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2022-06-10 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1169
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
16.2%
in alpha space · 90.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SOLSolanaSolana37.1337.3083+0.48%30.69-17.34%0.3792✓1.63107.6M2022-06-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000070280.000070578+0.42%0.00005853-16.72%1.0016✓3.382.2M2022-06-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0752880.075492+0.27%0.056877-24.45%0.1698✓1.291.3M2022-06-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7672.7705+0.13%2.649-4.26%0.4661✓1.451.2M2022-06-17
XVGVergenative0.0040.004004+0.11%0.00291-27.25%0.2640✓1.66705k2022-06-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.121531+0.11%0.0924-23.89%0.2025✓1.36828k2022-06-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6412+0.07%1.31-20.12%0.4747✓1.99580k2022-06-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.397,059.18+0.07%4,789.56-32.11%0.0737✓1.313.7M2022-06-17
GTGateEthereum5.36415.3668+0.05%3.9598-26.18%0.0947✗0.603.2M2022-06-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6528.6552+0.04%7.269-15.98%0.3767✓1.5713.5M2022-06-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9919.9957+0.03%14.37-28.11%0.1534✓1.382.6M2022-06-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010120.000010122+0.02%0.00000816-19.37%0.3073✓1.49850k2022-06-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3360.335964-0.01%0.266-20.83%0.2123✗1.27890k2022-06-17
AAVEAaveEthereum87.9587.9326-0.02%57.31-34.84%0.2278✗1.877.5M2022-06-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5971.5967-0.02%1.166-26.99%0.2935✗1.7376k2022-06-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,660.781,660.15-0.04%1,085.76-34.62%0.0312✓1.12340.5M2022-06-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1685.1658-0.04%3.741-27.61%0.4618✗2.2317.0M2022-06-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7917.7818-0.05%14.08-20.85%0.3790✗1.7465k2022-06-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7630.762592-0.05%0.611-19.92%0.4245✗1.84578k2022-06-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14240.142319-0.06%0.1118-21.49%0.3176✗1.5951k2022-06-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011050.001104-0.07%0.000777-29.68%0.2547✗1.721.8M2022-06-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,063.1129,042.51-0.07%20,447.86-29.64%0.0007✗1.00602.3M2022-06-17
SCSiacoinnative0.00490.004895-0.10%0.00354-27.76%0.2983✗1.77239k2022-06-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177240.177056-0.10%0.12862-27.43%0.3404✗1.88276k2022-06-17
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6651.5982-0.12%32.83-36.45%0.1045✗1.5828k2022-06-17
DASHDashDash53.8653.7865-0.14%43.53-19.18%0.2572✗1.33837k2022-06-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025920.025884-0.14%0.0204-21.30%0.1406✗1.08156k2022-06-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.20e-74.20e-7-0.15%3.34e-7-20.45%0.1327✗1.02877k2022-06-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.1979-0.18%0.56-53.33%0.3472✓1.1871k2022-06-17
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8084.7985-0.20%3.931-18.24%0.3318✗1.512.6M2022-06-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7570.755466-0.20%0.59-22.06%0.1814✗1.22372k2022-06-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3771-0.21%1.01-26.81%0.3137✗1.771.2M2022-06-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.6743.6662-0.21%2.744-25.31%0.1780✗1.3333k2022-06-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash167.29166.9199-0.22%121.36-27.46%0.1302✗1.284.4M2022-06-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6482.642-0.23%2.038-23.04%0.3582✗1.76187k2022-06-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010840.010811-0.27%0.00913-15.77%0.4247✗1.6914.1M2022-06-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1330.132633-0.28%0.1214-8.72%0.5296✗1.763.3M2022-06-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.807764-0.28%0.49-39.51%0.0841✓1.1869k2022-06-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.367774-0.28%0.31-15.94%0.3383✗1.4514.6M2022-06-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008110.008087-0.29%0.00671-17.26%0.2337✗1.20637k2022-06-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27080.269999-0.30%0.1644-39.29%0.0133✓1.37230k2022-06-17
