GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0337

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305596	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304347	-0.44%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0087	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298947	-0.40%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0236	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301207	-0.39%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0036	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298507	-0.38%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0133	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304374	-0.40%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0157	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299342	-0.37%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0204	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317577	-0.40%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0552	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316439	-0.37%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0070	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328016	-0.44%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0320	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334362	-0.46%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0152	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344207	-0.52%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0246	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341044	-0.51%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0144	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319975	-0.41%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0689	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322654	-0.42%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0043	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326255	-0.43%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0074	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327001	-0.44%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0020	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318508	-0.39%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0309	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323864	-0.46%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0134	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325349	-0.49%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0001	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316867	-0.47%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0315	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.320866	-0.54%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0084	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317768	-0.53%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0151	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31504	-0.56%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0138	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327237	-0.60%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0323	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340325	-0.71%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0332	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346114	-0.83%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0098	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.351366	-0.95%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0067	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338791	-1.11%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0460	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.347162	-1.50%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0136	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.353619	-1.46%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0033	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.367286	-1.98%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0290	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336249	-1.35%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1084	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.334785	-1.59%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0175	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354276	-1.73%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0528	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300905	-0.49%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1801	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302078	-0.50%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0012	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297498	-0.44%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0322	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294177	-0.43%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0094	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295825	-0.41%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0007	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302829	-0.43%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0195	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286154	-0.33%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0579	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287755	-0.28%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0060	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303033	-0.30%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0482	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291525	-0.23%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0447	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.2956	-0.20%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0058	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299672	-0.23%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0140	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292692	-0.21%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0248	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290983	-0.09%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0186	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285543	-0.12%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0045	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277098	-0.07%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0319	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.28365	-0.02%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0146	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281759	+0.00%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0041	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284637	+0.05%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0085	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282854	+0.07%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0046	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304766	+0.09%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0692	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307506	+0.08%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0133	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308705	+0.13%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0064	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312983	+0.12%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0138	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324345	+0.11%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0401	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334632	+0.07%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0340	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341512	+0.05%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0177	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310428	-0.22%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0910	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327769	-0.40%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0450	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362201	-0.62%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1017	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365343	-0.65%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0028	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.361994	-0.67%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0134	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369526	-0.75%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0136	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366002	-0.70%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0170	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389776	-0.85%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0552	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.372925	-0.82%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0527	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369659	-0.87%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0172	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361248	-0.74%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0323	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342999	-0.59%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0609	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344103	-0.62%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0029	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.33947	-0.62%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0197	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336484	-0.64%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0141	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.35563	-0.75%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0484	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.346878	-0.76%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0316	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340574	-0.74%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0253	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.3259	-0.63%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0515	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319512	-0.62%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0253	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.3265	-0.67%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0154	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328693	-0.67%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327233	-0.64%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0104	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347467	-0.72%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0536	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364763	-0.81%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0415	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372444	-0.91%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0111	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367243	-0.95%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0224	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359057	-0.73%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0319	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350131	-0.73%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0333	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.352768	-0.78%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0007	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359855	-0.96%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0117	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321907	-0.62%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1223	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.314888	-0.59%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0288	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317365	-0.59%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0021	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322899	-0.59%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0105	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330686	-0.62%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0178	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330741	-0.65%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0052	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329279	-0.60%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0107	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32541	-0.50%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0222	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33647	-0.57%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0315	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.34326	-0.56%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0143	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.345762	-0.54%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0023	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.34659	-0.52%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0051	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.35368	-0.53%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0132	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372583	-0.59%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0495	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374292	-0.59%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0003	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379487	-0.59%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0069	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.38537	-0.60%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0083	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.381791	-0.58%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0168	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386575	-0.57%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0042	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392516	-0.55%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0060	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392741	-0.50%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0087	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391721	-0.54%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0035	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376704	-0.42%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0468	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375739	-0.43%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0053	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388788	-0.48%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0301	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389555	-0.45%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0038	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379318	-0.42%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0276	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38926	-0.47%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0271	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.397943	-0.50%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0219	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.408856	-0.52%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0198	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414646	-0.54%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0120	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400406	-0.48%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0434	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371171	-0.33%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0840	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.412895	-0.51%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1152	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424963	-0.55%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0330	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433218	-0.57%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0189	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490032	-0.70%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1141	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.444847	-0.63%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0842	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452005	-0.65%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469056	-0.71%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467728	-0.72%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.44961	-0.68%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.460296	-0.73%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464141	-0.76%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.403085	-0.60%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1092	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43273	-0.66%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427082	-0.70%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.47568	-0.82%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.504426	-0.90%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.442956	-0.75%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2065	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447566	-0.78%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472244	-0.95%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.448813	-1.04%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0549	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.619124	-1.39%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3092	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.702664	-1.40%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.659546	-1.61%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.625533	-1.66%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.706928	-2.23%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1091	✓	1.00