UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +30d

assessed

34

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

82.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6392

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1309

actual -0.3130

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.265383	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.264577	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.261307	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.236082	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.209582	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.219423	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.257626	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.255163	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.250999	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.266562	-10.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.185652	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.219782	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.194679	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.19224	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.184989	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.213576	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.226986	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.247829	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.266305	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.267983	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.25325	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.275912	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.364961	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.354576	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.268137	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.2888	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.329316	-9.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.305515	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.308734	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.355786	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.435183	-9.89%	0.28138	-41.74%	0.3933	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.498109	-10.59%	0.281425	-49.48%	0.5174	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.410865	-11.09%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4267	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.430106	-11.43%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.5589	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.510567	-12.69%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8652	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.412331	-12.87%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6597	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.332796	-10.96%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2530	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.285305	-10.55%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1245	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.329827	-11.06%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2286	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.335464	-11.49%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2052	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.312778	-11.64%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5183	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.335056	-12.31%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4376	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.345103	-12.95%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.5925	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.362192	-13.52%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6184	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.42707	-14.92%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8092	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.470198	-15.72%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.7701	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.567845	-16.40%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9089	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.653222	-17.34%	0.266405	-66.29%	0.9684	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.522131	-17.25%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.6779	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.627157	-18.52%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.8122	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.670632	-19.99%	0.27341	-67.38%	0.9863	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.683305	-21.84%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9154	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.674953	-26.18%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.5701	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.405075	-22.79%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.1025	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.284589	-12.26%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.230058	-4.64%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2328	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.25406	-4.02%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.3106	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.299688	-19.49%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0518	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157813	+0.17%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6955	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.199077	+0.21%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.6198	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.14038	-0.37%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.1322	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.079049	-7.11%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8359	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.109867	-0.75%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.4010	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.098178	-6.85%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.4919	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.