GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.309332	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.309196	-0.36%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0044	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304569	-0.37%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0199	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299137	-0.34%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0230	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301402	-0.33%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0042	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298709	-0.31%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0126	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304666	-0.31%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0167	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299756	-0.23%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0190	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317893	-0.30%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0562	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316789	-0.26%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0059	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328343	-0.34%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0330	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334766	-0.34%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0164	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344626	-0.40%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0258	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.34152	-0.37%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0130	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.3205	-0.25%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0672	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323239	-0.23%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0061	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326867	-0.24%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0093	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.32759	-0.26%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0002	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319084	-0.21%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0291	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324492	-0.26%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0153	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326023	-0.28%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0021	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317523	-0.26%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0294	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.32159	-0.31%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0107	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318463	-0.31%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0129	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315838	-0.30%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0113	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328193	-0.31%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0352	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341563	-0.35%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0369	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347652	-0.39%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0143	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353414	-0.38%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0125	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34126	-0.39%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0388	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.351161	-0.37%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0251	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357375	-0.41%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0139	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.371199	-0.93%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0396	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338579	-0.67%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1015	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337796	-0.71%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0086	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.357538	-0.82%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0619	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301685	-0.24%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1775	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302845	-0.25%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0037	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298222	-0.19%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0297	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294923	-0.18%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0068	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296615	-0.15%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0020	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30369	-0.15%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0224	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286884	-0.08%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0553	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.28837	-0.06%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0039	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303581	-0.12%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0500	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292011	-0.06%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0431	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295939	-0.09%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0069	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300031	-0.11%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0152	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293005	-0.10%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0237	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291102	-0.05%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0182	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285819	-0.03%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0055	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277313	+0.00%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0311	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283672	-0.01%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0146	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281756	+0.00%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0041	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284509	+0.00%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0080	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282669	+0.01%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0052	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304806	+0.10%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0693	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307231	-0.01%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0124	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308197	-0.03%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0047	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312631	+0.01%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0127	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323772	-0.07%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0383	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333997	-0.12%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0321	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341475	+0.04%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0176	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310383	-0.23%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0911	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327898	-0.37%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0454	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362	-0.67%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1012	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365043	-0.74%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0019	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.361694	-0.76%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0142	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369378	-0.78%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0132	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.365813	-0.76%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0175	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389799	-0.84%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0553	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373035	-0.79%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0524	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369998	-0.78%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0162	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361389	-0.70%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0319	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342962	-0.61%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0610	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.343955	-0.66%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0033	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339262	-0.68%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0204	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336244	-0.71%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0148	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355393	-0.81%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0477	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.346801	-0.79%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0319	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340511	-0.75%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0255	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.325796	-0.66%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0518	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319453	-0.64%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0255	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.32649	-0.67%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0153	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328718	-0.66%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0018	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327245	-0.64%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0104	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347466	-0.72%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0536	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364888	-0.78%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0418	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372943	-0.77%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0125	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367897	-0.77%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0206	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359264	-0.67%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0313	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350495	-0.63%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0323	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353333	-0.62%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0009	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360979	-0.65%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0148	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322423	-0.46%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1206	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315413	-0.42%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0271	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317851	-0.44%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0036	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323347	-0.45%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0119	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331233	-0.46%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0195	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331518	-0.42%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0029	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329946	-0.39%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0087	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325967	-0.33%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0205	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337144	-0.37%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0335	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343929	-0.37%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0163	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346463	-0.34%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0044	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347321	-0.31%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0030	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354534	-0.29%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0156	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373395	-0.37%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0516	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375079	-0.38%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0024	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.38029	-0.38%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0090	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386185	-0.39%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0104	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382623	-0.36%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0146	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.38743	-0.35%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0064	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393381	-0.33%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0082	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393485	-0.31%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0068	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392583	-0.32%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0013	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377373	-0.25%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0450	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.37642	-0.25%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0035	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389591	-0.27%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0321	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390333	-0.25%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0018	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379932	-0.25%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0259	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38977	-0.34%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0284	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398305	-0.41%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0228	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409249	-0.43%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0208	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414886	-0.48%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0126	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400735	-0.40%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0425	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371436	-0.26%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0832	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413027	-0.48%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1155	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424823	-0.58%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0326	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.432851	-0.65%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0181	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.489098	-0.89%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1122	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.444391	-0.73%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0852	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.45155	-0.75%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.468329	-0.86%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467281	-0.81%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.449141	-0.79%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0516	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.459626	-0.88%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.463537	-0.89%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.40295	-0.63%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1095	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.432508	-0.71%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.42706	-0.71%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.475843	-0.78%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.5046	-0.86%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.442883	-0.77%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2067	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447516	-0.79%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0285	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472662	-0.86%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.449605	-0.87%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0531	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.621407	-1.03%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3129	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.705114	-1.06%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.66314	-1.08%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0921	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629309	-1.07%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0818	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.713631	-1.30%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1186	✓	1.00