8=======>

2022-03-12 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1942
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.8%
in alpha space · 11.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6260.627728+0.28%0.654+4.47%0.0373✗0.932.4M2022-03-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048150.048272+0.25%0.05148+6.92%0.0294✗1.11481k2022-03-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.9471.0359+0.14%89.58+26.28%0.1199✓1.33120.2M2022-03-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9720.973042+0.11%1.512+55.56%0.3633✓0.921.0M2022-03-19
XEMNEMnative0.09330.093349+0.05%0.1011+8.36%0.0071✓0.8640k2022-03-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.713.7055+0.04%13.17-3.87%0.0791✗0.473.2M2022-03-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.631.6305+0.03%1.93+18.40%0.0608✓1.281.4M2022-03-19
SOLSolanaSolana81.4481.4563+0.02%92.39+13.45%0.0187✓1.27100.5M2022-03-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31850.318543+0.01%0.4109+29.01%0.1501✓1.247.6M2022-03-19
MINAMina Protocolnative1.711.7095-0.03%2.16+26.32%0.1456✗1.05343k2022-03-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58105.5266-0.05%116.82+10.65%0.0154✗1.0226.4M2022-03-19
KCSKuCoinnative18.01518.0036-0.06%18.631+3.42%0.0463✓0.958.3M2022-03-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8457-0.07%6.3+7.69%0.0113✗0.75931k2022-03-19
TRXTRONTron0.0596310.059584-0.08%0.061921+3.84%0.0194✓0.69265k2022-03-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70.69933-0.10%0.7509+7.27%0.0131✓1.007.6M2022-03-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.14841.1471-0.11%1.1565+0.70%0.1061✓1.352.6M2022-03-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.717.6794-0.12%20.56+16.16%0.0369✗1.35260k2022-03-19
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3445.3368-0.13%7.016+31.29%0.1608✗1.3425k2022-03-19
SCSiacoinnative0.008750.008738-0.14%0.00981+12.11%0.0208✗1.12489k2022-03-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.754-0.16%4.65+23.67%0.0919✗1.45341k2022-03-19
ADACardanoCardano0.78970.78833-0.17%0.903+14.35%0.0483✗1.0470.9M2022-03-19
COMPCompoundEthereum102.32102.1406-0.18%118.78+16.09%0.0569✗1.1143k2022-03-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,000.0038,927.82-0.19%42,269.50+8.38%0.0003✓0.9742k2022-03-19
XTZTezosTezos3.01953.013-0.22%3.2577+7.89%0.0186✓1.151.2M2022-03-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022130.000022078-0.23%0.00002416+9.17%0.0111✓1.203.5M2022-03-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011760.011731-0.25%0.01239+5.36%0.0098✓0.7611k2022-03-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21920.218557-0.29%0.2536+15.69%0.0772✗0.851.9M2022-03-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4949960.493516-0.30%0.547794+10.67%0.0150✗1.062.1M2022-03-19
MOVRMoonriverBase48.553348.3974-0.32%56.5062+16.38%0.0421✗1.34175k2022-03-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.302,561.03-0.32%2,952.16+14.90%0.0536✗1.05511.3M2022-03-19
AAVEAaveEthereum120.43120.0388-0.32%157.26+30.58%0.1654✗1.247.0M2022-03-19
XVSVenusEthereum8.578.5406-0.34%9.14+6.65%0.0233✓1.083.3M2022-03-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.92289.858-0.37%328.01+12.75%0.0440✗0.947.2M2022-03-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06790.067629-0.40%0.0761+12.08%0.0368✗0.96152k2022-03-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016790.016722-0.41%0.02061+22.75%0.1255✗0.991.4M2022-03-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02320.023106-0.41%0.02698+16.29%0.0625✗1.10384k2022-03-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.6227.506-0.41%29.06+5.21%0.0220✓0.91925k2022-03-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1505-0.44%2.4+11.11%0.0274✗0.98151k2022-03-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28750.286196-0.45%0.3558+23.76%0.1053✗1.33857k2022-03-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3181.3116-0.48%1.51+14.57%0.0224✗1.40583k2022-03-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0715.9923-0.48%17.62+9.65%0.0080✗1.0515.5M2022-03-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6914.6673-0.51%5.284+12.64%0.0435✗0.9576k2022-03-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0390.038801-0.51%0.04149+6.38%0.0074✓0.8826k2022-03-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7770.77272-0.55%0.863+11.07%0.0030✓1.342.0M2022-03-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.114730.114068-0.58%0.123635+7.76%0.0067✗0.873.1M2022-03-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.1262.1133-0.60%2.249+5.79%0.0064✓0.8118k2022-03-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41070.408198-0.61%0.4542+10.59%0.0090✓1.37407k2022-03-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,392.2518,272.66-0.65%20,673.79+12.40%0.0428✗0.955.3M2022-03-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2250.223511-0.66%0.239+6.22%0.0048✓0.8552k2022-03-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3752.3593-0.66%2.85+20.00%0.0993✗1.06555k2022-03-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.19340.192097-0.67%0.2115+9.36%0.0179✓1.352.1M2022-03-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9781.9644-0.69%2.286+15.57%0.0392✗1.339.5M2022-03-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2926.1056-0.70%33.99+29.29%0.1794✗1.004.7M2022-03-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,813.0238,539.41-0.70%42,232.26+8.81%0.0071✓1.00700.4M2022-03-19
