8=======>

2022-08-09 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3723
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.1%
in alpha space · 40.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06867-0.52%0.087041+26.09%0.2062✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7486-0.53%4.8932+2.50%0.0088✗0.71887k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.1194-0.57%43.09+6.79%0.0342✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.258519-0.61%0.3001+15.38%0.1199✗0.9865k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058527-0.63%0.0734+24.62%0.1891✗1.25339k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,000.40-0.68%23,857.93+3.02%0.0068✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.06795-0.75%0.069764+1.90%0.0084✗0.60216k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8463-0.82%2.94+2.44%0.0174✗0.50110k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02184.9778-0.88%5.2507+4.56%0.0491✗0.14367k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.189232-0.88%0.1883-1.37%0.0722✓2.261,0642022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006426-0.92%0.006767+4.35%0.0301✗0.734,4282022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011933-0.97%0.00001581+31.20%0.2520✗0.99864k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.248334-0.98%0.27+7.66%0.0558✗0.94681k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.135106-1.02%0.1437+5.27%0.0287✗1.1155k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003642-1.03%0.00401+8.97%0.0628✗1.12517k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1563-1.08%1.2535+7.24%0.0525✗0.9552k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.28-1.08%1.271-1.78%0.0440✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9128-1.09%3.334+13.21%0.1093✗0.87585k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5131-1.11%1.47-3.92%0.0311✓0.07173k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121815-1.12%0.1265+2.68%0.0116✗0.88370k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.00004286-1.24%0.00004498+3.64%0.0227✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009746-1.25%0.01154+16.92%0.1470✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.58e-7-1.26%0.000001+3.09%0.0214✗0.7322k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.340765-1.28%0.3526+2.14%0.0049✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,908.96-1.30%23,861.50+2.81%0.0119✓0.9712k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.323745-1.30%0.316-3.66%0.0493✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.57e-7-1.34%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0094✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.216065-1.34%0.244+11.42%0.0844✗1.25716k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.223067-1.34%0.2556+13.05%0.0947✗1.3997k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.00211-1.40%0.00202-5.61%0.0733✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.3854-1.43%10.39-1.39%0.0299✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046817-1.44%0.0445-6.32%0.0798✓0.9810k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5023-1.45%3.876+52.66%0.4125✗0.8486k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.023-1.47%1.4706+41.65%0.3347✗0.95907k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.339139-1.47%0.362039+5.19%0.0320✗1.12875k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.152526-1.47%0.1861+20.22%0.1670✗1.07110k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004443-1.48%0.00476+5.54%0.0356✗1.1299k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.247454-1.49%0.2645+5.29%0.0358✗1.0491k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.043969-1.50%0.04681+4.86%0.0377✗0.842,3482022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0886-1.52%1.1561+4.59%0.0309✗0.9812k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5026-1.52%1.635+7.16%0.0457✗1.30698k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.425045-1.54%0.4464+3.41%0.0090✓1.35207k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1858.2625-1.55%61.33+3.63%0.0200✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.12011-1.58%0.12178-0.22%0.0139✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.086704-1.58%0.0811-7.95%0.0932✓0.89127k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3433-1.59%1.425+4.40%0.0263✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.096135-1.60%0.1069+9.42%0.0762✗1.017,6272022-08-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024497-1.62%0.0295+18.47%0.1721✗0.4640k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.2787-1.62%61.09+3.12%0.0091✓1.2835k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.504639-1.63%0.5571+8.60%0.0664✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.507866-1.63%0.4749-8.02%0.1068✓1.33245k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.0529-1.67%0.0539+0.19%0.0124✓1.04248k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008112-1.67%0.00828+0.36%0.0008✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.42795-1.68%0.42922-1.39%0.0280✓1.04124k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001629-1.69%0.001761+6.28%0.0542✗0.808,9342022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.0564-1.72%52.46-0.96%0.0222✓1.00552k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.581519-1.74%0.5677-4.07%0.0576✓1.13318k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.774-1.76%1.8887+4.60%0.0286✗1.15530k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.469388-1.76%0.4762-0.33%0.0206✓1.18892k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.124763-1.76%0.123-3.15%0