NANOnanopayBase1.05631.0529-0.32%0.808399-23.47%0.2265✗1.40129k2022-06-17
STXStacksnative0.49560.493922-0.34%0.3817-22.98%0.2362✗1.40165k2022-06-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014250.014201-0.34%0.012048-15.45%0.2691✗1.232.1M2022-06-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.8166.7918-0.36%5.333-21.76%0.3196✗1.602.5M2022-06-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.23361.2292-0.36%0.98783-19.92%0.2473✗1.3248k2022-06-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5810.578841-0.37%0.441-24.10%0.3265✗1.70120k2022-06-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.88840.88505-0.38%0.83828-5.64%0.6068✗1.88789k2022-06-17
KSMKusamaHydration58.5558.3219-0.39%48.97-16.36%0.3068✗1.371.1M2022-06-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001006-0.41%7.60e-7-24.75%0.0423✗0.926.0M2022-06-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0780.077676-0.41%0.0615-21.15%0.2258✗1.31153k2022-06-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.161.1551-0.43%0.697-39.91%0.2424✗2.13356k2022-06-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32190.320493-0.44%0.266-17.37%0.3356✗1.486.3M2022-06-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.420.418143-0.44%0.291-30.71%0.3157✗1.93609k2022-06-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14510.144442-0.45%0.0799-44.93%0.0221✗1.753,5392022-06-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0978.0595-0.46%6.373-21.29%0.3120✗1.5615.2M2022-06-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.113051-0.48%0.0943-16.99%0.3473✗1.50844k2022-06-17
XMRMoneroMonero174.19173.3221-0.50%114.16-34.46%0.0122✓1.152.1M2022-06-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09650.096001-0.52%0.08-17.10%0.4937✗1.92436k2022-06-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.0521.9348-0.52%15.98-27.53%0.2889✗1.7250.1M2022-06-17
ZECZcashZcash88.8588.3797-0.53%62.52-29.63%0.1543✗1.423.8M2022-06-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.3057-0.56%47.55-16.02%0.3035✗1.3417.5M2022-06-17
KCSKuCoinnative15.53815.4493-0.57%11.096-28.59%0.0488✗1.086.2M2022-06-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05420.053872-0.61%0.0462-14.76%0.5120✗1.8923k2022-06-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6417-0.61%4.16-10.92%0.5985✗2.011.6M2022-06-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004080.004055-0.61%0.00275-32.60%0.0487✗1.242.1M2022-06-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0271.0206-0.62%0.66-35.74%0.0793✗1.475.1M2022-06-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94322.9247-0.63%2.4336-17.31%0.3352✗1.483.4M2022-06-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.362980.360633-0.65%0.33827-6.81%0.4555✗1.48111k2022-06-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.864113-0.68%0.64-26.44%0.3207✗1.77212k2022-06-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1370.136028-0.71%0.0984-28.18%0.3024✗1.785.9M2022-06-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0256320.025445-0.73%0.019788-22.80%0.1748✗1.2111k2022-06-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,029.0028,815.33-0.74%20,457.00-29.53%0.0004✓0.9836k2022-06-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3601920.357537-0.74%0.267879-25.63%0.2574✗1.552.3M2022-06-17
QNTQuantEthereum61.1660.6948-0.76%46.56-23.87%0.1625✗1.222.0M2022-06-17
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047492-0.77%0.00003796-20.69%0.3269✗1.573.2M2022-06-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.410.3198-0.77%8.24-20.77%0.4948✗2.052.8M2022-06-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.166097-0.78%0.131-21.74%0.3228✗1.59183k2022-06-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30780.305361-0.79%0.2378-22.74%0.2859✗1.5231k2022-06-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.131902-0.80%0.111803-15.91%0.2582✗1.2010.3M2022-06-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47860.474662-0.82%0.376-21.44%0.3993✗1.80159k2022-06-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.4862-0.82%4.78-26.91%0.2515✗1.58420k2022-06-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0337.9653-0.84%6.356-20.88%0.3193✗1.5532.1M2022-06-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062350.061819-0.85%0.04779-23.35%0.4967✗2.142.0M2022-06-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77321.7578-0.87%1.3769-22.35%0.2320✗1.352.0M2022-06-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0936.04-0.87%5.437-10.77%0.5230✗1.7910.6M2022-06-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.520357-0.88%0.385-26.67%0.3308✗1.804,3562022-06-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.774925-0.90%0.761-2.69%0.4267✗1.271.8M2022-06-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27120.26874-0.91%0.2207-18.62%0.2764✗1.35105k2022-06-17
