8=======>

2022-06-15 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0512
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 41.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.268+2.57%3.975-4.47%0.1648✓1.9317.0M2022-06-22
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.607195+2.57%0.462-21.96%0.1512✗1.006.5M2022-06-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.804273+2.07%0.648-17.77%0.0759✗1.151.0M2022-06-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000063171+1.99%0.00005646-8.85%0.1851✓2.431.7M2022-06-22
XMRMoneroMonero118.21120.4912+1.93%110.94-6.15%0.0569✓1.141.7M2022-06-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.77351+1.78%0.49-35.53%0.3235✗1.0971k2022-06-22
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5967.7485+1.74%61.89-7.06%0.1142✓1.687.7M2022-06-22
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5236.1083+1.66%40.06+12.78%0.2828✓1.4728k2022-06-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.063686+1.55%0.061566-1.83%0.1209✓1.271.3M2022-06-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.188365+1.54%0.1708-7.92%0.0824✓1.48196k2022-06-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,430.39+1.54%4,972.79-7.01%0.0705✓1.303.7M2022-06-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,901.66+1.50%19,968.46-11.50%0.0149✗1.00602.3M2022-06-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,254.55+1.46%1,048.96-15.16%0.0438✗1.11365.6M2022-06-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.320549+1.44%0.293-7.28%0.1100✓1.64407k2022-06-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.059315+1.39%0.0605+3.42%0.1677✓1.21139k2022-06-22
KCSKuCoinnative11.83211.9904+1.34%10.437-11.79%0.0028✓1.115.3M2022-06-22
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4589+1.34%4.0753-7.38%0.0096✓0.662.1M2022-06-22
XVGVergenative0.003310.003353+1.31%0.00309-6.65%0.0984✓1.48648k2022-06-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038692+1.29%0.0359-6.02%0.1005✓1.44374k2022-06-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.109888+1.28%0.1121+3.32%0.1996✓1.4749k2022-06-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.777805+1.28%0.698-9.11%0.0620✓1.395.0M2022-06-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1242+1.28%1.19+7.21%0.2522✓1.601.1M2022-06-22
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6933+1.27%1.448-13.40%0.0344✗1.00580k2022-06-22
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003844+1.17%0.00383+0.79%0.1881✓1.57228k2022-06-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.635916+1.10%0.686+9.06%0.2051✓1.06372k2022-06-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.020037+1.08%0.02105+6.19%0.2031✓1.269,2752022-06-22
ZECZcashZcash68.5769.3104+1.08%63.11-7.96%0.0727✓1.363.6M2022-06-22
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.9882+1.07%2.7336-7.54%0.0579✓1.2041k2022-06-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.688012+1.03%0.729+7.05%0.2812✓1.831.8M2022-06-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.021033+1.02%0.02012-3.36%0.0895✓1.10149k2022-06-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.0408+1.01%15.18-4.41%0.1042✓1.302.6M2022-06-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.727161+0.99%0.67-6.94%0.0959✓1.46195k2022-06-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.255776+0.99%0.26926+6.31%0.2154✓1.34453k2022-06-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9129.091+0.93%112.6-11.96%0.0087✓1.194.4M2022-06-22
SOLSolanaSolana34.7235.0428+0.93%34.1-1.79%0.1452✓1.41107.4M2022-06-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.625672+0.91%0.42-32.26%0.2653✗1.0956k2022-06-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.108378+0.91%0.082-23.65%0.1189✗1.314,0262022-06-22
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.063563+0.90%0.062991-0.01%0.1131✓1.00756k2022-06-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7734+0.89%3.636-2.78%0.0483✓0.707.0M2022-06-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.036+0.89%1.776-11.99%0.0564✓1.5897k2022-06-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000884807+0.89%0.000767-12.54%0.0291✓1.412.0M2022-06-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.143168+0.85%0.13181-7.15%0.1189✓1.65260k2022-06-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.218709+0.83%0.2296+5.86%0.1971✓1.22100k2022-06-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.276273+0.82%0.270138-1.42%0.1588✓1.482.4M2022-06-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.888237+0.81%0.95479+8.36%0.2314✓1.305,7412022-06-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.8876+0.78%4.5-7.22%0.0934✓1.44405k2022-06-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.969+0.77%2.964+51.69%0.6296✓1.812.9M2022-06-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003076+0.74%0.002535-16.97%0.0498✗1.172.1M2022-06-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.906612+0.73%0.602-33.11%0.1889✗1.81319k2022-06-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.103447+0.73%0.0924-10.03%0.0323✓1.19733k2022-06-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3864+0.71%8.49-8.91%0.1062✓1.692.7M2022-06-22
STXStacksnative0.36490.367483+0.71%0.3795+4.00%0.1970✓1.35165k2022-06-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006978+0.70%0.0064-7.65%0.0453✓1.08582k2022-06-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.4174+0.70%16.06-12.19%0.0447✓1.4949.3M2022-06-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.89e-7+0.69%3.14e-7-18.68%0.1121✗0.831.1M2022-06-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0092+0.69%1.0404+3.80%0.1828✓1.2549k2022-06-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.32+0.69%1.185-9.61%0.1037✓1.73231k2022-06-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.269808+0.67%0.263-1.87%0.1102✓1.11890k2022-06-22