.0398✓0.864,5002022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084459-1.77%0.09121+6.08%0.0432✗1.1329k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.473009-1.78%0.47192-2.00%0.0177✓0.5268k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022423-1.78%0.024604+7.78%0.0674✗0.8512k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017188-1.78%0.01753+0.17%0.0009✓0.69167k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9239-1.84%2.409+22.91%0.1955✗0.99588k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78155.8406-1.85%169.61+6.82%0.0541✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4034-1.86%1.41-1.40%0.0337✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.678-1.87%1.75+2.34%0.0103✓1.06140k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094949-1.89%0.0000971+0.33%0.0039✓0.62421k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.166461-1.91%0.1798+5.95%0.0442✗1.11548k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.322277-1.92%0.3392+3.23%0.0202✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.23e-7-1.93%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8143✗0.68150k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006062-1.93%0.006937+12.23%0.1201✗0.5050k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7132.0955-1.93%136.34+1.22%0.0019✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.297692-2.01%0.3019-0.63%0.0183✓1.09294k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048287-2.07%0.051969+5.40%0.0433✗1.0137k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.701075-2.08%0.7-2.23%0.0411✓1.33137k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.170193-2.09%0.16955-2.46%0.0432✓1.32216k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.396548-2.10%0.40858+0.87%0.0014✓1.05481k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.763603-2.10%0.81+3.85%0.0451✗0.4783k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.79086-2.12%0.818+1.24%0.0060✓0.93377k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041892-2.12%0.0426-0.47%0.0146✓1.0577k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.4491-2.13%61.168+2.43%0.0240✗0.72321k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0154-2.14%1.0226-1.45%0.0168✓0.8056k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.506013-2.14%0.5047-2.40%0.0362✓1.1350k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015012-2.15%0.015966+4.07%0.0406✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.069649-2.18%0.0688-3.37%0.0363✓0.81151k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.167581-2.23%0.1676-2.22%0.0310✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2844-2.25%2.016-13.74%0.1595✓1.16172k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6816-2.27%2.752+0.29%0.0103✓1.2254k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.650045-2.28%0.69252+4.11%0.0223✓1.3857k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.7456-2.28%0.71-6.95%0.0864✓1.262,7022022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.1973-2.28%30.67+2.64%0.0217✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.654009-2.39%0.672+0.30%0.0100✓1.2591k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.995273-2.40%1.0299+0.99%0.0014✓1.10543k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.030801-2.40%0.05113+62.01%0.4759✗1.0414k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6365-2.42%2.651-1.89%0.0464✓1.74131k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049535-2.43%0.05205+2.52%0.0267✗0.7717k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.110127-2.46%0.1138+0.80%0.0009✓1.07566k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.1872-2.46%15-3.66%0.0484✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7015-2.46%4.95+2.70%0.0393✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.2305-2.47%8.346-1.10%0.0251✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9695.5354-2.48%109.79+12.08%0.0929✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003272-2.50%0.004101+22.20%0.1998✗0.87988k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7221-2.54%1.675-5.21%0.0678✓1.35383k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2371-2.55%2.2701-1.11%0.0179✓1.0938k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.4116-2.55%20.12+1.00%0.0004✓1.19118k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.6738-2.56%8.839-0.71%0.0139✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.438336-2.57%0.4559+1.33%0.0044✓1.17165k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.928502-2.58%0.967+1.46%0.0072✓1.61296k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.4458-2.59%5.889+29.03%0.2738✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.83382-2.59%0.87+1.64%0.0019✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3395-2.62%5.96-8.45%0.0950✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9091-2.63%4.0127-0.04%0.0042✓1.0257k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053836-2.63%0.054802-0.89%0.0024✓0.5229k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.05832-2.64%0.0696+16.19%0.1434✗1.12185k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.505231-2.65%0.545+5.01%0.0457✗1.0113k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.212317-2.74%0.2113-3.21%0.0471✓1.421,2802022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7585-2.76%3.1212+10.03%0.1063✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5571-2.77%2.36-10.27%0.1088✓0.96726k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019599-2.79%0.025638+27.17%0.2636✗0.17215k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.19-2.79%3.7239+13.48%0.1397✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