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2022-08-04 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2958
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 15.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FLOWFlownative2.62.4149-7.12%2.971+14.27%0.1357✗1.26448k2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0142.8734-6.82%44.8-2.63%0.0594✓1.82266k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.7875-6.81%1.558-18.77%0.2493✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.537065-5.40%0.5522-2.73%0.0354✓1.1146k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.7166-5.25%10.3+11.96%0.0882✗1.39334k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1271-4.91%1.127-4.92%0.0495✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14162.9879-4.89%3.2004+1.87%0.0253✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5984-4.73%4.038+6.91%0.0164✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.7498.9379-4.63%124.47+19.98%0.1734✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0407-4.54%3.1366-1.53%0.0576✓1.5612k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9796-4.50%3.13+0.32%0.0369✓1.52211k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.138267-4.45%0.1497+3.46%0.0180✓1.08907k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,174.26-4.44%11,294.44+6.08%0.0236✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.1154-4.32%6.929-6.83%0.1248✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8825-4.30%2.005+1.93%0.0170✓1.41266k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.077428-4.29%0.09833+21.55%0.1546✗1.49871k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.7463-4.27%8.347+3.15%0.0154✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1632-4.19%0.993-18.20%0.1950✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.274-4.11%1.3595+2.33%0.0198✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.557623-4.07%0.6302+8.41%0.0551✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.0817-4.05%1.1274+0.01%0.0363✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1339-4.01%2.184-1.75%0.0489✓1.27626k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.208799-4.00%0.2554+17.43%0.1273✗1.311,5612022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033587-3.96%0.03161-9.61%0.1425✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.3711-3.92%5.28-5.55%0.0519✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8033-3.91%2.9337+0.56%0.0102✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.060566-3.86%0.0749+18.89%0.1396✗1.28802k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.4133-3.85%8.57-2.06%0.0092✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9593-3.82%6.256+21.33%0.2024✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.348987-3.81%0.36776+1.36%0.0216✓1.3013k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.6773-3.79%8.186+2.58%0.0051✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.31657-3.78%0.4285+30.24%0.2388✗1.1377k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.656-3.74%11.8+6.59%0.0339✓1.20263k2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.08223-3.72%0.08746+2.40%0.0463✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.537584-3.66%0.551-1.25%0.0403✓1.1414k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.8319-3.65%21.14-2.22%0.0332✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.070639-3.63%0.0819+11.73%0.0851✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.1123-3.59%18.45+3.94%0.0011✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1258.9283-3.59%60.91-0.34%0.0335✓1.17379k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2513-3.58%3.3972+0.74%0.0066✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008678-3.58%0.00871-3.22%0.0689✓1.28387k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.3423-3.57%5.8+4.69%0.0487✗0.59873k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.9929-3.56%36.12+29.05%0.2143✗1.36946k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.6138-3.54%5.91+1.55%0.0130✓0.68746k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.4548-3.49%4.683+1.45%0.0180✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0148-3.40%1.2255+16.66%0.1293✗1.0513k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.984713-3.38%1.0027-1.62%0.0791✓1.71241k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.662908-3.37%0.691+0.73%0.0378✓1.4088k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7183-3.27%4.034+4.94%0.0483✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.6648-3.26%42.06+20.86%0.1429✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8308-3.24%4.2149+6.46%0.0340✗1.0945k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.6148-3.23%28.54+22.12%0.1430✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.57729-3.22%0.6487+8.75%0.0518✗1.14690k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7069-3.21%4.044+5.59%0.0476✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.1673-3.20%17.0874+16.75%0.1223✗1.1558k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019868-3.20%0.019255-6.19%0.0552✓0.42167k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4024-3.13%2.58+4.03%0.0103✓1.08507k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029432-3.12%0.03187+4.90%0.0057✓1.301,4012022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.116488-3.09%0.1425+18.55%0.1238✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.253138-3.05%0.2613+0.08%0.0311✗0.0129k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7022-3.01%1.767+0.68%0.0438✓1.43341k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.820982-2.96