✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007404-0.35%0.00624-16.02%0.1754✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008073-0.46%0.00743-8.38%0.0817✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007767-0.43%0.00811+3.97%0.0449✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008223-0.51%0.0078-5.63%0.0509✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008511-0.58%0.008265-3.45%0.0262✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007874-0.45%0.00856+8.22%0.0895✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008551-0.58%0.00791-8.02%0.0740✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009022-0.75%0.0086-5.39%0.0538✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007101-0.12%0.00909+27.85%0.2502✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007789-0.39%0.00711-9.08%0.0936✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008061-0.49%0.00782-3.46%0.0307✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007958-0.46%0.0081+1.31%0.0192✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007843-0.46%0.007995+1.46%0.0146✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008556-0.62%0.00788-8.48%0.0897✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008928-0.69%0.00861-4.23%0.0427✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008631-0.68%0.00899+3.45%0.0443✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009457-0.76%0.00869-8.81%0.0897✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009078-0.74%0.00953+4.21%0.0524✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008865-0.73%0.009145+2.41%0.0340✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.00963-0.82%0.00893-8.03%0.0844✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010083-0.95%0.00971-4.62%0.0437✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009468-0.96%0.01018+6.49%0.0698✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008334-0.79%0.00956+13.81%0.1400✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009376-1.00%0.0084-11.30%0.1051✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007447-0.58%0.00947+26.44%0.2450✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007359-0.56%0.00749+1.22%0.0176✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007501-0.52%0.0074-1.86%0.0027✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006515-0.23%0.00754+15.47%0.1449✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007163-0.51%0.00653-9.31%0.1009✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007776-0.69%0.0072-8.05%0.0788✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008025-0.68%0.00783-3.09%0.0058✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.00784-0.63%0.00808+2.41%0.0288✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008768-0.82%0.00789-10.75%0.1305✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009011-0.87%0.00884-2.75%0.0205✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.00965-1.02%0.00909-6.77%0.0716✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012303-1.81%0.00975-22.19%0.3115✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009289-1.02%0.01253+33.51%0.2711✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008817-1.04%0.009385+5.33%0.0602✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010805-1.78%0.00891-19.00%0.1886✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007229-0.83%0.011+50.89%0.4183✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007461-0.85%0.00729-3.12%0.0302✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007604-0.86%0.007525-1.89%0.0242✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008845-0.95%0.00767-14.11%0.1484✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009861-1.04%0.00893-10.39%0.0982✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010531-1.12%0.009965-6.43%0.0547✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012016-1.31%0.01065-12.53%0.1195✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013597-1.69%0.012175-11.97%0.1149✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012981-1.73%0.01383+4.69%0.0635✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017318-2.18%0.01321-25.39%0.2701✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019928-3.03%0.017705-13.84%0.1180✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016969-2.70%0.02055+17.83%0.1933✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01768-2.97%0.01744-4.28%0.0110✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021876-3.59%0.01822-19.70%0.1800✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016599-3.44%0.02269+32.00%0.3230✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020906-4.19%0.01719-21.22%0.2054✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006543-3.57%0.02182+221.59%1.2214✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004281-2.70%0.006785+54.20%0.4809✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002433-0.29%0.0044+80.33%0.6011✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002423-0.31%0.00244+0.41%0.0206✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002372-0.35%0.00243+2.10%0.0154✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002264-0.27%0.00238+4.85%0.0465✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002234-0.28%0.00227+1.34%0.0442✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002348-0.29%0.00224-4.88%0.0535✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002293-0.30%0.002355+2.39%0.0141✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002404-0.27%0.0023-4.56%0.0598✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002472-0.31%0.00241-2.82%0.0240✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002414-0.25%0.00248+2.48%0.0215✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002637-0.30%0.00242-8.51%0.1104✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002735-0.36%0.002645-3.64%0.0406✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002938-0.39%0.002745-6.95%0.0608✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002905-0.51%0.00295+1.03%0.0289✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003097-0.75%0.00292-6.41%0.0421✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002733-0.60%0.00312+13.45%0.1196✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003257-0.40%0.00275-15.90%0.1716✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003343-0.52%0.00327-2.68%0.0117✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.00343-0.45%0.00336-2.47%0.0214✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003255-0.44%0.003445+5.35%0.0337✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003541-0.52%0.00327-8.15%0.0858✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003523-0.61%0.00356+0.42%0.0155✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003457-0.52%0.003545+2.01%0.0502✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003506-0.68%0.003475-1.56%0.0087✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003816-0.64%0.00353-8.07%0.1035✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003589-0.45%0.00384+6.52%0.0633✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003563-0.46%0.003605+0.70%0.0028✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003521-0.53%0.00358+1.13%0.0201✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003997-0.44%0.00354-11.83%0.1772✓1.10
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