PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2022

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0380

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.583498	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.580093	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.591404	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.589064	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.572429	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.603631	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.55077	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.543137	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.578418	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.570184	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.624766	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.625563	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.608506	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.589974	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.607338	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.610087	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.688151	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.751576	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.667053	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.692517	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.651572	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.661801	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.630471	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.618149	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.605612	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.577465	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.611942	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.579066	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.545176	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.54932	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.544985	-5.03%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1729	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.487247	-4.94%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2283	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.508401	-5.58%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2171	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.507335	-5.79%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2126	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.48305	-6.26%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2088	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.482242	-6.43%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2704	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.457383	-6.11%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2249	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.466414	-6.11%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2090	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.447587	-5.69%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.3004	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.4527	-5.82%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2872	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.457297	-6.68%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3631	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.452495	-8.09%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3775	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.44719	-6.49%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3706	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.423529	-3.33%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.4011	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.43339	-3.37%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4014	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.419952	-0.72%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4248	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.413499	-0.46%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5557	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.410906	-0.19%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6535	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.414363	+1.39%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5343	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.400495	-1.38%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5982	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.407539	-1.54%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5182	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412682	+0.03%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5364	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.414023	-0.73%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4745	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424673	-0.09%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4392	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.42217	+0.49%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4188	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.433568	+4.22%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3393	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.422852	+3.54%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4298	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.4324	+2.94%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3374	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.458538	+2.47%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2181	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.416522	+2.42%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3057	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.400083	+1.91%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3360	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.42866	+1.92%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1723	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.391456	-1.50%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3087	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.385055	-3.18%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3176	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.369957	-4.63%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3207	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.353693	-4.02%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3611	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.352515	-4.09%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3072	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.362534	-3.66%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2925	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.357944	-3.05%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2598	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.366465	-3.06%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2550	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.36699	-3.14%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2683	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.377853	-3.52%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2356	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.386171	-3.64%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1759	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.392369	-4.04%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0727	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.378519	-3.65%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1286	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.37925	-3.55%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0791	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.379914	-3.81%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0497	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.380523	-3.52%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0296	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.386621	-3.68%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0017	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.396651	-4.38%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0270	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.415975	-5.50%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0552	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.418768	-5.89%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0652	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.411402	-5.56%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0339	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.424624	-5.90%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0371	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.409764	-5.64%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0022	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.40323	-5.50%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0129	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.382904	-3.90%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0432	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.367634	-2.77%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1057	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.374045	-3.07%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1468	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.373997	-2.97%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0537	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.370197	-2.59%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0303	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.357902	-1.72%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1282	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.337462	-1.12%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1441	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32115	-0.99%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2038	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.344853	-1.44%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1176	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.359866	-1.82%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0246	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.383462	-2.87%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0386	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.383804	-2.49%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0171	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.379512	-2.00%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0211	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.377347	-1.76%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0077	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.382877	-2.01%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0153	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.405558	-2.44%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0341	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.407478	-2.31%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0171	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.40563	-2.07%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0054	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387586	-1.38%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0083	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394862	-1.16%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0124	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.408902	-1.35%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0374	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.40095	-1.15%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0183	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38664	-1.12%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0362	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.411798	-1.98%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0060	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.417125	-1.71%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0507	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411253	-1.22%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0751	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412615	-0.81%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0462	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414901	-0.62%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0673	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.449681	-1.13%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0403	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.454354	-1.21%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0692	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.455096	-1.03%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1385	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424947	-0.67%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1236	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.43076	-0.88%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1160	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.45281	-1.33%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1635	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.490986	-2.20%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2546	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.523035	-3.42%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3589	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.53212	-3.43%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4394	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.537794	-3.71%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.5042	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.545258	-3.35%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4418	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.569408	-5.57%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4387	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.533187	-3.39%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.3001	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.534956	-4.09%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3054	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.554692	-5.14%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3585	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.55266	-5.12%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3635	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.562184	-5.18%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3624	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.579898	-5.98%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3331	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.533795	-3.58%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2468	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.559894	-4.52%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3083	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.556072	-4.47%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3509	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.569327	-5.54%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3524	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.595224	-6.43%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3619	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.602976	-6.38%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4051	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.60258	-6.84%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4395	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.572143	-6.73%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3044	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.568868	-6.68%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2836	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.56466	-6.74%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2644	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.58717	-7.05%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2556	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.583662	-6.70%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1751	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.580303	-6.12%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0998	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.573643	-5.81%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0784	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.588064	-6.12%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1076	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.597948	-6.42%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1209	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.572186	-6.00%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.581697	-5.78%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.582421	-5.65%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.613703	-5.93%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.599598	-6.12%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0920	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.61987	-6.11%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0843	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.593087	-6.10%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1493	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.540139	-6.05%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3097	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.596063	-6.09%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.674866	-6.55%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.709751	-6.98%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.668178	-6.13%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.696165	-5.96%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.661305	-5.85%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1518	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.719187	-6.22%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.749304	-6.38%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.834497	-8.38%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.883011	-11.98%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1359	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.772358	-10.84%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.592161	-6.33%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3577	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.