.3814-2.80%39.88+9.56%0.0787✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2633-2.82%3.62-17.48%0.1865✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,654.80-2.85%1,876.57+10.17%0.0870✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.338947-2.85%0.35342+1.30%0.0150✓0.90396k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.253779-2.88%0.2612-0.04%0.0284✓0.0135k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008459-2.88%0.00854-1.95%0.0243✓1.14457k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8127-2.91%4.19+6.70%0.0834✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0701-2.96%1.1489+4.19%0.0500✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8038-2.98%3.26+12.80%0.1126✗1.28227k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.4882-2.99%8.453-3.39%0.0378✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.987402-3.01%0.967-5.01%0.0371✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.0457-3.01%11.396+0.06%0.0052✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.0451-3.04%17.95+2.10%0.0148✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.3398-3.09%6.29+14.16%0.1532✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.583-3.09%7.773-0.66%0.0065✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8886-3.10%4.038+0.62%0.0296✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.6682-3.11%6.14+4.96%0.0689✗0.37894k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.2431-3.14%8.89+4.47%0.0705✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.9096-3.21%20.32-1.22%0.0010✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.603179-3.24%0.5897-5.41%0.0493✓0.90755k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031106-3.25%0.02789-13.25%0.1397✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.918124-3.25%1.072+12.96%0.1103✗1.50469k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.343522-3.26%0.35527+0.05%0.0002✓1.1413k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1075-3.28%1.1875+3.71%0.0370✗1.1013k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2658.2672-3.31%56.07-6.95%0.0702✓1.07489k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.085-3.33%5.44+3.42%0.0579✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0701-3.37%1.0221-7.70%0.0833✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.7867-3.38%6.197-11.77%0.1324✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.9761-3.38%12.36+8.80%0.0849✗1.14306k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2483-3.43%1.2853-0.56%0.0136✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.061979-3.46%0.0642+0.00%0.0017✓1.13827k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.030681-3.49%0.03136-1.35%0.0168✓1.301,7322022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.781696-3.49%0.959+18.40%0.1692✗1.18968k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9587-3.61%1.924-5.31%0.0535✓1.20234k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.140439-3.61%0.2097+43.93%0.3743✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.7908-3.62%3.3012+14.01%0.1282✗1.3313k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.7527-3.62%8.426+4.75%0.0570✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.079501-3.64%0.08258+0.10%0.0150✓0.779072022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.0551-3.74%38.9-8.79%0.1097✓1.88328k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.918194-3.75%0.84-11.95%0.1189✓1.01263k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.3981-3.76%15.0779-11.51%0.1146✓1.0358k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0214-3.79%2.061-1.90%0.0112✓1.03261k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.583674-3.80%0.6115+0.79%0.0157✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.086048-3.81%0.08578-4.11%0.0101✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.91-3.88%10.19-1.16%0.0060✓1.14482k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.077897-3.95%0.0784-3.33%0.0272✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.3348-3.99%27.11-1.17%0.0128✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025264-4.01%0.02539-3.53%0.0198✓0.83159k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.133969-4.03%0.1301-6.81%0.0650✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,727.58-4.12%11,010.19-1.59%0.0138✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9397-4.12%3.514+14.62%0.1672✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.169226-4.12%0.1546-12.41%0.1116✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5488-4.28%1.454-10.14%0.1214✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.6481-4.30%3.68-3.46%0.0393✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8622-4.50%2.685-10.41%0.1023✓1.29587k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8176.1768-4.55%75.95-4.84%0.0393✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.097955-4.76%0.08996-12.53%0.1235✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.1491-4.83%6.018-6.86%0.0270✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81119.7352-4.83%116.11-7.71%0.0570✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.423563-4.88%0.3985-10.51%0.0937✓1.1080k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.22415-5.02%0.207-12.29%0.1131✓1.121,5612022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001401-5.24%0.001587+7.27%0.0978✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.2079-5.44%40.61+3.20%0.0512✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.126037-5.66%0.1024-23.35%0.2331✓0.85203k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.