GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s8

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0954

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.249222	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.253936	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.307221	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.327477	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.251483	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.226101	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.187736	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.192526	-3.54%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2833	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.212434	-3.74%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.2039	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.215451	-4.17%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.3953	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.268489	-4.70%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2433	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.175645	-3.22%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4190	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.179325	-3.36%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2906	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.184797	-3.41%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0603	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.203796	-3.77%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0252	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.183241	-3.73%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2044	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.144385	-2.95%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4748	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.18016	-3.83%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.4983	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.167964	-3.92%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1145	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.113451	-1.13%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5120	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129644	-3.42%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4107	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.138201	-3.96%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4605	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093203	-1.08%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7166	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085474	-0.95%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5366	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084498	-1.22%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7737	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.08968	-1.34%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6480	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089591	-1.55%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2444	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090767	-2.14%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3874	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085805	-0.73%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5125	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082208	-0.95%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1445	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087496	-0.79%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0103	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086057	-1.33%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0238	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.081932	-2.39%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0695	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.083676	-2.37%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0508	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.079451	-2.97%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1208	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.074697	-3.09%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0601	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.073644	-2.84%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0318	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073257	-2.36%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0705	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076039	-1.71%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0469	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.076392	-1.91%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0455	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.076956	-1.22%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0636	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075376	-0.91%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0415	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.074776	-0.98%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0326	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.077825	-0.77%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0018	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082143	-0.67%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0560	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079911	-0.32%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0213	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082344	-0.17%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0131	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082001	-0.27%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0203	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079105	-0.28%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0104	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081387	+0.14%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0199	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078454	-0.37%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0123	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079164	-0.50%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0307	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080891	-0.47%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0152	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079758	-0.41%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0005	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083157	-0.03%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0297	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084796	-0.12%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0879	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.088025	-0.48%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0909	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084986	-0.39%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0566	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.082266	-0.21%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0205	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085583	+0.01%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0471	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088471	-0.19%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0988	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086548	-0.43%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0532	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091258	-0.36%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0668	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085739	-0.29%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0498	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083	-1.23%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0849	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079816	-1.96%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1465	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.08161	-2.16%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1414	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.083019	-2.47%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1415	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083536	-2.82%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1566	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.082106	-3.32%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1053	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.079008	-2.01%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079926	-2.14%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0438	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081203	-2.28%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0156	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083884	-2.59%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0150	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.086137	-2.83%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0249	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.086181	-2.56%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0298	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.082589	-2.15%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0603	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080095	-2.06%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0208	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.077731	-1.84%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0695	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073643	-1.49%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1292	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076291	-1.76%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1137	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075936	-1.71%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1331	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075008	-1.64%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1305	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073064	-1.54%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1113	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072661	-1.09%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1257	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072262	-1.10%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0798	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075712	-1.53%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0160	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.07039	-1.05%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1020	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068333	-0.93%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1544	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068149	-0.95%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1383	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065215	-0.67%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1498	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066668	-0.69%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1022	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.06743	-0.78%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1135	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067749	-1.02%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1672	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066598	-1.07%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0880	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065634	-1.17%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0404	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065477	-1.33%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0567	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065423	-1.48%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0011	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.06601	-1.72%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0015	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068	-1.86%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0166	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.06882	-2.25%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0234	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066327	-1.59%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0207	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067965	-1.77%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0344	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067326	-1.68%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0283	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.06806	-1.95%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0214	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067262	-1.71%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067894	-1.84%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0140	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069028	-2.14%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0028	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.07237	-2.77%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0475	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073144	-2.84%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0576	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073501	-2.49%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0798	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077899	-3.06%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1359	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.07197	-2.40%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0716	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071536	-2.57%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0632	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065152	-1.50%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0210	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066853	-1.90%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0620	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067458	-1.46%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0603	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067023	-1.82%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0795	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067364	-1.82%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1457	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067066	-1.66%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0730	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068564	-1.86%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0802	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.070302	-1.83%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0106	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074957	-1.67%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0523	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073996	-1.66%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0350	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076657	-2.16%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0689	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.074248	-2.25%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0417	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.074787	-1.86%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0568	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.07829	-2.36%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0784	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.080053	-2.65%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0818	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078279	-3.26%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0034	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.078692	-3.23%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0199	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.076662	-2.89%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0238	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.075278	-2.20%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0096	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077379	-1.68%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0087	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071685	-1.10%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0875	