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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
80.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5633
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0846
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002728-0.98%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002752-0.48%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002706-0.51%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002712-0.49%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003-2.44%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002662-1.21%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002665-1.12%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.00272-0.92%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002733-1.17%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002814-0.74%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002724-0.95%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.0028-0.89%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002806-1.21%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002757-1.19%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002723-0.79%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002865-0.87%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002926-0.47%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003185-1.99%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003114-0.53%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003008-0.72%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002918-0.41%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002984-0.87%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002937-0.76%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002898-0.57%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002981-0.62%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003119-0.66%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003335-2.47%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002893-0.08%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002807+0.25%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002848+0.27%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002979+1.16%0.002755-6.45%0.0558✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002955+2.08%0.002765-4.49%0.0360✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002529+0.37%0.00272+7.94%0.0541✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002636+0.21%0.002725+3.61%0.0270✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002875-0.69%0.003075+6.22%0.0547✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002637-0.86%0.002695+1.32%0.0315✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002397-0.11%0.002695+12.29%0.0601✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002445-0.41%0.002745+11.81%0.0429✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002538-0.27%0.002765+8.64%0.0475✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002563-0.66%0.002835+9.88%0.0321✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002672-1.04%0.00275+1.85%0.0217✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002717-1.02%0.002825+2.91%0.0277✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002596-0.34%0.00284+9.02%0.0176✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002839-0.73%0.00279-2.45%0.0627✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002707-0.47%0.002745+0.92%0.0198✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002617-0.32%0.00289+10.10%0.0573✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002677+0.06%0.00294+9.91%0.0392✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002757+0.44%0.00325+18.40%0.1012✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002646+0.41%0.00313+18.79%0.0997✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002936+1.96%0.00303+5.21%0.0015✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002917-0.44%0.00293+0.00%0.0788✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003204-0.19%0.00301-6.23%0.1478✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003046+0.68%0.00296-2.15%0.0897✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002566+0.23%0.002915+13.87%0.0361✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002555+0.38%0.003+17.88%0.0978✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002784-0.03%0.00314+12.75%0.0405✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002888+1.70%0.00342+20.42%0.1201✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002712+0.99%0.002895+7.82%0.0081✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002736+1.16%0.0028+3.51%0.0436✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002919+1.88%0.00284-0.87%0.0877✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003106+1.66%0.002945-3.60%0.1562✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002991+1.20%0.002895-2.03%0.1469✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003121+2.65%0.00252-17.11%0.2484✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003021-0.62%0.00263-13.49%0.2476✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003027-2.34%0.002895-6.61%0.2268✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002913-4.18%0.00266-12.50%0.3066✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003064-5.14%0.0024-25.70%0.4433✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002885-5.10%0.002455-19.24%0.3739✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002935-4.69%0.002545-17.37%0.3853✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002801-4.22%0.00258-11.79%0.3050✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002797-4.37%0.0027-7.69%0.2704✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003016-5.46%0.002745-13.95%0.2791✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002799-4.95%0.002605-11.54%0.2079✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003212-6.21%0.00286-16.50%0.1581✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002887-5.03%0.00272-10.53%0.0723✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002931-5.15%0.002625-15.05%0.1109✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003132-5.36%0.002675-19.18%0.1602✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003495-6.16%0.002745-26.31%0.2559✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004354-12.58%0.002635-47.09%0.5113✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002869-4.03%0.00288-3.68%0.0389✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003032-4.67%0.00293-7.86%0.0067✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003128-4.92%0.00321-2.43%0.0505✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003079-5.27%0.003025-6.92%0.0182✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002995-4.32%0.00256-18.21%0.1225✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003076-4.33%0.002545-20.84%0.1539✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003271-5.18%0.002785-19.28%0.1153✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003464-4.57%0.00284-21.76%0.1442✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003492-4.34%0.002685-26.44%0.2146✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003642-3.66%0.002705-28.44%0.2497✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003557-3.75%0.002865-22.46%0.1672✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003567-3.33%0.003055-17.21%0.1216✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003714-3.17%0.002955-22.95%0.1915✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003889-2.78%0.00304-24.00%0.2069✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00388-2.52%0.00304-23.62%0.2222✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003762-3.04%0.0031-20.10%0.1811✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003981-3.13%0.00304-26.03%0.2697✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003937-3.14%0.00323-20.54%0.1990✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004081-3.18%0.00304-27.88%0.2977✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00419-3.00%0.00308-28.70%0.3100✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004392-3.05%0.002925-35.43%0.4139✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003506-4.98%0.002925-20.73%0.1872✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00394-3.89%0.00319-22.20%0.2095✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004087-3.72%0.002945-30.62%0.3281✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004194-3.70%0.003425-21.35%0.2019✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