PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0935

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0163

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.61488	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.606646	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.619841	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.617727	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.601768	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.636371	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.580558	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.573277	-1.93%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0840	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.60876	-2.34%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0187	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.602004	-2.38%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0513	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.658609	-2.82%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0307	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.659577	-2.92%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0601	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.641761	-2.93%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0249	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.622473	-2.91%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0529	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.639075	-2.94%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0780	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.639413	-2.79%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0098	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.719022	-2.97%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1277	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.785492	-3.48%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1310	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.697252	-2.92%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0161	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.72367	-3.12%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0802	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.680244	-3.10%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0423	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.691791	-3.51%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0479	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.658121	-3.23%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0109	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.645395	-3.77%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1261	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.631368	-3.77%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2414	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.600389	-2.79%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1772	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.637538	-3.63%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1559	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.601268	-2.83%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1520	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.564258	-2.70%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2447	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.565385	-2.25%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2019	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.5599	-2.43%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2038	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.501768	-2.10%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2465	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.525515	-2.40%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1410	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.524983	-2.51%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2103	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.501858	-2.61%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1588	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.50129	-2.74%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0953	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.474255	-2.65%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1460	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.482733	-2.82%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1324	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.462565	-2.54%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0810	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.46783	-2.68%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1211	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.473295	-3.42%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1116	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.469298	-4.67%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0944	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.460041	-3.81%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1243	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.43025	-1.79%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1366	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.441001	-1.67%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1228	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422749	-0.06%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1328	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415558	+0.04%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1583	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412398	+0.17%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1840	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412133	+0.84%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.2004	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.404291	-0.45%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1645	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.411897	-0.48%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0579	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413193	+0.16%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0803	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.415882	-0.28%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0070	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424861	-0.04%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0281	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419926	-0.04%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0261	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.420501	+1.08%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0320	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.411268	+0.70%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0064	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.421437	+0.33%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0138	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.447456	-0.01%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0799	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.407916	+0.30%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0223	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.393843	+0.32%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0730	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.422192	+0.38%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0038	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.39485	-0.64%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0432	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39299	-1.18%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0233	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.38248	-1.40%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0812	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.364633	-1.05%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1859	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.36378	-1.03%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0928	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.372484	-1.01%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0317	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.366131	-0.83%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1142	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.374654	-0.90%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0473	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.375497	-0.90%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0480	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.387435	-1.08%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0016	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.395975	-1.19%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0736	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403426	-1.34%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0869	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.388514	-1.10%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0258	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388781	-1.12%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0475	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.390097	-1.23%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0290	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.389554	-1.23%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0234	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395832	-1.39%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0087	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.407775	-1.69%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0192	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.430419	-2.22%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0566	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.434441	-2.37%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1081	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.425494	-2.32%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0862	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.439525	-2.60%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1055	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.423132	-2.56%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0716	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.416103	-2.48%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0362	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392411	-1.52%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0558	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.373822	-1.13%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1677	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.38087	-1.30%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1594	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380099	-1.39%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1394	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.375158	-1.29%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1855	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361639	-0.69%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1896	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340112	-0.35%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2353	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323804	-0.17%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2113	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348772	-0.32%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0788	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.364884	-0.45%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0575	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391764	-0.77%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0169	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390853	-0.70%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0325	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384944	-0.60%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0605	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381985	-0.55%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1182	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.388452	-0.59%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1927	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.412107	-0.86%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1670	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.413379	-0.89%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1239	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.410574	-0.88%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0383	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390371	-0.67%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0065	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396656	-0.71%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0317	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410979	-0.85%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0724	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.402612	-0.74%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0246	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389247	-0.45%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0653	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417479	-0.62%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0031	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.421703	-0.64%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0231	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.414125	-0.53%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0573	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414075	-0.46%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0422	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415811	-0.40%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0162	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.450978	-0.84%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1115	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455782	-0.90%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1593	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457647	-0.48%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0903	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427701	-0.02%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0110	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434887	+0.07%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0460	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458652	-0.05%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0968	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499926	-0.42%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1829	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.536443	-0.94%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1710	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.545482	-1.00%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1763	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.551653	-1.23%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1886	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.557293	-1.22%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2698	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.590594	-2.06%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3097	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.545972	-1.07%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1709	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.550183	-1.36%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0892	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.573949	-1.85%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0568	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.572257	-1.76%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0368	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.58234	-1.78%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0417	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.604005	-2.07%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0682	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.548801	-0.87%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0947	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.580595	-0.99%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0584	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.576893	-0.89%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0437	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.594506	-1.36%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0234	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.624447	-1.83%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0747	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.634779	-1.45%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0780	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.637294	-1.47%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0395	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.60551	-1.29%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0881	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.602155	-1.22%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0103	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.596431	-1.50%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0144	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.618129	-2.15%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0379	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.612478	-2.09%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1429	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.606093	-1.94%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1967	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.59805	-1.81%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2034	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.61419	-1.95%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0946	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.625849	-2.06%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1225	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.59776	-1.80%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1417	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.606127	-1.83%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1213	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.606024	-1.83%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.638949	-2.06%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.625505	-2.07%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.645787	-2.18%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.618361	-2.10%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0745	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.563561	-1.97%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.620675	-2.21%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.7034	-2.60%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1250	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.740848	-2.90%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1083	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.693986	-2.50%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.721385	-2.56%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.685809	-2.36%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.746951	-2.60%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2145	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.777956	-2.80%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1432	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.874124	-4.03%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.939201	-6.38%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1756	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.819546	-5.40%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.619121	-2.07%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1654	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.