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075553	-1.25%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0513	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073374	-1.27%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0820	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073402	-0.94%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0382	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076516	-1.10%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0181	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080569	-1.40%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0213	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087155	-1.78%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1600	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.088097	-1.69%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0936	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096922	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092739	-1.91%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1485	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091736	-1.85%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1221	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090668	-1.95%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0677	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.0916	-2.01%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0463	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.094389	-2.15%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0091	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.091352	-2.23%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0453	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.096087	-2.42%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0703	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098819	-2.66%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0206	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.106222	-2.94%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1071	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.106014	-3.16%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1212	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.105248	-3.05%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0882	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.101083	-3.14%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0233	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099234	-3.20%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0533	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092503	-3.13%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0602	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.094856	-3.18%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0712	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.098789	-3.47%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1134	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.100553	-3.69%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1123	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.111111	-3.76%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0003	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.115051	-3.67%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0840	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.129444	-5.17%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2084	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.164469	-7.47%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5184	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.100018	-1.44%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0107	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.099371	-1.48%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0463	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.09158	-1.32%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2248	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090394	-0.96%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2957	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.08785	-0.58%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4445	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092666	-0.91%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6341	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092098	-0.89%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0631	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.092272	-0.70%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0702	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092431	-1.06%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0338	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092615	-0.88%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0725	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.094996	-0.68%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1204	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096781	-0.40%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0603	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.09175	+0.24%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0139	✓	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094763	+0.11%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0309	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.114881	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108621	-0.73%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1281	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.102079	-0.33%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0604	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.106045	-0.94%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.1029	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.112648	-1.46%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1656	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.107837	-1.60%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2229	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.097103	-0.45%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0495	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.08995	+0.06%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2526	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.08841	+0.00%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1732	✓	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.082574	+0.19%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1721	✓	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079767	+0.22%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2659	✓	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.083534	+0.14%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.2955	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.075711	+0.16%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3289	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078664	+0.19%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1809	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.078123	+0.18%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.0880	✓	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.078303	+0.12%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0774	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.079461	+0.05%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0130	✗	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.080439	+0.06%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0406	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.079499	-0.08%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0286	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.074615	+0.06%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0116	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.076577	-0.03%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.0733	+0.07%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.074438	+0.05%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.07843	-0.00%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077524	+0.04%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0169	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076386	+0.06%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0091	✓	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075897	+0.10%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0634	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.079302	+0.07%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0494	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.079052	+0.12%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0854	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077826	+0.19%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0163	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083723	+0.15%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0184	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.085531	+0.09%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0644	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082588	+0.16%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0166	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080561	+0.21%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0313	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079777	+0.23%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0334	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083624	+0.20%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0054	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.089124	+0.14%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1201	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.09076	+0.12%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0830	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.093224	+0.11%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0368	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.094228	+0.09%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0745	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094404	+0.02%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0844	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.09468	+0.04%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1379	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095543	+0.05%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1284	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107801	-0.36%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1820	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.092091	+0.23%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0317	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083756	+0.38%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0465	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082533	+0.45%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0342	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.079112	+0.61%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0692	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.079014	+0.58%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1178	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081516	+0.54%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1141	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.085017	+0.36%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2466	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087434	+0.14%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0875	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087486	+0.47%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0743	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.085001	+0.49%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0273	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083996	+0.65%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0694	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087971	+0.56%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1181	✗	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089968	+0.59%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1429	✗	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.091659	+0.49%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1359	✗	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091911	+0.45%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1289	✗	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.087085	+0.75%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0757	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.087645	+0.73%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.1085	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090824	+0.52%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0523	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093895	+0.36%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0538	✗	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093745	+0.32%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0101	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093846	+0.53%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0375	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.096165	+0.55%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0772	✗	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.101489	+0.10%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.1038	✗	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104433	-0.18%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1129	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102564	-0.16%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1079	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.105093	-0.29%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0872	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103849	-0.25%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0923	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.098329	+0.27%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0644	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095715	+0.09%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095716	-0.08%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0788	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098241	-0.17%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0823	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097276	-0.13%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0779	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.100164	-0.05%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0424	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.10097	-0.03%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0577	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.091569	+1.86%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0094	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.104261	+0.01%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0192	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107264	-0.03%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0050	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.111103	-0.09%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0250	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.104693	+0.09%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0321	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.105901	+0.10%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.0998	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117471	-0.11%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0564	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.119465	-0.11%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0663	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.12986	-0.18%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0107	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.131113	-0.22%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0099	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.130394	-0.23%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0245	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.124372	-0.14%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0355	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.135423	-0.28%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.1065	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.131316	