004578-3.00%0.00304-35.59%0.4061✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005239-1.71%0.00309-42.03%0.5215✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004889-0.63%0.00331-32.72%0.3796✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006221-0.31%0.003725-40.30%0.5071✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007317-1.52%0.00498-32.97%0.3809✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007824-3.53%0.00299-63.13%0.9605✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007511-3.71%0.00318-59.23%0.8582✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007808-5.53%0.00329-60.19%0.8611✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008011-6.42%0.00325-62.03%0.8984✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007446-5.86%0.00313-60.43%0.8554✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007936-7.72%0.003215-62.62%0.8875✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008297-8.72%0.00345-62.05%0.8647✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006699-5.79%0.00363-48.95%0.5925✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007261-7.14%0.00365-53.32%0.6693✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007457-7.94%0.00378-53.33%0.6539✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007355-8.00%0.003695-53.78%0.6661✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007273-7.70%0.00369-53.17%0.6681✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007882-8.45%0.003835-55.46%0.7101✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008201-8.78%0.004-55.51%0.7077✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007913-8.94%0.00398-54.20%0.6712✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008619-9.56%0.00388-59.29%0.7931✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008255-9.73%0.00411-55.06%0.6913✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008064-9.70%0.004065-54.48%0.6757✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008713-10.27%0.004215-56.59%0.7293✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009122-10.39%0.00432-57.56%0.7569✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008601-10.03%0.00453-52.62%0.6477✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00762-9.28%0.00369-56.07%0.7286✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008414-11.15%0.0041-56.71%0.7272✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006847-8.59%0.004245-43.32%0.4770✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006756-8.70%0.004355-41.15%0.4381✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006851-9.14%0.00472-37.40%0.3588✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006019-7.82%0.00533-18.38%0.1141✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006546-9.08%0.00492-31.67%0.2906✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007064-9.78%0.00624-20.31%0.1239✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007255-10.21%0.00743-8.04%0.0478✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007098-10.03%0.00811+2.79%0.1507✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007957-9.99%0.0078-11.76%0.0264✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008169-10.13%0.008265-9.08%0.0028✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008744-10.32%0.00856-12.21%0.0451✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010975-12.41%0.00791-36.87%0.5303✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008401-10.48%0.0086-8.36%0.1829✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007967-10.58%0.00909+2.02%0.0426✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009693-11.88%0.00711-35.36%0.4717✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006487-11.01%0.00782+7.27%0.0440✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006704-10.91%0.0081+7.64%0.0500✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006788-11.50%0.007995+4.24%0.0001✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007919-11.32%0.00788-11.76%0.0794✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008799-11.70%0.00861-13.60%0.0777✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009356-12.15%0.00899-15.59%0.0622✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010684-12.25%0.00869-28.62%0.2195✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012142-12.20%0.00953-31.09%0.2727✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011556-12.52%0.009145-30.77%0.2617✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015605-11.86%0.00893-49.56%0.5742✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018014-12.34%0.00971-52.75%0.5938✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015307-12.23%0.01018-41.63%0.3584✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.015882-12.83%0.00956-47.53%0.4596✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019045-16.06%0.0084-62.98%0.7746✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.014361-16.46%0.00947-44.91%0.3210✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016497-24.39%0.00749-65.67%0.6940✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005797-14.56%0.0074+9.06%0.5112✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004057-7.79%0.00754+71.36%1.0001✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002468+1.15%0.00653+167.62%1.3999✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002447+0.68%0.0072+196.30%1.4403✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002391+0.45%0.00783+228.99%1.5498✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002272+0.11%0.00808+255.95%1.6841✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002243+0.15%0.00789+252.23%1.7156✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002358+0.12%0.00884+275.37%1.5516✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002294-0.26%0.00909+295.22%1.5889✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002395-0.60%0.00975+304.56%1.5622✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002461-0.78%0.01253+405.24%1.7226✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002396-1.00%0.009385+287.81%1.4244✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002604-1.54%0.00891+236.86%1.2633✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002694-1.87%0.011+300.73%1.4384✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002876-2.51%0.00729+147.12%0.9669✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002856-2.20%0.007525+157.71%1.0088✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003027-2.97%0.00767+145.83%0.9662✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002679-2.59%0.00893+224.73%1.2091✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003128-4.35%0.009965+204.74%1.1649✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003209-4.50%0.01065+216.96%1.2202✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003274-4.96%0.012175+253.41%1.3484✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003109-4.91%0.01383+322.94%1.4776✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.00335-5.89%0.01321+271.07%1.3518✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003337-5.86%0.017705+399.44%1.6316✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003292-5.27%0.02055+491.37%1.8160✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003351-5.08%0.01744+394.05%1.6457✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003612-5.93%0.01822+374.48%1.5793✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003404-5.57%0.02269+529.40%1.8417✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003383-5.50%0.01719+380.17%1.5365✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003347-5.44%0.02182+516.38%1.8114✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003732-7.04%0.006785+68.99%0.4565✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003827-7.00%0.0044+6.93%0.0142✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003768-6.85%0.00244-39.68%0.5675✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003595-6.62%0.00243-36.88%0.5199✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003743-7.13%0.00238-40.94%0.5856✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004024-7.61%0.00227-47.88%0.6897✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003517-7.07%0.00224-40.82%0.6206✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003749-8.34%0.002355-42.42%0.6254✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003812-9.25%0.0023-45.24%0.6779✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003777-8.44%0.00241-41.58%0.6095✓1.00
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