MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s8

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0838

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042274	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042707	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043327	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043098	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044445	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045833	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044591	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044803	-1.98%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0650	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04362	-1.78%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0030	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042875	-1.80%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0252	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045648	-2.31%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0092	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042333	-1.62%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0952	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040864	-1.46%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1554	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040434	-1.42%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1100	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043559	-1.77%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0784	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04532	-1.99%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0219	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.0487	-2.68%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0392	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.0479	-2.55%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0239	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048473	-3.00%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0868	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.04507	-2.70%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0486	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.04812	-4.02%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1043	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.04113	-1.53%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0800	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041313	-1.59%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0800	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041499	-1.67%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1483	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043093	-1.84%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0972	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043922	-2.02%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1235	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045367	-2.49%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0137	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043968	-2.10%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1233	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042822	-1.85%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0105	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045443	-2.37%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0348	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044366	-2.01%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0062	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04215	-1.95%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0218	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041589	-1.88%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0149	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040221	-1.61%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0859	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034934	-1.01%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1109	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034186	-0.97%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1021	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033755	-0.95%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1535	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035372	-0.95%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1172	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035108	-1.02%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1318	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036656	-1.13%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0819	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037182	-1.18%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0365	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.03646	-1.10%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0293	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03826	-1.00%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0656	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.04146	-1.62%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1450	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039821	-0.87%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.0925	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039562	-0.05%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0437	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040046	-0.26%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0298	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038674	+0.22%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0191	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040398	+0.82%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0026	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036562	-0.35%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0368	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037334	-0.28%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.1011	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038102	+0.43%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0433	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036777	+0.22%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0267	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038596	+0.48%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0119	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037607	+0.53%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0059	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039797	+1.71%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0099	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039957	+1.13%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0550	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039262	+0.93%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0275	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040587	+0.99%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0602	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.04271	-0.35%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1506	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.04019	-0.12%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0667	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042477	-0.01%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1183	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037352	-1.21%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0803	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034342	-1.57%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0351	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031485	-1.76%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0482	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031623	-1.79%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0320	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031083	-1.48%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0350	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030816	-1.33%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0047	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030768	-1.23%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0278	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032146	-1.56%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0298	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032675	-1.64%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0561	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032612	-1.59%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0419	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.03564	-2.09%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1136	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035244	-2.05%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0663	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035428	-2.04%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0843	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034598	-1.93%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0628	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034858	-1.95%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0466	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035356	-1.98%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0358	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035157	-1.90%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0475	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035989	-1.91%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0013	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035848	-1.81%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0265	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035895	-1.66%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0408	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035981	-1.53%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0661	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036437	-1.52%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0145	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035933	-1.27%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0113	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039016	-1.40%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0893	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039217	-1.27%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0617	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042632	-1.43%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1166	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.04197	-1.31%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1074	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042922	-1.31%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1344	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042677	-1.13%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1358	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043237	-1.04%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1261	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042966	-0.91%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0260	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042415	-0.85%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0332	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043656	-0.90%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0234	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044109	-0.83%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0258	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043005	-0.68%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0071	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045714	-0.84%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0848	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047566	-0.96%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1139	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048526	-1.05%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1446	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046839	-0.89%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1551	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045726	-0.80%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0586	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046339	-0.73%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0641	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047114	-0.67%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0791	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047656	-0.63%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0469	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047065	-0.56%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0369	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049928	-0.78%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0556	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049058	-0.71%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0029	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.05088	-0.86%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1024	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051917	-0.96%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1224	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050637	-0.77%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1028	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049286	-0.57%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0668	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045052	-0.20%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0015	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045193	-0.08%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0021	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047986	-0.22%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0563	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045664	-0.06%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0269	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047197	-0.11%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0361	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046675	-0.08%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0342	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04649	-0.04%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0250	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050564	-0.25%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0915	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055142	-0.66%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1129	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.05538	-0.80%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0627	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056009	-0.83%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1244	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054287	-0.75%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0466	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056481	-0.98%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1131	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061145	-1.65%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1998	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056548	-0.98%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0223	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056801	-1.20%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0515	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059161	-1.86%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0008	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061135	-2.76%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0168	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061325	-2.21%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1090	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046732	+0.18%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2007	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046239	+0.32%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3105	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042928	+0.96%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2290	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047543	+0.70%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1164	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050387	+0.57%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1205	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048979	+1.03%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2057	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045495	+2.01%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2658	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.04709	+2.13%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0482	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051414	+1.67%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1059	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055099	+1.49%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2218	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055416	+1.57%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0747	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059609	+0.81%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0094	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061264	+0.48%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0010	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063305	+0.39%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0518	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062217	+0.96%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1155	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063964	+0.89%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0933	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067707	+0.26%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0720	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067857	+0.23%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073253	-0.90%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1342	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076506	-1.13%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1818	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079197	-1.19%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079708	-0.76%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2294	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085446	-1.79%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080849	-0.93%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1384	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080588	-0.66%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1619	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.08504	-1.12%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088639	-1.45%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.09131	-1.53%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1116	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098497	-1.76%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103535	-1.75%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101558	-1.75%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1956	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107829	-1.77%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2373	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116409	-1.82%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2425	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124429	-1.96%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2645	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122881	-2.09%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2494	✓	1.00