BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

68.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2401

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0836

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.048833	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.04831	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.045647	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.047173	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.051076	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.053827	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.042868	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.041995	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.0461	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.052944	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.063576	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.065031	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.06541	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.063208	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.064589	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.064468	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.060019	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.060525	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.060026	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.061109	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.063395	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.064049	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.064804	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.065109	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.068465	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.06857	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.067022	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.065307	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.062657	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.06834	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068111	-0.10%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.2602	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.064198	-2.94%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2617	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.063662	-2.82%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.3006	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.063283	-2.91%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2678	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.059965	-3.99%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1589	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.058923	-4.06%	0.056	-8.82%	0.0900	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.060272	-4.63%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3345	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.060284	-3.77%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3365	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.059309	-4.08%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2471	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.0614	-4.11%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1395	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.06152	-4.24%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0382	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.057905	-4.43%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1293	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.059515	-3.90%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1203	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.064786	-4.26%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0027	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.06508	-3.50%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0096	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.065741	-2.47%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0114	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.067	-2.55%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1129	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.067166	-2.17%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1203	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069082	-0.79%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1336	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.06478	-3.70%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.0777	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.064998	-3.66%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0470	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.066839	-2.25%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0367	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.065811	-2.99%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0233	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.069119	-2.10%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0617	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.070503	-1.37%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0363	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.074805	+2.11%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.0764	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.073507	+1.79%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.0912	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.069863	+1.24%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.0794	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.073969	+2.34%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.1825	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074361	+1.24%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1318	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074789	+0.47%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1560	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090278	-0.72%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3274	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.079427	-5.64%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2329	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.074752	-7.42%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2096	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.071832	-9.04%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2235	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.070388	-9.08%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2245	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.07037	-9.77%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2097	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.071523	-10.34%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2513	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.067462	-10.16%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.1985	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.067823	-10.02%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1671	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.069036	-9.80%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2027	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.069466	-9.38%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2546	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.069978	-9.52%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2684	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.067147	-9.33%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1283	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.070018	-9.32%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1777	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.070739	-9.18%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2011	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.07582	-9.99%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2644	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.072599	-9.83%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2171	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.068842	-10.26%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1611	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.068506	-10.43%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1594	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.06772	-10.74%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1397	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.066989	-10.91%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1259	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.070107	-11.30%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.1706	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.070955	-10.77%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1337	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.071653	-10.65%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1317	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.07142	-9.83%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1140	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.071732	-9.56%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1267	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.079201	-9.01%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2391	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.076885	-9.10%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1685	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.076478	-9.40%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1394	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.069144	-8.94%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0243	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.077286	-8.27%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0669	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.07891	-7.61%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0107	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.07884	-8.15%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0044	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.082593	-8.48%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0448	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.084438	-8.34%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0830	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.083896	-8.53%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0596	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.083352	-8.74%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0326	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.081755	-8.62%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0662	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.079712	-8.78%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0360	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.085442	-9.80%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1290	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.092742	-9.24%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.1872	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.089186	-9.28%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1448	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.094319	-9.27%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2524	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.100467	-9.83%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.2901	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.077999	-10.40%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0376	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.07646	-10.09%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0847	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.085903	-9.43%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.0723	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.083291	-9.82%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.0888	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.082811	-10.01%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.0849	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.085373	-10.10%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1318	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.090391	-10.70%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2030	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.113155	-13.31%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.4112	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.088272	-11.90%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.1965	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.072723	-10.49%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0316	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.071872	-10.88%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0354	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.067438	-9.93%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.1083	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.061538	-8.17%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2711	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.064814	-8.83%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1997	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.074866	-10.25%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0797	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.088773	-10.77%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.1824	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.08487	-9.95%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0315	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.084246	-10.16%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0235	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.079915	-9.65%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0597	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.087277	-10.79%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0182	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.085179	-10.65%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0541	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.071201	-8.48%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2617	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.069855	-8.25%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2969	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.071484	-9.02%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2484	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.066243	-7.42%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2877	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.064346	-6.88%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.4196	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.068557	-8.49%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.3959	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.06673	-8.74%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3841	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.05857	-6.82%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5373	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.060157	-6.95%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5960	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.060383	-6.73%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3773	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.06456	-7.94%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2752	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.061571	-7.27%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3906	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.0585	-5.86%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.4228	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.05913	-6.19%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4523	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.064885	-7.51%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.4017	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.060541	-6.83%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.6013	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.065397	-8.21%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8722	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.065363	-8.39%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6840	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.069467	-9.75%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3822	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.068378	-10.44%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3968	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.055533	-8.80%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.5345	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.056639	-8.96%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.4158	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.056753	-8.72%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.5142	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.062735	-8.76%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5507	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.063092	-7.90%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6869	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.066599	-7.57%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5515	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.065895	-7.32%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5506	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.075718	-9.86%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.3192	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.069708	-9.06%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.5148	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.064781	-8.46%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5552	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.065711	-8.08%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.3191	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.064957	-7.78%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.3023	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.069779	-7.93%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2542	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.069396	-7.36%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1902	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.079956	-8.01%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0048	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.081254	-8.53%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0627	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.099973	-9.54%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2307	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.095249	-9.05%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.2873	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.089357	-9.06%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1762	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.086951	-9.68%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.1739	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.081359	-9.68%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0337	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.082867	-9.88%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.0894	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.080189	-8.92%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.0801	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.082333	-9.04%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1227	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.085775	-9.44%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.0604	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.089235	-9.83%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2051	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.105285	-9.54%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3321	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.099455	-9.73%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.2958	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.101085	-10.04%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2507	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.117208	-9.76%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4067	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.124834	-9.85%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.6805	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.122774	-10.36%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.6395	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.12067	-9.82%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6262	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.121045	-10.12%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.5604	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.11046	-9.96%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.4715	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.120616	-11.19%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.4942	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.102838	-10.37%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.3331	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.11327	-13.30%	0.084	-35.71%	0.3145	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.099601	-12.60%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.2829	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.077764	-9.79%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1334	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.081755	-10.38%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1500	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.104918	-14.87%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.4024	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.131837	-20.65%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.5920	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.076458	-10.61%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.068346	-9.05%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1515	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.060658	-7.67%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.3185	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.054514	-8.39%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5779	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.050575	-7.52%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6162	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.049848	-7.44%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5599	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.049526	-7.58%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5483	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.05731	-7.48%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3317	✗	1.00