UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +7d

assessed

57

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4321

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0406

actual +0.0597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.275098	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.274502	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.271041	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.244185	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.2164	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.227178	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.272421	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.270052	-3.53%	0.28138	+0.51%	0.0177	✓	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.26513	-3.37%	0.281425	+2.57%	0.0096	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.284537	-4.32%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0202	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.196055	-1.20%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2359	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.231141	-2.19%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0094	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.206159	-1.11%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1521	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.203975	-0.88%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3502	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.196881	-0.57%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3413	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.226867	-1.01%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2307	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.240636	-1.23%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2685	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.262059	-1.63%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1850	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.281632	-2.15%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1116	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.284276	-2.08%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2677	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.269482	-1.44%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2240	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.293497	-2.13%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3207	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.389764	-3.98%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5241	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.378561	-3.86%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4867	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.286658	-1.55%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1297	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.308283	-2.15%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1179	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.351871	-3.46%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2001	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.326644	-2.74%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1878	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.330329	-2.83%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1078	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.380459	-3.75%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0844	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.463199	-4.09%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1070	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.531587	-4.58%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5363	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.441028	-4.56%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4000	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.462197	-4.82%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2983	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.552159	-5.58%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5581	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.44764	-5.41%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4015	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.359085	-3.93%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0364	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.309521	-2.96%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2779	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.357172	-3.69%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3374	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.364169	-3.92%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1789	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.341381	-3.56%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2961	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.36632	-4.13%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4167	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.378548	-4.52%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2259	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.398174	-4.93%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.471806	-6.01%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3543	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.521338	-6.56%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3290	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.631164	-7.08%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4649	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.729614	-7.68%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6906	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.583315	-7.56%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3916	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.70465	-8.45%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5152	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.759599	-9.37%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6079	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.780601	-10.71%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4550	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.791065	-13.49%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3559	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.466391	-11.10%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3421	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.306256	-5.58%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9278	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.236774	-1.86%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9569	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.259122	-2.10%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0764	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.334456	-10.15%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9407	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.158037	+0.32%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7250	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.198225	-0.21%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5342	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.141492	+0.42%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3113	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.083498	-1.88%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3418	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.111475	+0.70%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7783	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.103722	-1.59%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8420	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.