XYMSymbolnative0.13530.134342-0.71%0.137+1.26%0.0499✓0.82292k2022-03-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70510.70007-0.71%0.7651+8.51%0.0011✓1.0718.4M2022-03-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1191.1106-0.75%1.285+14.83%0.0614✗1.003.0M2022-03-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.1613.0612-0.75%15.01+14.06%0.0460✗1.1045.9M2022-03-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6817.547-0.75%18.21+3.00%0.0475✓1.006.7M2022-03-19
XLMStellarStellar0.185150.18375-0.76%0.20054+8.31%0.0014✓1.0219.7M2022-03-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.324.2871-0.76%4.69+8.56%0.0119✗0.92521k2022-03-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2630.260961-0.78%0.698+165.40%0.8840✗1.181.8M2022-03-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.7577.1466-0.78%83.33+7.18%0.0134✗0.75899k2022-03-19
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.8868-0.80%3.36+15.46%0.0589✗1.106.1M2022-03-19
XECeCashnative0.000073390.000072803-0.80%0.00008321+13.38%0.0492✗1.004.2M2022-03-19
HIVEHivenative0.86610.859159-0.80%0.9324+7.66%0.0146✓1.141.8M2022-03-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011450.011358-0.80%0.01214+6.03%0.0385✓1.243.1M2022-03-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07880.078128-0.85%0.0886+12.44%0.0084✓1.39494k2022-03-19
QTUMQtumQtum5.8175.7658-0.88%6.3544+9.24%0.0011✓1.16148k2022-03-19
KSMKusamaHydration123.75122.643-0.89%146.84+18.66%0.0845✗1.13664k2022-03-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.454.4101-0.90%4.875+9.55%0.0383✗0.73509k2022-03-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0396920.039326-0.92%0.042197+6.31%0.0132✓0.995.3M2022-03-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11510.114025-0.93%0.1318+14.51%0.0437✗1.202.9M2022-03-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5913.4619-0.94%16.43+20.90%0.0907✗1.292.2M2022-03-19
GTGateEthereum6.45196.3889-0.98%6.3214-2.02%0.0668✓0.672.8M2022-03-19
QNTQuantEthereum115.96114.816-0.99%119.96+3.45%0.0358✓0.945.2M2022-03-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3291.3158-1.00%1.635+23.02%0.1345✗0.98711k2022-03-19
XVGVergenative0.009640.009543-1.01%0.00967+0.31%0.0842✓1.151.4M2022-03-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.662870.656207-1.01%0.84022+26.75%0.1484✗1.17118k2022-03-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38970.385776-1.01%0.4445+14.06%0.0215✓1.932.2M2022-03-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29950.296429-1.03%0.3541+18.23%0.0585✗1.4110.5M2022-03-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4671.4519-1.03%1.639+11.72%0.0347✗1.031.7M2022-03-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.25760.254917-1.04%0.2986+15.92%0.0606✗1.16217k2022-03-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6154.5666-1.05%5.261+14.00%0.0616✗0.95122k2022-03-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1824.1375-1.06%5.173+23.70%0.1156✗1.282.3M2022-03-19
ZENHorizenBase37.4837.0736-1.08%41.99+12.03%0.0142✗1.31261k2022-03-19
PROPropyEthereum1.471.4538-1.10%1.53+4.08%0.0439✓1.12307k2022-03-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.182.1557-1.11%2.15-1.38%0.0364✓0.40277k2022-03-19
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.372773-1.12%0.435+15.38%0.0594✗1.133.3M2022-03-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.00000176-1.12%0.00000187+5.06%0.0086✓0.6213.3M2022-03-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14780.146083-1.16%0.155+4.87%0.0281✓1.03253k2022-03-19
BANDBandEthereum3.3773.3373-1.18%3.81+12.82%0.0350✗1.15977k2022-03-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.107698-1.19%0.11+0.92%0.0245✓0.5444k2022-03-19
UNIUniswapEthereum8.458.3488-1.20%9.74+15.27%0.0653✗1.056.3M2022-03-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1317.9068-1.23%19.42+7.12%0.0126✓1.1125.2M2022-03-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.02437-1.26%0.02695+9.20%0.0375✗0.753.2M2022-03-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.582534-1.27%0.66+11.86%0.0106✓1.60745k2022-03-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068460.067585-1.28%0.07384+7.86%0.0159✗0.8613k2022-03-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20060.197947-1.32%0.2114+5.38%0.0355✓1.202.3M2022-03-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9722.6628-1.34%27.71+20.64%0.0913✗1.30875k2022-03-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67240.663304-1.35%0.8804+30.93%0.1759✗1.273.1M2022-03-19
ORCAOrcaSolana2.062.0319-1.36%2.13+3.40%0.0115✓0.69213k2022-03-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.695.6124-1.36%6.43+13.01%0.0724✗0.75604k2022-03-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.9340.3411-1.44%44.92+9.75%0.0186✗1.0516.3M2022-03-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49390.486632-1.47%0.5182+4.92%0.0049✓0.80456k2022-03-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.690.679595-1.51%0.936+35.65%0.2046✗1.37112k2022-03-19