-0.06%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0403	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.126564	+0.05%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0077	✓	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.129743	+0.03%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0053	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.126422	+0.10%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0284	✓	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.13828	+0.06%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0043	✗	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.138842	+0.10%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0222	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.147223	+0.02%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0106	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140995	+0.14%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0000	✓	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.137056	+0.19%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0086	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.143114	+0.15%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0113	✗	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.148695	-0.00%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0781	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.13619	+0.07%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0011	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.141365	-0.02%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0513	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.142622	-0.05%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0240	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.144512	-0.06%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0871	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.145066	-0.02%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.1126	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.145671	-0.02%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.1104	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.15152	-0.05%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0454	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.15391	-0.12%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0789	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.14949	-0.14%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0452	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.147091	-0.14%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0265	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.144326	-0.12%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0075	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.140579	-0.09%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0069	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.130376	+0.06%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0483	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133742	+0.03%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0382	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131745	+0.03%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0433	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.133338	+0.03%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0545	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134717	+0.01%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0430	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.12883	+0.10%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0708	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.125387	+0.15%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0892	✓	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128847	+0.11%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0131	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.129245	+0.11%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0174	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128731	+0.10%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0474	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.126137	+0.11%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0681	✓	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.128206	+0.08%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0583	✓	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.127217	+0.09%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0253	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119627	+0.27%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0159	✓	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.122245	+0.20%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0272	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.126114	+0.09%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0307	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127585	+0.11%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0294	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.128393	+0.03%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0269	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.13668	-0.09%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0319	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.13852	-0.13%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0486	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140449	-0.18%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0403	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.142363	-0.24%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0527	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.151114	-0.39%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0996	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.144116	-0.23%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0505	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.140676	-0.16%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0541	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143364	-0.09%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0636	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.136331	+0.10%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0014	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.143388	-0.08%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0263	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.144694	-0.07%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0095	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.143133	+0.09%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0349	✓	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.14069	+0.49%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0546	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.153263	+0.11%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0847	✗	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.153994	+0.06%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0426	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.157745	-0.03%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1190	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.160944	-0.16%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1284	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.15768	-0.08%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1383	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.156473	+0.17%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1659	✗	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.159249	-0.03%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0902	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.16048	+0.11%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1163	✗	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.156727	+0.47%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1412	✗	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.154798	+0.52%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0972	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.161153	+0.28%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0939	✗	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.154829	-0.11%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0402	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.159679	-0.20%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.0971	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158782	-0.14%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0851	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.162495	-0.19%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1399	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.165446	-0.21%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1710	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.164518	-0.17%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1347	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.169528	-0.22%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2306	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.174931	-0.27%	0.155	-11.63%	0.0936	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.177307	-0.28%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1112	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.190036	-0.40%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1424	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.188984	-0.40%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.0951	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.186457	-0.40%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0419	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.188814	-0.41%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0677	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.170941	-0.15%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0315	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.174443	-0.15%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0549	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.166143	-0.03%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0335	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.162708	+0.00%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1728	✓	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181716	-0.05%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1769	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.183694	-0.06%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.1993	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.18045	-0.03%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.1948	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.178843	+0.02%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1220	✓	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.188399	+0.05%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0652	✓	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.196345	+0.07%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.0972	✓	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.205638	+0.07%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0659	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.214104	+0.05%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0758	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.207188	+0.04%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0833	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.208029	+0.04%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.1081	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.206585	+0.04%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.1028	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.200532	+0.07%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1198	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.209593	+0.04%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1698	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.217677	+0.04%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1376	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.22035	-0.00%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1622	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.214694	+0.04%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1391	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213862	+0.08%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1343	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.216604	+0.09%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0924	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.226693	+0.09%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0482	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.235804	+0.09%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0096	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.248716	+0.07%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0276	✗	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.230985	+0.17%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.0941	✓	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.212511	+0.24%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.0908	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.201429	+0.29%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2108	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.27874	+0.19%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0091	✗	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.283903	+0.16%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0045	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.271938	+0.12%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0037	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.28477	+0.02%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0285	✓	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.278545	+0.02%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0405	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.282634	-0.02%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0780	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.287915	-0.06%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1945	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.286383	-0.09%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0479	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.277582	-0.08%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0617	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.255492	-0.00%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0712	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.264156	-0.05%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1135	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.277893	-0.18%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2163	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.274572	-0.16%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2253	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.281698	-0.21%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2297	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.271169	-0.09%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1776	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.298038	-0.32%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1752	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.300982	-0.37%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.2058	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.304984	-0.40%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1761	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.331664	-0.71%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1142	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.33892	-0.81%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0872	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.333949	-0.73%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0466	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.364356	-1.22%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1335	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.359483	-1.16%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1229	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.347722	-0.95%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0455	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.345332	-0.98%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0676	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.