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.36e-7+0.67%7.70e-7-7.23%0.0269✓0.895.5M2022-06-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009924+0.65%0.00932-5.48%0.0683✓1.0712.1M2022-06-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.967226+0.65%0.936-2.60%0.0893✓1.001.6M2022-06-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012597+0.63%0.012055-3.71%0.0680✓0.922.0M2022-06-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2927+0.60%1.437+11.83%0.2891✓1.5079k2022-06-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.545+0.57%1.3099-14.73%0.0072✗1.292.0M2022-06-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.24367+0.57%0.2371-2.15%0.1345✓1.3231k2022-06-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5063+0.55%7.87-6.97%0.0647✓1.17508k2022-06-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.478+0.55%1.35-8.16%0.1104✓1.65596k2022-06-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003251+0.54%0.00274-15.25%0.0228✗1.214,5492022-06-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.134996+0.52%0.1337-0.45%0.1646✓1.43169k2022-06-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112541+0.48%0.1046-6.61%0.1064✓1.475.4M2022-06-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6377+0.47%1.48-9.20%0.0500✓1.24270k2022-06-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.469751+0.46%0.5232+11.89%0.3507✓1.993.5M2022-06-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4699+0.45%4.4-1.12%0.0717✓0.721.6M2022-06-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000008859+0.44%0.00000966+9.52%0.2423✓1.28850k2022-06-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8488+0.43%1.7619-4.29%0.0649✓0.933.2M2022-06-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.287135+0.43%0.2842-0.59%0.1470✓1.296.1M2022-06-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.5061+0.43%7.94-6.26%0.0595✓1.05283k2022-06-22
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.197335+0.42%0.2187+11.30%0.2622✓1.31629k2022-06-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8946+0.40%5.514-6.08%0.0991✓1.362.6M2022-06-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.419636+0.39%0.448+7.18%0.2637✓1.624,1942022-06-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.484854+0.38%0.463-4.14%0.1333✓1.47116k2022-06-22
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.1414+0.38%13.84-13.93%0.0240✓1.4665k2022-06-22
QNTQuantEthereum50.850.9758+0.35%52.28+2.91%0.1456✓0.992.0M2022-06-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8798+0.34%2.55-11.15%0.0152✓1.12663k2022-06-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.341056+0.34%0.3136-7.74%0.0682✓1.2514.6M2022-06-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064408+0.32%0.0522-18.69%0.1152✗0.78313k2022-06-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.692221+0.32%0.606-12.17%0.0350✓1.38578k2022-06-22
DASHDashDash45.8645.998+0.30%45.07-1.72%0.1200✓1.15837k2022-06-22
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5313+0.29%1.3432-12.03%0.0318✓1.33914k2022-06-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.3401+0.27%7.047-3.73%0.1223✓1.3415.2M2022-06-22
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.882976+0.27%0.793151-9.93%0.0272✓1.10120k2022-06-22
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.0783+0.19%10.8704-27.77%0.1627✗1.35222k2022-06-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.346617+0.18%0.33-4.62%0.0973✓1.2015k2022-06-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.049856+0.17%0.04824-3.07%0.1361✓1.3870k2022-06-22
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.419082+0.15%0.37412-10.59%0.0318✗0.67276k2022-06-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,576.90+0.15%19,947.30-11.51%0.0032✗0.9929k2022-06-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.3753+0.14%2.319-2.23%0.1590✓1.50104k2022-06-22
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040442+0.13%0.00003694-8.54%0.0770✓1.373.0M2022-06-22
HIVEHivenative0.37880.379187+0.10%0.3821+0.87%0.1856✓1.461.2M2022-06-22
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4194+0.10%4.977+12.73%0.2841✓1.353.2M2022-06-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.05417+0.09%0.05045-6.78%0.1280✓1.632.0M2022-06-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.4981+0.08%7.384-13.04%0.0203✓1.3213.5M2022-06-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.006887+0.08%0.005947-13.58%0.0155✗1.072,5562022-06-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3253+0.07%6.616-9.62%0.0587✓1.3140.5M2022-06-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.399828+0.06%0.61535+54.00%0.6216✓1.5663k2022-06-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049423+0.05%0.0446-9.72%0.0864✓1.5520k2022-06-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.121064+0.04%0.112877-6.73%0.0639✓1.1010.7M2022-06-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6350.6466+0.03%52.07+2.84%0.1747✓1.2017.5M2022-06-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.03051+0.03%0.0277-9.18%0.0689✓1.36247k2022-06-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.102724+0.02%0.0919-10.52%0.0401✓1.24852k2022-06-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5608+0.01%6.39-2.59%0.0337✓0.492.1M2022-06-22