MOVRMoonriverBase18.441218.2739-0.91%11.6249-36.96%0.1145✗1.61229k2022-06-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004330.00429-0.92%0.002904-32.93%0.0789✗1.335,7382022-06-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0217.8516-0.93%13.84-23.20%0.3514✗1.722.5M2022-06-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.9110.8037-0.97%8.03-26.40%0.0851✗1.09289k2022-06-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.010940.010833-0.97%0.00897-18.01%0.2272✗1.181.5M2022-06-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.452.4252-1.01%1.715-30.00%0.3768✗2.063.0M2022-06-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11970.11848-1.02%0.0892-25.48%0.3427✗1.781.1M2022-06-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008560.008472-1.02%0.006945-18.87%0.1109✗0.88180k2022-06-17
DIADIAEthereum0.495560.490488-1.02%0.38556-22.20%0.0042✓0.67249k2022-06-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.086496-1.03%0.0586-32.95%0.1425✓0.70299k2022-06-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.352020.348346-1.04%0.26334-25.19%0.2543✗1.52480k2022-06-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035117-1.08%0.0282-20.56%0.3690✗1.67257k2022-06-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06910.068354-1.08%0.0568-17.80%0.5476✗2.08142k2022-06-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.507690.502195-1.08%0.47267-6.90%0.5437✗1.7263k2022-06-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020130.01991-1.09%0.02196+9.09%0.9783✗2.5037.4M2022-06-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6220.615128-1.10%0.505-18.81%0.4330✗1.79886k2022-06-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50995.448-1.12%5.055-8.26%0.0371✗0.32253k2022-06-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2111.0828-1.13%7.72-31.13%0.0912✗1.29524k2022-06-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06510.064337-1.17%0.052-20.12%0.4348✗1.841.7M2022-06-17
XTZTezosTezos1.96441.9413-1.18%1.3879-29.35%0.1587✗1.41928k2022-06-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.3562-1.18%4.11-24.17%0.0290✗0.841.6M2022-06-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.369440.365088-1.18%0.29309-20.67%0.3334✗1.5716k2022-06-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.643.5958-1.21%2.71-25.55%0.1060✗1.11686k2022-06-17
XEMNEMnative0.0466790.046112-1.21%0.039899-14.52%0.4205✗1.6139k2022-06-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049081-1.25%0.0357-28.17%0.2119✗1.51425k2022-06-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8890.877924-1.25%0.759-14.62%0.5455✗1.972.7M2022-06-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11930.117802-1.26%0.1066-10.65%0.3579✗1.308,4042022-06-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.03510.034654-1.27%0.0307-12.54%0.0056✓0.33133k2022-06-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066060.065214-1.28%0.04599-30.38%0.1212✗1.3455k2022-06-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65830.649754-1.30%0.7237+9.93%0.6159✗1.452.9M2022-06-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.16741.1521-1.31%0.87046-25.44%0.1602✗1.256,1812022-06-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48852.4555-1.32%1.8611-25.21%0.2498✗1.5068k2022-06-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.4541.4345-1.34%1.276-12.24%0.5008✗1.76826k2022-06-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.052.0207-1.43%1.55-24.39%0.1978✗1.32268k2022-06-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1780.175449-1.43%0.1304-26.74%0.0510✗0.99278k2022-06-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050.049279-1.44%0.0401-19.80%0.1799✗1.104,5412022-06-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4560.449308-1.47%0.346-24.12%0.1979✗1.3115k2022-06-17
HIVEHivenative0.50510.49767-1.47%0.3627-28.19%0.2099✗1.501.4M2022-06-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29422.2589-1.54%1.741-24.11%0.1127✗1.063.5M2022-06-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28420.279769-1.56%0.2132-24.98%0.2444✗1.47330k2022-06-17
