MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s8

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0327

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0027

actual -0.0071

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042739	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043202	-0.35%	0.04289	-1.07%	0.0028	✓	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043883	-0.38%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0327	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043666	-0.39%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0119	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045094	-0.42%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0401	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046605	-0.49%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0265	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045281	-0.46%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0456	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045503	-0.45%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0109	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044226	-0.41%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0628	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.04348	-0.41%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0053	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046471	-0.55%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0260	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042872	-0.37%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0724	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041337	-0.32%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0335	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040891	-0.30%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0014	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044169	-0.40%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0461	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.046027	-0.46%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0019	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049727	-0.63%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0691	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048852	-0.62%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0369	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049604	-0.74%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0396	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045991	-0.71%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0789	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049595	-1.08%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0624	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041619	-0.36%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1645	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041823	-0.37%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0002	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.04204	-0.39%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0045	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04371	-0.43%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0178	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044616	-0.48%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0169	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046252	-0.59%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0368	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044681	-0.51%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0455	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043425	-0.47%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0335	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046262	-0.61%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0271	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045032	-0.54%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0400	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042785	-0.48%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0450	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042185	-0.47%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0203	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040709	-0.42%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0336	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035198	-0.26%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0689	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034435	-0.25%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0208	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034	-0.24%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0057	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035621	-0.25%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0015	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035379	-0.26%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0134	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036969	-0.29%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0338	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037515	-0.29%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0127	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036765	-0.27%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0113	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038541	-0.27%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0141	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041973	-0.41%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0797	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.04007	-0.25%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0620	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039535	-0.11%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0387	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040088	-0.15%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0219	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038563	-0.07%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0374	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.04007	+0.00%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0083	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036637	-0.14%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0155	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037388	-0.14%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0171	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037926	-0.04%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0084	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036673	-0.06%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0181	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038395	-0.04%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0354	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037398	-0.03%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0198	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039163	+0.08%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0037	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039511	+0.00%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0313	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038885	-0.04%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0071	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040162	-0.07%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0240	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042723	-0.32%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0839	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040129	-0.28%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0536	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042336	-0.34%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0279	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.03764	-0.45%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0271	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034745	-0.42%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0149	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031922	-0.40%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0034	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03207	-0.40%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0049	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031448	-0.32%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0111	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031141	-0.29%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0170	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031068	-0.26%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0043	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032547	-0.33%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0342	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033106	-0.34%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0140	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.03303	-0.33%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0083	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036236	-0.45%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0811	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.03582	-0.44%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0366	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.036004	-0.44%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0006	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035136	-0.41%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0285	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035405	-0.41%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0173	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035919	-0.42%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0029	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035698	-0.40%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0019	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036544	-0.40%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0326	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036373	-0.37%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0094	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036376	-0.34%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0131	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036426	-0.31%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0034	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036884	-0.31%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0333	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036301	-0.26%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0015	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.03945	-0.30%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0817	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.03961	-0.28%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0043	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043105	-0.34%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0475	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042396	-0.30%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0016	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043356	-0.31%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0238	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043044	-0.28%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0307	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043571	-0.27%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0123	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.04325	-0.25%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0190	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04268	-0.23%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0114	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043942	-0.25%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0381	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044377	-0.23%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0050	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043214	-0.20%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0096	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045991	-0.24%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0630	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047894	-0.27%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0179	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048895	-0.30%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0122	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047135	-0.26%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0200	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045977	-0.25%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0615	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046568	-0.24%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0095	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047325	-0.22%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0056	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047862	-0.20%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0310	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047243	-0.18%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0068	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050202	-0.23%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0339	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049301	-0.22%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0361	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051191	-0.25%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0451	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052277	-0.27%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0301	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050911	-0.23%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0159	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049475	-0.19%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0066	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045092	-0.11%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0604	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045194	-0.08%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0349	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048035	-0.11%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0220	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045655	-0.08%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0365	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047208	-0.09%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0223	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046674	-0.08%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0138	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046479	-0.07%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0017	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050632	-0.11%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0574	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055395	-0.21%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0551	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055691	-0.24%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0232	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05634	-0.25%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0237	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054569	-0.24%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0551	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056871	-0.30%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0549	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061891	-0.45%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0951	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056933	-0.31%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1268	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057269	-0.39%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0262	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059931	-0.58%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0255	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062327	-0.86%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0475	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.062293	-0.67%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0231	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046625	-0.05%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2777	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046079	-0.02%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0128	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042562	+0.10%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0395	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047235	+0.05%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1005	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050115	+0.03%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0336	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048536	+0.12%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0362	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044711	+0.25%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0429	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046231	+0.26%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0330	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050676	+0.21%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0544	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05439	+0.18%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0695	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054667	+0.20%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0373	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059191	+0.10%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0088	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061004	+0.06%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0172	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063087	+0.04%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0300	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061699	+0.12%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063468	+0.11%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067539	+0.01%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0524	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067709	+0.01%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073789	-0.17%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077216	-0.21%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079977	-0.22%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080209	-0.14%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086707	-0.34%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081469	-0.17%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081018	-0.13%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085823	-0.21%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0541	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089693	-0.27%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092458	-0.29%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099905	-0.35%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104993	-0.37%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.103004	-0.35%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109367	-0.37%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.118102	-0.39%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126368	-0.43%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124944	-0.45%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0033	✓	1.00