BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

190

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0268

actual -0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.050099	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049366	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046648	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048042	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.051953	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.054822	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.043978	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043282	-1.22%	0.05086	+16.08%	0.1490	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047309	-1.16%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0595	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054113	-1.09%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1342	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065189	-1.58%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2759	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066821	-1.80%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2180	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067232	-1.89%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1741	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064822	-1.73%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3775	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066339	-1.71%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4011	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066169	-1.43%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3017	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061533	-1.02%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0814	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.061834	-0.93%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0952	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061217	-1.05%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1232	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062153	-1.09%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1163	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064452	-1.19%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0530	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065237	-1.40%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0365	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.065912	-1.48%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0046	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066235	-1.42%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0838	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.069793	-1.64%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1246	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.069968	-1.64%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1251	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068348	-1.25%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0865	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066241	-0.97%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0182	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063195	-0.71%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0508	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068551	-0.54%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0074	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067985	-0.29%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0138	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065272	-1.32%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0574	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064709	-1.22%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0694	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064407	-1.19%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0478	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061502	-1.53%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0270	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060464	-1.56%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0077	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062122	-1.71%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0511	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061757	-1.42%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0570	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060868	-1.56%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0602	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063016	-1.58%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0174	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063171	-1.67%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0108	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.059701	-1.47%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0462	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061152	-1.26%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0152	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.066787	-1.30%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0362	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.066746	-1.03%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0574	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067018	-0.57%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0573	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068331	-0.62%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0476	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068309	-0.50%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0434	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069738	+0.16%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1072	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.066548	-1.07%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.0786	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.066777	-1.02%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0059	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.06805	-0.47%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0119	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067325	-0.76%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0169	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.070332	-0.38%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0331	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.071273	-0.29%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0496	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073994	+1.00%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0671	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072668	+0.63%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0662	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.069252	+0.35%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0189	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072737	+0.64%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0592	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.073513	+0.09%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0799	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074239	-0.27%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0585	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090188	-0.82%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2296	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082264	-2.27%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1517	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.078415	-2.89%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1440	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.076343	-3.33%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.1989	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.074878	-3.28%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1430	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.075361	-3.37%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1434	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.077086	-3.36%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1457	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.073134	-2.60%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.0954	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.073421	-2.59%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0586	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.074586	-2.55%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0204	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.07486	-2.35%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0422	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.075523	-2.35%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0185	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.072576	-2.00%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.0944	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.075486	-2.24%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0762	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.076203	-2.17%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0068	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.081942	-2.73%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0734	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.078592	-2.38%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0121	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.075189	-1.98%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0253	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075036	-1.89%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0252	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.074408	-1.93%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0192	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.073835	-1.81%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0229	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.077189	-2.34%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0120	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.077465	-2.58%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0886	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.078168	-2.53%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0223	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.077464	-2.20%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0117	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.077629	-2.13%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0127	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.084708	-2.68%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.0944	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.082457	-2.51%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0797	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.082241	-2.57%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0295	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.074435	-1.97%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0690	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.082232	-2.40%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0061	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.083429	-2.32%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0282	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.083668	-2.52%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0425	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.08769	-2.84%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0127	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.089418	-2.93%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0496	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.088905	-3.07%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0542	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.08843	-3.18%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1713	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.086665	-3.13%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0427	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.084577	-3.21%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.091197	-3.72%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1086	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.098361	-3.74%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1006	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.094573	-3.80%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0431	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.099839	-3.96%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.0814	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.106542	-4.38%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1633	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.083384	-4.22%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0366	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.08155	-4.10%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0476	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.091008	-4.05%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0620	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.088386	-4.30%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1429	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.087904	-4.47%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.1021	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.090515	-4.68%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.1160	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.095764	-5.40%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.1265	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.120378	-7.78%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.3659	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.094149	-6.04%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.1739	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.077643	-4.43%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1322	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.076825	-4.74%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1260	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.071859	-4.03%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.2018	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.064937	-3.09%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3436	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.068656	-3.42%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3619	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.079812	-4.32%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.5057	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.094642	-4.87%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.1042	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.090298	-4.19%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0607	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.089657	-4.39%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0607	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.084797	-4.13%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0711	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.09294	-5.00%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2814	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.090852	-4.70%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.2035	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.07513	-3.43%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1590	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073536	-3.41%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3491	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.075508	-3.90%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2576	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.069655	-2.65%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3348	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.067608	-2.16%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2718	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.072839	-2.78%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.2960	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.071232	-2.58%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.3023	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062056	-1.28%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1853	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063747	-1.40%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1249	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.063822	-1.42%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1646	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.06875	-1.97%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0077	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065532	-1.31%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0061	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.061744	-0.64%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1602	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062511	-0.82%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1601	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069166	-1.40%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0596	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.06435	-0.97%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0884	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.069635	-2.27%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0555	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069551	-2.52%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1770	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.07442	-3.32%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0990	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.073836	-3.29%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0307	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060358	-0.87%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.2068	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.061512	-1.13%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.3037	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061389	-1.26%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.2126	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.067234	-2.21%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1479	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.067195	-1.91%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.1108	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.070581	-2.04%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1299	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.069943	-1.63%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1189	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.08105	-3.51%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2396	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.074593	-2.68%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1447	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.069399	-1.94%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.0995	✓	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.070094	-1.95%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0226	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.069107	-1.89%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0040	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.073953	-2.42%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0106	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.073198	-2.29%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0113	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.084333	-2.98%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0234	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.086069	-3.11%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1009	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.106168	-3.94%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.3891	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.100851	-3.70%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3170	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.09463	-3.69%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2644	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.092981	-3.42%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.1886	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.087333	-3.05%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1465	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.088969	-3.25%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0297	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.085466	-2.93%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0548	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.0877	-3.12%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2345	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.091501	-3.40%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.1202	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.09535	-3.65%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0009	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.111973	-3.80%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1658	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.105924	-3.86%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1766	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.107837	-4.03%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.1899	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.124582	-4.09%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.3967	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.132467	-4.34%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4392	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.130272	-4.89%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3503	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.127843	-4.46%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2546	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.128423	-4.64%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1116	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.117022	-4.62%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.12818	-5.63%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1061	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.108807	-5.17%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.2090	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.120717	-7.60%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.1376	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.106017	-6.97%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.2366	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.082352	-4.46%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.4218	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.086417	-5.27%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.4187	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.112387	-8.81%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.144617	-12.96%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.081199	-5.07%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.3017	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.072211	-3.90%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5641	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.063633	-3.15%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5638	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.057792	-2.88%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3574	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053344	-2.45%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.5009	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.052548	-2.43%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7978	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.052256	-2.49%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1109	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.060298	-2.65%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2982	✗	1.00