GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

76.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1099

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0554

actual -0.0868

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.295722	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.296586	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.291011	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.287022	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.289783	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.287153	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.293163	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.29058	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.304405	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.305614	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.312935	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.320794	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.327851	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.325665	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.309052	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.313244	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.318262	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.318795	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.313562	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.316558	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.317613	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.310738	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.31293	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.309792	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.307487	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.319985	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.332899	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.339491	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.348819	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340154	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.363902	+3.25%	0.3105	-11.90%	0.1591	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.373488	+4.08%	0.3103	-13.53%	0.1854	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.353739	-5.59%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1479	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.330226	-3.12%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0962	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.329378	-3.18%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0868	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.336927	-6.54%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1308	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.294885	-2.49%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0203	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.29503	-2.82%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0072	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.293929	-1.63%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0664	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.290075	-1.82%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0630	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.29312	-1.32%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0985	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.299646	-1.48%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0839	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28422	-1.00%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1680	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.286964	-0.55%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1582	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.300005	-1.30%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0540	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.290862	-0.46%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0891	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.294087	-0.71%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0847	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.297659	-0.90%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0717	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.291714	-0.54%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0494	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292237	+0.34%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0846	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287691	+0.63%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0846	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.280022	+0.98%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0817	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.286468	+0.98%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0854	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.284704	+1.05%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0973	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28816	+1.29%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0793	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.286516	+1.37%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1192	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.312067	+2.49%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0838	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.312735	+1.79%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0958	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.314551	+2.03%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.1018	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.322461	+3.15%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0462	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.331846	+2.42%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0395	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.340761	+1.90%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0290	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.358381	+4.99%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0374	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310648	-0.15%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0868	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.319761	-2.84%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0833	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.337422	-7.42%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0520	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.338756	-7.88%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1301	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.334016	-8.35%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1125	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.340844	-8.45%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1502	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.338016	-8.30%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1564	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.358136	-8.89%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2041	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.344469	-8.39%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1406	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.341978	-8.29%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.1901	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.335229	-7.89%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1672	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.321412	-6.85%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0769	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.320911	-7.32%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1156	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.316404	-7.38%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0892	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.312881	-7.61%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0634	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.32813	-8.42%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1329	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.320928	-8.19%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1179	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.315327	-8.09%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1135	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.304005	-7.30%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1067	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.297982	-7.32%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0630	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.303454	-7.68%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0876	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.306976	-7.23%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0880	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.305144	-7.35%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0880	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.321196	-8.23%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0685	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.335752	-8.70%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1049	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.345156	-8.17%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1240	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.339173	-8.52%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.0916	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.331843	-8.25%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0319	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.326377	-7.46%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0148	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.330406	-7.07%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0234	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.33749	-7.12%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0862	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.303011	-6.45%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0861	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.297248	-6.16%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2038	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.2994	-6.22%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2053	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.304066	-6.38%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1801	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.311264	-6.46%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1783	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.313473	-5.84%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1604	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.31229	-5.72%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2287	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.309151	-5.47%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1976	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.319817	-5.49%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1531	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.326978	-5.28%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1074	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.330728	-4.87%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0438	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.331762	-4.78%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0464	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.338721	-4.73%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0136	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.354159	-5.51%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0425	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.35681	-5.23%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0056	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.361795	-5.23%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0333	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.3672	-5.29%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0670	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.364892	-4.98%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1043	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.369056	-5.08%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1349	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.374014	-5.24%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1227	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.373491	-5.37%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1057	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.373196	-5.24%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1160	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.36095	-4.59%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0167	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.360282	-4.52%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0326	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.372277	-4.70%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0257	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.37384	-4.46%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0060	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.363782	-4.49%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0025	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.369836	-5.44%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0399	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.374976	-6.24%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0460	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.384296	-6.50%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0461	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.387322	-7.09%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1757	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.375336	-6.71%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1649	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.350298	-5.93%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0823	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.384241	-7.41%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1722	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.393611	-7.88%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.1826	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.40018	-8.15%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.1964	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.444481	-9.93%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.2984	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.407957	-8.87%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.1869	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.414121	-8.97%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2051	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.42552	-9.92%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2125	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.425608	-9.66%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.408766	-9.70%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.1837	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.415713	-10.35%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1432	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.418612	-10.50%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1109	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.368206	-9.20%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0282	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.392859	-9.81%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0696	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.387532	-9.90%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.432145	-9.89%	0.384	-19.93%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.457563	-10.11%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.404434	-9.38%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1490	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.410414	-9.02%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1898	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.434563	-8.85%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.412225	-9.11%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.568462	-9.46%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2056	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.643999	-9.63%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2859	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.610685	-8.90%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.584133	-8.17%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1912	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.653188	-9.66%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3069	✓	1.00