PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0382

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.626606	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.617227	-0.37%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0213	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.631597	-0.40%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0282	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629635	-0.41%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0086	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.612594	-0.36%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0264	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.650282	-0.48%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0551	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.590251	-0.30%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1067	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582816	-0.30%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0112	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.62089	-0.39%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0488	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.614269	-0.39%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0045	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.674104	-0.53%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0772	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.675724	-0.55%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0021	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657577	-0.53%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0303	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.63788	-0.50%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0302	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.654932	-0.53%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0110	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.654384	-0.51%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0206	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.736478	-0.62%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1117	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.80717	-0.82%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0811	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.713965	-0.60%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1217	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.741923	-0.68%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0337	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.697211	-0.68%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0708	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.710934	-0.84%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0197	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674997	-0.75%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0607	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.664191	-0.96%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0227	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.649757	-0.97%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0379	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613872	-0.61%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0662	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.655438	-0.92%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0614	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.614838	-0.64%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0751	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.576325	-0.62%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0711	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575461	-0.51%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0199	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.570431	-0.60%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0168	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510367	-0.43%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0819	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535707	-0.51%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0437	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535584	-0.54%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0030	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.512519	-0.54%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0203	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512413	-0.58%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0043	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484402	-0.56%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0591	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493484	-0.66%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0004	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.471902	-0.57%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0444	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477603	-0.64%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0040	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485403	-0.95%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0100	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485321	-1.42%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0065	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472763	-1.15%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0492	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436006	-0.48%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0932	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446549	-0.43%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0164	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422894	-0.03%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0647	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415371	-0.01%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0157	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411745	+0.01%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0081	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409106	+0.10%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0138	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405747	-0.09%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0068	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.413478	-0.10%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0177	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412521	-0.01%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0072	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.41671	-0.08%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0134	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424795	-0.06%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0164	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.4198	-0.07%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0111	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416143	+0.03%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0184	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.408301	-0.02%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0142	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419541	-0.12%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0288	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446383	-0.25%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0593	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406421	-0.07%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0928	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392544	-0.01%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0336	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420493	-0.03%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0657	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.39683	-0.14%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0515	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396768	-0.23%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0044	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386882	-0.26%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0231	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367768	-0.20%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0530	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366851	-0.19%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0022	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375614	-0.18%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0214	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368673	-0.14%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0204	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377464	-0.15%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0215	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378295	-0.16%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0007	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390873	-0.20%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0308	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399872	-0.22%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0197	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407846	-0.26%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0147	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.392004	-0.22%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0424	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.392348	-0.22%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0012	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.394012	-0.24%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0038	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393478	-0.23%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0050	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400364	-0.26%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0171	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413462	-0.32%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0320	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.438269	-0.44%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0549	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.442885	-0.48%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0087	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433536	-0.47%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0263	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448664	-0.57%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0236	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431701	-0.59%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0428	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.424257	-0.57%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0232	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397268	-0.30%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0712	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.37725	-0.22%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0585	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384866	-0.27%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0203	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384262	-0.31%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0037	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378883	-0.31%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0197	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363673	-0.13%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0471	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341117	-0.05%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0667	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324321	-0.01%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0478	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349729	-0.05%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0769	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366251	-0.08%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0453	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394194	-0.15%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0759	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393069	-0.13%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0040	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.38681	-0.11%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0209	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383697	-0.10%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0102	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390338	-0.11%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0276	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414986	-0.17%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0548	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416352	-0.18%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0014	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413446	-0.18%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0101	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392453	-0.14%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0511	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398868	-0.16%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0178	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413641	-0.21%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0316	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404835	-0.19%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0257	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390618	-0.10%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0365	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419565	-0.13%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0721	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423853	-0.13%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0107	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415908	-0.11%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0172	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415617	-0.09%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0025	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417131	-0.09%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0067	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.45376	-0.23%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0808	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.458663	-0.27%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0095	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.459354	-0.11%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0019	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427887	+0.02%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0721	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434783	+0.04%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0166	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458973	+0.02%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0535	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501709	-0.07%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0903	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540581	-0.18%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0759	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549968	-0.19%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0144	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55721	-0.23%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0127	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.5629	-0.22%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0067	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.600564	-0.40%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0620	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550911	-0.18%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0916	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.55643	-0.24%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0073	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.58279	-0.34%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0435	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580664	-0.32%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0068	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591027	-0.32%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0153	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.614445	-0.38%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0367	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552964	-0.11%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1093	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.585598	-0.14%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0617	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.581418	-0.12%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0092	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.601439	-0.21%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0297	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.634138	-0.31%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0503	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.642653	-0.22%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0170	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.645306	-0.23%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0014	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612279	-0.18%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0724	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608562	-0.17%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0094	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.604124	-0.23%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0290	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.629307	-0.38%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0039	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.623209	-0.37%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0353	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.61602	-0.34%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0172	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.607243	-0.30%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0140	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.624327	-0.33%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0234	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.6367	-0.36%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.60687	-0.30%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0717	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.615454	-0.32%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0076	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.615389	-0.31%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.65002	-0.36%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.636453	-0.35%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0089	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.657604	-0.39%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.629322	-0.36%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.573172	-0.30%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0879	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.632348	-0.37%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.71868	-0.49%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1183	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.758579	-0.58%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.70845	-0.47%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0863	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.736476	-0.52%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.69934	-0.44%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0346	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.762864	-0.53%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.79545	-0.62%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.901509	-1.02%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1132	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.985913	-1.72%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.854448	-1.37%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1547	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.629878	-0.37%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3164	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.