GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0823

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0262

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30055	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299969	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295045	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297273	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.294745	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.300339	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.295806	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31312	-1.80%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0190	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.312526	-1.60%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0221	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.322953	-1.97%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0732	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.329119	-2.02%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0850	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.33789	-2.34%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1199	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.334914	-2.30%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0914	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315427	-1.83%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0487	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.318205	-1.79%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0020	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.32189	-1.76%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0139	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.322532	-1.80%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0218	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.314971	-1.49%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0651	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.319275	-1.87%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0810	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.320384	-2.01%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0683	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.312447	-1.85%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0293	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315526	-2.19%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0266	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.312631	-2.13%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0463	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.309751	-2.23%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0578	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321362	-2.38%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0053	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.333086	-2.82%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0236	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.337861	-3.19%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0329	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.342418	-3.48%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0730	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.330175	-3.63%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0230	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.3369	-4.41%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0537	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.34356	-4.26%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0811	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.35098	-6.33%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0676	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.326079	-4.33%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0463	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.32322	-4.99%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0730	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.33852	-6.10%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0256	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.295615	-2.24%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1242	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.296652	-2.29%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1321	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.293198	-1.87%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1661	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.289863	-1.89%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2373	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.29181	-1.76%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1390	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.298545	-1.84%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1131	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.283083	-1.40%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2426	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.285532	-1.05%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0676	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.300478	-1.14%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0237	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.290092	-0.72%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0338	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.294814	-0.47%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0189	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.298691	-0.55%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0067	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292134	-0.40%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0565	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292367	+0.38%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285753	-0.05%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0036	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277915	+0.22%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0827	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285562	+0.66%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0193	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283831	+0.74%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0345	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.287732	+1.14%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0381	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.286333	+1.30%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0184	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.310241	+1.89%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0656	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.313115	+1.91%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0860	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.315479	+2.33%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1253	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.320503	+2.53%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1208	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.331994	+2.47%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1639	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.341979	+2.27%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1870	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34983	+2.48%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2120	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310073	-0.33%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0235	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.323726	-1.63%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0341	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.354144	-2.83%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1552	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.356604	-3.03%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1519	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.352837	-3.19%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1049	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.359431	-3.46%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0895	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.356434	-3.30%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0672	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.378068	-3.82%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2071	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.3624	-3.62%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1037	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.358897	-3.76%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0139	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.35178	-3.34%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0436	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.33564	-2.73%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0858	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.336412	-2.84%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1046	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.331806	-2.87%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1084	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.328525	-2.99%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1808	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.346295	-3.35%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0841	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.33764	-3.41%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.1000	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.331599	-3.35%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0925	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318179	-2.98%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0795	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.311775	-3.02%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1028	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.317992	-3.26%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0696	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32053	-3.13%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0554	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.319044	-3.13%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1154	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.338067	-3.41%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0332	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.354205	-3.68%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0316	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.3614	-3.84%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.0954	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.355704	-4.06%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.0999	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.349127	-3.48%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0595	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340738	-3.39%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0290	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.343193	-3.48%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0393	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.348703	-4.03%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0058	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.313737	-3.14%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1575	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.307129	-3.04%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.2026	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.309591	-3.03%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1797	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.314972	-3.03%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1385	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.322242	-3.16%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0915	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.322088	-3.25%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.1000	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.320952	-3.11%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1254	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.317922	-2.79%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0234	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.328248	-3.00%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0337	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.335079	-2.93%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0463	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.337742	-2.85%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0395	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.338676	-2.79%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0164	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.345418	-2.85%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0321	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.363283	-3.07%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0883	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.365223	-3.00%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1146	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.370254	-3.01%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.0896	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.375912	-3.04%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0837	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.37263	-2.96%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0655	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.377236	-2.97%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0755	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.383042	-2.95%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0693	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.383815	-2.76%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0118	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.382382	-2.91%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0063	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.369116	-2.43%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0470	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.368192	-2.43%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0618	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.380416	-2.62%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0172	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.381587	-2.48%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0244	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.371987	-2.34%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0564	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.381136	-2.55%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0214	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.389412	-2.63%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0020	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.399841	-2.72%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0675	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.405414	-2.76%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0859	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.391922	-2.59%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0177	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.364689	-2.07%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0523	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.403952	-2.66%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0856	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.415566	-2.75%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0845	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.423533	-2.79%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0758	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.477528	-3.24%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1653	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.433819	-3.09%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.440256	-3.23%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0890	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.456168	-3.44%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.1921	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.454241	-3.58%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.436782	-3.52%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0837	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.446499	-3.71%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0742	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.449629	-3.86%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0558	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.391476	-3.46%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.419586	-3.68%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0407	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.413499	-3.86%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1370	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.459507	-4.19%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.487008	-4.32%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.428888	-3.90%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.2010	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.433764	-3.84%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2257	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.457103	-4.12%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0728	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.433033	-4.52%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1900	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.594997	-5.23%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1829	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.674558	-5.35%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1923	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.631846	-5.74%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.599699	-5.72%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2155	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.669141	-7.46%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3491	✓	1.00