DASHDashDash99.0997.5887-1.52%103.03+3.98%0.0309✓1.011.5M2022-03-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1811.163-1.52%1.588+34.46%0.2061✗1.252.2M2022-03-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0141710.013955-1.52%0.019485+37.50%0.2728✗0.72143k2022-03-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.31042.2748-1.54%2.508+8.55%0.0045✓1.212.4M2022-03-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84895.7579-1.56%6.054+3.51%0.0162✗0.40189k2022-03-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013550.013333-1.60%0.03602+165.83%0.8744✗1.4112.7M2022-03-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.697846-1.64%0.766+7.96%0.0646✗0.34959k2022-03-19
DIADIAEthereum0.90.885097-1.66%0.94+4.44%0.0311✗0.34274k2022-03-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.315.2147-1.79%7.03+32.39%0.1842✗1.36583k2022-03-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00350.003437-1.80%0.0036+2.86%0.0792✓1.495.3M2022-03-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.052.9951-1.80%3.759+23.25%0.1636✗0.75427k2022-03-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.071.0507-1.80%1.21+13.08%0.0494✗1.09573k2022-03-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.0653-1.80%0.072+8.27%0.0021✓1.18574k2022-03-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.052925-1.81%0.066+22.45%0.0753✗1.7247.7M2022-03-19
NANOnanopayBase1.71811.6866-1.83%2.2702+32.14%0.2058✗1.08133k2022-03-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.546.4183-1.86%6.42-1.83%0.0654✓0.78625k2022-03-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.35481.3293-1.88%1.5032+10.95%0.0120✓1.31289k2022-03-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9272.8712-1.91%3.33+13.77%0.0803✗0.80330k2022-03-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.99463.9164-1.96%4.7092+17.89%0.1026✗0.97204k2022-03-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091080.089233-2.03%0.09651+5.96%0.0009✓0.9235k2022-03-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071340.069811-2.14%0.07465+4.64%0.0256✓1.1054k2022-03-19
XMRMoneroMonero184.77180.4562-2.33%197.76+7.03%0.0137✓0.921.5M2022-03-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.146420.142982-2.35%0.15441+5.46%0.0026✓0.8816k2022-03-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.011510.011237-2.37%0.012233+6.28%0.0020✓0.9811k2022-03-19
ZECZcashZcash151.6147.9572-2.40%179.68+18.52%0.1091✗1.017.6M2022-03-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.02611.001-2.45%1.0989+7.09%0.0047✓1.16112k2022-03-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.3844-2.56%22.51+77.10%0.5058✗1.09331k2022-03-19
API3Api3Ethereum5.014.8813-2.57%5.02+0.20%0.0256✓0.647.0M2022-03-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.99531.9437-2.59%2.2005+10.28%0.0606✗0.7520k2022-03-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8125.6606-2.60%6.523+12.23%0.0574✗1.00462k2022-03-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.4790.46648-2.61%0.593+23.80%0.1556✗1.004,7232022-03-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.13182.076-2.62%2.1759+2.07%0.0252✓0.86112k2022-03-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.147.9268-2.62%8.09-0.61%0.0421✓0.74946k2022-03-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.6145.3471-2.71%52.05+11.67%0.0316✗1.265.4M2022-03-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9311.5867-2.88%12.43+4.19%0.0228✓0.561.2M2022-03-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.652.5729-2.91%2.713+2.38%0.0314✓1.0053k2022-03-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.2126.4001-2.98%28.65+5.29%0.0161✓1.1645.1M2022-03-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.74652.6624-3.06%3.3286+21.19%0.1543✗0.824.1M2022-03-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.7687.5033-3.41%7.689-1.02%0.0871✓1.324.8M2022-03-19
STXStacksnative1.321.2746-3.44%1.32+0.00%0.0409✓0.90419k2022-03-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.11353.9681-3.53%3.779-8.13%0.1066✓0.683.4M2022-03-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.651.5917-3.54%1.718+4.12%0.0064✓0.8364k2022-03-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8651.7985-3.57%2.084+11.74%0.0657✗0.973.3M2022-03-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.21390.205617-3.87%0.2493+16.55%0.1082✗1.00142k2022-03-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041020.039356-4.06%0.03453-15.82%0.1937✓0.751.1M2022-03-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.5976.2943-4.59%5.895-10.64%0.1073✓0.491.6M2022-03-19
LUNATerraTerra 286.0382.0089-4.67%92.1+7.06%0.0034✓1.417.6M2022-03-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010860.000001033-4.90%0.000001196+10.09%0.0619✗1.001.5M2022-03-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0324.7737-5.13%4.1949-16.64%0.1926✓0.752.4M2022-03-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.52898.9045-6.55%9.1368-4.11%0.0587✓1.0019.7M2022-03-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.