%0.889+5.08%0.0191✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3493.4968-2.95%107.55+11.64%0.0461✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.882263-2.94%0.967+6.38%0.0084✓1.76496k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015137-2.94%0.015949+2.27%0.0016✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.167836-2.93%0.1775+2.66%0.0134✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.6895-2.91%4.8-0.62%0.0165✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.561077-2.86%0.5389-6.70%0.1184✓1.38234k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.5668-2.86%8.964+1.64%0.0337✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.05761-2.85%0.0621+4.72%0.0041✓1.39172k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.646984-2.84%0.7242+8.75%0.0270✓1.5188k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031396-2.83%0.05195+60.79%0.4337✗1.2314k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.04879-2.83%0.053086+5.73%0.0165✓1.2035k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6511-2.82%2.849+4.44%0.0092✓1.4349k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7638-2.77%2.089+15.16%0.1334✗0.63206k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.422-2.76%15.6-1.64%0.0683✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.764347-2.75%0.769-2.16%0.0765✓1.463,1392022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4299-2.73%1.54+4.76%0.0058✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.052797-2.70%0.057169+5.35%0.0467✗0.5825k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.2562-2.70%6.61+2.80%0.0239✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,564.82-2.70%1,881.04+16.97%0.1116✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.47e-7-2.66%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1156✓0.99164k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26958.6824-2.63%61.928+2.75%0.0065✓0.83321k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.32194-2.62%0.3493+5.66%0.0154✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040998-2.62%0.0439+4.28%0.0011✓1.2376k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.106738-2.61%0.1215+10.86%0.0584✗1.25505k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.708096-2.60%0.74+1.79%0.0394✓1.47121k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.967032-2.56%1.0527+6.07%0.0112✓1.30532k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.0956-2.54%11.749+13.42%0.0748✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.719252-2.54%0.911+23.44%0.1675✗1.21968k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1948-2.54%2.326+3.29%0.0207✓1.39172k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.77893-2.51%0.864+8.14%0.0458✗1.02377k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.427811-2.50%0.4591+4.63%0.0133✓1.48278k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.409055-2.50%0.40616-3.19%0.0853✓1.38583k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1357-2.47%2.3938+9.31%0.0460✗1.2032k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021909-2.40%0.024997+11.36%0.0772✗0.9611k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.4412-2.40%30.52+4.74%0.0167✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.160325-2.36%0.1949+18.70%0.1248✗1.24518k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8881-2.36%4.091+2.74%0.0023✓0.86922k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.366-2.36%1.456+4.07%0.0086✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7823-2.33%1.9022+4.24%0.0069✓1.27530k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.294977-2.33%0.3078+1.92%0.0207✓1.11300k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.194862-2.33%0.2226+11.58%0.0538✗1.401,2762022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052458-2.31%0.0549+2.23%0.0271✓1.28284k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000096965-2.30%0.00009727-1.99%0.1127✓2.04516k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.136049-2.26%0.1646+18.25%0.1367✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.463023-2.25%0.5032+6.23%0.0129✓1.24808k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.095306-2.25%0.0988+1.33%0.0323✓1.207,1482022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084218-2.24%0.08708+1.08%0.0440✓1.3629k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.764485-2.24%0.924+18.16%0.1212✗1.20225k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5382-2.23%2.875+10.75%0.0251✗1.75109k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6622-2.22%1.91+12.35%0.0642✗1.32122k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00162-2.22%0.001703+2.78%0.0088✓1.039,0682022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.407102-2.19%0.458+10.04%0.0432✗1.31127k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.124154-2.16%0.134+5.59%0.0198✓1.004,7012022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006558-2.12%0.006698-0.03%0.0080✓0.5140k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34131.5709-2.06%142.98+6.43%0.0152✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25155.9705-2.06%160.49+0.78%0.0343✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.994581-2.03%1.0862+7.00%0.0347✗0.9460k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0904-2.02%1.1706+5.18%0.0082✓1.1111k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.8685-2.02%63.11+12.70%0.0610✗1.3935k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048108-2.02%0.05344+8.84%0.0548✗0.8915k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047254-1.96%0.0488+1.24%0.0417✓1.307,5232022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