UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1485

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275105	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.275754	-0.66%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0106	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247577	-0.51%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0834	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218796	-0.39%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1336	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230095	-0.42%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0644	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280076	-0.71%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1890	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.277893	-0.73%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0328	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272338	-0.74%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0117	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.294612	-0.93%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0280	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198127	-0.16%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3704	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235177	-0.48%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1216	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208129	-0.17%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1082	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.205651	-0.06%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0046	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198161	+0.08%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0166	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.228792	-0.17%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1069	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.242829	-0.33%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0051	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265252	-0.43%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0803	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286349	-0.51%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0553	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.288908	-0.48%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0438	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272435	-0.36%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0581	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298458	-0.48%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0799	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.402718	-0.79%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3261	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.390689	-0.77%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0402	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290125	-0.36%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.3008	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.313546	-0.48%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0494	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.362149	-0.64%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1404	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334007	-0.55%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0795	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.338052	-0.56%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0006	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392598	-0.68%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1441	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479096	-0.80%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1531	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.551834	-0.94%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1251	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.458061	-0.88%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0923	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.481013	-0.95%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0386	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.577742	-1.20%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1806	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.468086	-1.08%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1498	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371015	-0.74%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2399	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.317626	-0.42%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1534	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368338	-0.67%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1087	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376414	-0.69%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.3519	-0.59%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0810	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.379455	-0.69%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0703	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.39359	-0.73%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0393	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.415577	-0.77%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.497611	-0.87%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1703	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.552729	-0.93%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.671567	-1.13%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1698	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.779228	-1.40%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1437	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.623531	-1.19%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2350	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.75826	-1.48%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1640	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.823699	-1.72%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1177	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.854494	-2.26%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.886812	-3.01%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.513461	-2.13%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5656	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.319926	-1.36%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5019	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239226	-0.84%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2994	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.262211	-0.94%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.363732	-2.28%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3335	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157038	-0.32%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8567	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197696	-0.48%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2213	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140424	-0.34%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3309	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.08492	-0.21%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4976	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110529	-0.15%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2451	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.105025	-0.36%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0176	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.