MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s8

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

75.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1710

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0453

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.040652	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041204	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041727	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041511	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04267	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043841	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.04278	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042905	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041957	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041211	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043675	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040746	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039368	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038928	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041831	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043467	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046275	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.045667	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.045992	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043123	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.045457	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.039694	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039876	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040029	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04147	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042163	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043271	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042229	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041335	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.043574	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.042793	-5.48%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0723	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040458	-5.89%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0352	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.04	-5.63%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0848	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038815	-5.05%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.1004	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033818	-4.17%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.2025	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033107	-4.09%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2530	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032667	-4.15%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2251	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034317	-3.90%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2329	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034007	-4.12%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1659	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035529	-4.17%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1348	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036068	-4.14%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1579	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035374	-4.04%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0874	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.037192	-3.76%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0375	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.039936	-5.24%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0290	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.038661	-3.76%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0643	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.038697	-2.23%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0869	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039127	-2.55%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1426	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.037978	-1.59%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1361	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.039856	-0.54%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1641	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.035676	-2.76%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1291	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036489	-2.54%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1806	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037503	-1.15%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0198	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036171	-1.43%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0465	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038093	-0.83%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0145	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037243	-0.45%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0533	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039994	+2.21%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0454	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040118	+1.54%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0626	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039546	+1.66%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0274	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041106	+2.28%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0308	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042595	-0.62%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0587	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040347	+0.27%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0492	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042936	+1.07%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0483	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036803	-2.66%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0014	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033284	-4.60%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0006	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030198	-5.78%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0662	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03029	-5.93%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0920	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029726	-5.78%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1119	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029449	-5.70%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0982	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029406	-5.60%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0807	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030638	-6.18%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0786	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031057	-6.51%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0780	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.030928	-6.67%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0792	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033691	-7.44%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1412	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033356	-7.29%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0345	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033556	-7.21%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0997	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032859	-6.86%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1145	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033064	-6.99%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1137	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033526	-7.05%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1578	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033328	-7.01%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1553	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.03411	-7.03%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2095	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033968	-6.96%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1867	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033998	-6.85%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2130	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034126	-6.61%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2315	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034722	-6.16%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1712	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034224	-5.97%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1811	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037198	-5.99%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2642	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037342	-5.99%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2399	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040672	-5.96%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2916	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040088	-5.73%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2729	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041022	-5.68%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2151	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.040955	-5.12%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2479	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04162	-4.74%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2125	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041487	-4.32%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2211	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.040991	-4.18%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2448	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042169	-4.27%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2744	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042724	-3.95%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2759	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041684	-3.73%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2556	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044216	-4.09%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3313	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.045925	-4.37%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3506	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.046771	-4.63%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3257	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.044931	-4.93%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3274	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.0439	-4.76%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2764	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044693	-4.26%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2084	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045691	-3.67%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2552	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046354	-3.35%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2879	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045828	-3.17%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3226	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048565	-3.49%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3334	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.047849	-3.16%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2963	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049584	-3.38%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3354	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050554	-3.56%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3295	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049397	-3.20%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3252	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048138	-2.89%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3068	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044058	-2.40%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2508	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044138	-2.41%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3164	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046842	-2.59%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3356	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044556	-2.48%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2141	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046064	-2.51%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2299	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045576	-2.43%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1665	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04541	-2.36%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1644	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.04949	-2.37%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1936	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.053861	-2.97%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2686	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054129	-3.04%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2565	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054739	-3.08%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2984	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053259	-2.63%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2395	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055284	-3.08%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2529	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059171	-4.82%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3282	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055368	-3.05%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2323	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055604	-3.28%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1416	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.05751	-4.60%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1421	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.058955	-6.23%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1663	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059123	-5.72%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1677	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045995	-1.40%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0021	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045461	-1.36%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0221	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041967	-1.30%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0717	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046494	-1.52%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0026	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049163	-1.87%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0224	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047447	-2.13%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0584	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043442	-2.60%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0801	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044851	-2.73%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0952	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049112	-2.88%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0754	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052482	-3.33%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0063	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052462	-3.85%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0325	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.055947	-5.38%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0172	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.057265	-6.08%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1188	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059008	-6.43%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1115	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.057851	-6.12%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059286	-6.49%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.0626	-7.30%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06287	-7.13%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.067954	-8.07%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0567	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.0711	-8.12%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073767	-7.96%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.07414	-7.69%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0955	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079472	-8.65%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1850	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074834	-8.30%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074446	-8.23%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.078891	-8.27%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.082532	-8.24%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1963	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.085551	-7.74%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.092854	-7.39%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2050	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.098099	-6.91%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2176	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.095998	-7.13%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5002	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.102335	-6.77%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5616	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.110697	-6.64%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6716	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.118218	-6.86%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6308	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.116384	-7.27%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.5968	✓	1.00