.1202-1.96%79.26+23.11%0.1568✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.014-1.92%1.4845+43.58%0.3160✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.333789-1.89%0.376118+10.55%0.0474✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.15317-1.88%0.1701+8.97%0.0351✗1.23107k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.157018-1.86%0.17809+11.31%0.0389✗1.53212k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4741-1.86%1.6643+10.81%0.0420✗1.40594k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.307557-1.86%0.38689+23.46%0.1657✗1.12396k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6558.5504-1.84%61.89+3.76%0.0100✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004457-1.84%0.00517+13.88%0.0743✗1.31112k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9445-1.82%9.201+13.70%0.0776✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043062-1.82%0.04793+9.28%0.0538✗0.942,0262022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2309-1.81%8.96+21.67%0.1434✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.448814-1.81%0.47814+4.61%0.0200✗0.7668k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.244015-1.80%0.2705+8.85%0.0337✗1.22101k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008072-1.80%0.00834+1.46%0.0186✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017264-1.80%0.01787+1.65%0.0121✓0.82193k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.490803-1.78%0.5306+6.18%0.0097✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.327118-1.77%0.321-3.60%0.0778✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.06553-1.75%0.0718+7.65%0.0381✗0.94183k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075616-1.71%0.08332+8.31%0.0555✗0.739772022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.44e-7-1.65%0.00000101+5.21%0.0199✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003019-1.64%0.004951+61.32%0.4386✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002153-1.62%0.002212+1.05%0.0299✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5544-1.62%1.52-3.80%0.0393✓0.30242k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084034-1.60%0.0916+7.26%0.0210✗1.15126k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9347-1.59%3.021+1.31%0.0345✓1.12591k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.214639-1.54%0.228+4.59%0.0254✓1.51782k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0439-1.49%2.93-5.18%0.0662✓0.49109k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3792-1.48%3.611+49.52%0.3667✗0.89110k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.248457-1.48%0.2695+6.86%0.0154✗1.16768k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.222944-1.48%0.2297+1.50%0.0533✓1.4787k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.132732-1.46%0.1474+9.43%0.0327✗1.2761k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009649-1.44%0.01006+2.76%0.0083✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003716-1.43%0.00393+4.24%0.0175✓1.30551k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072061-1.42%0.1304+78.39%0.5517✗0.73159k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.37e-7-1.41%0.00000102+7.37%0.0286✗1.0025k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.72968-1.39%0.85+14.86%0.1187✗0.6079k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.18628-1.37%0.1952+3.35%0.0845✓2.311,1512022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042363-1.34%0.00004644+8.15%0.0263✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2798-1.33%1.324+2.08%0.0365✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.331691-1.31%0.3613+7.50%0.0213✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.448.7547-1.31%55.61+12.57%0.0693✗1.10574k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.399371-1.23%0.4605+13.89%0.0749✗1.19107k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1077-1.23%21.63+24.88%0.1560✗1.38116k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001075-1.22%0.001521+39.72%0.2763✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.112531-1.22%0.125283+9.97%0.0511✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1365-1.19%1.2591+9.48%0.0429✗1.0543k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9176-1.17%10.512+4.75%0.0045✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020884-1.16%0.02718+28.63%0.2059✗1.02159k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011716-1.13%0.00001233+4.05%0.0197✓1.25951k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.53933-1.11%0.5937+8.86%0.0316✗1.14333k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115568-1.05%0.1263+8.13%0.0278✗1.08370k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068254-1.05%0.070371+2.02%0.0089✓0.69345k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006081-1.05%0.006618+7.67%0.0364✗0.857,1222022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257993-1.00%0.3041+16.69%0.1013✗1.1165k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060997-0.98%0.078+26.62%0.1648✗1.43350k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9594-0.81%4.7078-5.84%0.0620✓0.17219k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,328.08-0.74%24,153.10+7.37%0.0230✗0.9813k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.5601-0.67%42.8+10.25%0.0268✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,487.66-0.60%23,944.86+5.84%0.0060✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067039-0.47%0.070882+5.24%0.0107✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5293-0.46%4.9372+8.51%0.0439✗0.75920k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.