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041505-0.00%0.040606-2.17%0.1426✗1.3529k2022-06-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.411841-0.01%0.376-8.72%0.0976✗1.54160k2022-06-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041173-0.02%0.04219+2.45%0.1622✗1.132,9602022-06-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.019207-0.02%0.01586-17.44%0.1072✓0.69631k2022-06-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098438-0.06%0.0881-10.56%0.0758✗1.531.2M2022-06-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.78331-0.09%0.765-2.42%0.1752✗1.633.2M2022-06-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.213688-0.10%0.2137-0.09%0.1755✗1.44472k2022-06-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.090198-0.11%0.0726-19.60%0.0383✓1.46354k2022-06-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.144172-0.16%0.1178-18.42%0.0816✓0.99256k2022-06-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.137775-0.16%0.1206-12.61%0.0444✗1.454.4M2022-06-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.027998-0.19%0.02917+3.99%0.2125✗1.4018k2022-06-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.00975-0.20%0.00951-2.66%0.1039✗1.051.5M2022-06-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4528-0.21%3.19-7.80%0.0151✗0.771.7M2022-06-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007016-0.21%0.006945-1.22%0.0882✗0.81167k2022-06-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.7557-0.22%13.98-11.46%0.0585✗1.462.4M2022-06-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4789-0.25%4.86+8.24%0.2920✗1.721.7M2022-06-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.165247-0.27%0.1482-10.56%0.0702✗1.47917k2022-06-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.02840.02832-0.28%0.0298+4.93%0.1073✗0.46145k2022-06-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0197-0.34%1.8171-10.34%0.0611✗1.3768k2022-06-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.548118-0.34%0.5-9.09%0.0780✗1.39771k2022-06-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0153-0.35%2.908-3.90%0.0701✗0.871.9M2022-06-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.6254-0.37%2.5053-4.93%0.0891✗1.113.1M2022-06-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9865.96-0.43%5.447-9.00%0.0865✗1.4411.1M2022-06-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.31299-0.44%0.293-6.80%0.1181✗1.5114k2022-06-22
KSMKusamaHydration58.2657.9984-0.45%51.87-10.97%0.0394✗1.241.0M2022-06-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044454-0.62%0.04676+4.54%0.1882✗1.1314k2022-06-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9606-0.68%5.8136+16.40%0.1910✗0.26235k2022-06-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.127637-0.75%0.1225-4.74%0.0803✗0.993.3M2022-06-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0475-0.80%4.04-0.98%0.0842✗0.701.7M2022-06-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059303-0.83%0.0505-15.55%0.0204✗1.481.7M2022-06-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.912625-0.92%0.83608-9.23%0.0830✗1.40789k2022-06-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7502-0.93%2.386-14.05%0.0177✗1.311.1M2022-06-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.064879-0.95%0.0542-17.25%0.0137✗1.59141k2022-06-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.106864-0.96%0.1023-5.19%0.0944✗1.137,2892022-06-22
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5537-1.04%1.366-12.99%0.0633✗1.57374k2022-06-22
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.528741-1.04%0.4589-14.11%0.0330✗1.4365.8M2022-06-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.1956-1.10%2.11-4.95%0.0738✗0.933.4M2022-06-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.805351-1.18%0.774-5.03%0.0825✗1.001.7M2022-06-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5237-1.26%2.475-3.17%0.1045✗1.0163k2022-06-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.050576-1.28%0.05289+3.23%0.1333✗0.7367k2022-06-22
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.2213-1.32%25.18-1.49%0.1112✗0.929.4M2022-06-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.657543-1.37%0.8371+25.56%0.3897✗1.212.8M2022-06-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.23654-1.44%0.236-1.67%0.2113✗1.751.3M2022-06-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.070938-1.48%0.0609-15.42%0.0263✗1.46410k2022-06-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.3941-1.48%2.37-2.47%0.2057✗1.77304k2022-06-22
PROPropyEthereum0.910.896521-1.48%0.87-4.40%0.0628✗0.76187k2022-06-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9181-1.55%3.55-10.80%0.0296✓0.572.1M2022-06-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0318-1.74%0.73856-29.67%0.2358✓0.816242022-06-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47754.4304-1.89%61.895+11.57%0.2369✗0.891.2M2022-06-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.382-1.91%2.4267-0.07%0.2471✗1.8717k2022-06-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.061805-1.96%0.05098-19.13%0.0704✓1.001,7292022-06-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4664-1.98%1.397-6.62%0.1363✗1.515.5M2022-06-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.015924-2.08%0.017121+5.28%0.1452✗0.60469k2022-06-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.353106-2.08%0.36639+1.60%0.1955✗1.30105k2022-06-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.4848-2.25%1.563+2.90%0.2356✗1.51879k2022-06-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.1404-2.35%2.725-15.27%0.0782✓0.524.5M2022-06-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.311.9927-2.50%10.91-11.30%0.1145✗1.71333k2022-06-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.024488-2.94%0.02377-5.79%0.2049✗1.9240.1M2022-06-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.1596-3.20%3.081-5.61%0.0622✗0.724.4M2022-06-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.1722-3.58%0.1831+2.52%0.2094✗1.213,0802022-06-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5176-3.95%1.71+8.23%0.2021✗0.68166k2022-06-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.916033-4.78%0.758-21.21%0.0608✗2.0529.5M2022-06-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.