STEEMSteemnative0.24970.245714-1.60%0.2011-19.46%0.3247✗1.49585k2022-06-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7511.7229-1.61%1.283-26.73%0.3834✗1.93264k2022-06-17
ADACardanoCardano0.57370.564001-1.69%0.4868-15.15%0.4360✗1.6649.8M2022-06-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9070.891501-1.71%0.616-32.08%0.4274✗2.272.0M2022-06-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16440.16155-1.73%0.1244-24.33%0.3465✗1.732.9M2022-06-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.022580.022188-1.74%0.01777-21.30%0.0099✓0.66608k2022-06-17
TRXTRONTron0.0787320.077334-1.78%0.0598-24.05%0.0659✗0.92682k2022-06-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034780.034156-1.80%0.02675-23.09%0.3085✗1.5718k2022-06-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.627.0953-1.83%24.35-11.78%0.2471✗1.019.2M2022-06-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00970.009516-1.89%0.006055-37.57%0.0552✓1.132,4432022-06-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0543760.053323-1.94%0.050499-7.13%0.2374✗0.8367k2022-06-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.922.8604-2.04%2.413-17.36%0.2170✗1.1072k2022-06-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152670.014955-2.04%0.015393+0.83%0.3101✗0.80273k2022-06-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14820.145132-2.07%0.1492+0.67%0.6048✗1.641,7522022-06-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.26556.0739-2.08%54.432-4.95%0.3345✗1.041.1M2022-06-17
FLOWFlownative2.2852.2374-2.08%1.392-39.08%0.1230✓1.00592k2022-06-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8473.7572-2.33%2.92-24.10%0.0931✗0.981.8M2022-06-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1971.1688-2.36%0.857-28.40%0.0413✗1.001.3M2022-06-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1731.1453-2.37%0.646-44.93%0.1941✓1.081.0M2022-06-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2460.240147-2.38%0.24-2.44%0.7093✗2.021.2M2022-06-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.057740.056258-2.57%0.04657-19.35%0.2211✗1.1715k2022-06-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23060.224661-2.58%0.1486-35.56%0.1332✗1.55696k2022-06-17
OPTIMOptimism0.880.856405-2.68%0.518-41.14%0.1512✓1.007.9M2022-06-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6552.5836-2.69%1.727-34.95%0.2289✗1.80105k2022-06-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.817.5993-2.70%6.25-19.97%0.0245✓0.632.0M2022-06-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07680.074692-2.74%0.0613-20.18%0.2708✗1.33396k2022-06-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.321.2816-2.91%1.49+12.88%0.5148✗1.04153k2022-06-17
PROPropyEthereum0.990.961169-2.91%0.9-9.09%0.2081✗0.78183k2022-06-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57512.4974-3.02%2.1459-16.67%0.2325✗1.093.5M2022-06-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.38611.3438-3.05%0.85035-38.65%0.1895✓0.762,8352022-06-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8175-3.07%1.372-26.83%0.3406✗1.77342k2022-06-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.0744-3.22%3.12-25.89%0.0637✗0.941.7M2022-06-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.7731-3.38%3.96-19.84%0.1172✗0.861.2M2022-06-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4694.3086-3.59%3.619-19.02%0.0931✗0.766.4M2022-06-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075590.072779-3.72%0.05612-25.76%0.0917✗1.001,6002022-06-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.584.4035-3.85%3.68-19.65%0.0977✗0.791.9M2022-06-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.655870.629742-3.98%0.55352-15.61%0.6555✗2.233.0M2022-06-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.6051-4.35%1.34-20.14%0.4075✗1.675.0M2022-06-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0593.8695-4.67%2.849-29.81%0.0865✓0.623.8M2022-06-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7863.6014-4.88%3.133-17.25%0.1588✗0.852.1M2022-06-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.4473.2736-5.03%2.4165-29.90%0.4307✗2.0915k2022-06-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.53.3192-5.17%2.36-32.57%0.3730✗2.03294k2022-06-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2421.1633-6.34%0.888-28.50%0.5255✗2.266.0M2022-06-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7814.6172-7.37%11.01-30.23%0.4124✗1.98252k2022-06-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.