8=======>

2022-02-23 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1672
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.0%
in alpha space · 60.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.045617+1.69%0.04875+8.67%0.1492✗1.31768k2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana84.6485.4516+0.96%100.73+19.01%0.0396✗1.24132.7M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.332067+0.84%0.4033+22.47%0.0817✗1.6816.0M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash97.5198.256+0.77%125.91+29.13%0.0569✓1.167.6M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.6016+0.73%1.93+21.38%0.0352✗1.352.0M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.944828+0.73%1.164+24.09%0.0067✓1.23934k2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.717764+0.72%0.7872+10.47%0.0950✗1.149.7M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.2589+0.68%4.65+9.93%0.0922✗1.10456k2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.17146+0.68%0.197+15.68%0.0929✗1.412.9M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41106.0955+0.65%110.35+4.69%0.1591✗1.2129.5M2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase32.8433.0466+0.63%38.92+18.51%0.0954✗1.58309k2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.355815+0.63%0.3742+5.83%0.1819✗1.428.4M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.3323+0.62%2.99+28.99%0.0407✓1.27772k2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3388+0.59%1.59+19.46%0.0163✗1.151.6M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67131.4194+0.57%137.7+5.38%0.1906✗1.456.5M2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.8035+0.57%3.0297+8.69%0.0885✗1.012.3M2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.7481+0.57%6.71+0.00%0.0419✗0.221.2M2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.529533+0.56%0.570611+8.36%0.1163✗1.163.2M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.573.9009+0.55%83.42+13.50%0.1249✗1.50106.7M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.870734+0.50%0.9394+8.43%0.1127✗1.1597.3M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37289.7868+0.49%320.43+11.12%0.0632✗1.007.3M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.670267+0.49%0.703+5.40%0.1342✗1.112.0M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.9462+0.45%3.494+19.12%0.0422✗1.302.0M2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008435+0.42%0.00957+13.93%0.0425✗1.03525k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.8822+0.41%6.7+14.37%0.0702✓0.3729k2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.025402+0.40%0.0268+5.93%0.1803✗1.43497k2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.283087+0.39%0.308+9.22%0.1420✗1.382.0M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2037,667.45+0.38%44,262.00+17.96%0.0027✓0.9739k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3514.404+0.38%16.15+12.54%0.0078✗0.751.8M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.493976+0.36%0.7291+48.13%0.1675✓1.352.2M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2889+0.36%7.94+50.66%0.2629✓0.87367k2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3939+0.35%1.548+11.45%0.1372✗1.48928k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.047762+0.34%0.0655+37.61%0.0244✓1.7864.3M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative0.81850.821237+0.33%0.9988+22.03%0.0300✗1.381.7M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.8718+0.33%20.76+10.37%0.1580✗1.54334k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8874+0.33%3.114+8.20%0.0795✗0.95460k2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.193+0.26%1.27+6.72%0.1493✗1.29934k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000070220.000070395+0.25%0.00007594+8.15%0.1160✗1.174.4M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.09430.094533+0.25%0.1064+12.83%0.0514✗1.0337k2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,587.24+0.24%2,948.56+14.24%0.0475✗1.09561.7M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.780879+0.24%0.917+17.72%0.0632✗1.362.1M2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024898+0.23%0.00002591+4.31%0.1864✗1.383.7M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.7913+0.23%20.355+8.57%0.1072✗1.149.6M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.7564+0.23%3.976+6.08%0.1512✗1.272.3M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.204329+0.21%0.2308+13.19%0.1301✗1.543.3M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.3572+0.21%9.78+17.27%0.0551✗1.293.1M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.365798+0.19%0.397+8.74%0.1502✗1.411.3M2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018792+0.17%0.01892+0.85%0.1787✗1.132.1M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.660513+0.16%0.73047+10.77%0.1365✗1.45246k2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.443717+0.16%0.468+5.64%0.1711✗1.374.5M2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.9953+0.16%18.61+16.53%0.0671✗1.3327.9M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49109.6514+0.15%122.45+11.84%0.1015✗1.2964k2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060872+0.15%0.061505+1.19%0.1293✗0.85286k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.060246+0.14%0.07258+20.64%0.0519✓0.8275k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2414.2603+0.14%15.16+6.46%0.1945✗1.562.3M2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.14826.1568+0.14%6.803+10.65%0.0340✗0.823.0M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2882+0.14%2.647+15.84%0.1115✗1.5713.2M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.127521+0.13%0.133081+4.49%0.1235✗1.013.7M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.234287+0.12%0.247+5.56%0.0926✗0.8959k2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.069382+0.12%0.0754+8.80%0.0961✗1.09176k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.221256+0.12%0.2571+16.33%0.0145✗1.001.8M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.009380.009391+0.11%0.01037+10.55%0.1117✗1.291.2M2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.133648+0.11%0.1595+19.48%0.0102✓1.02467k2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.43958+0.11%0.5144+17.15%0.0814✗1.45572k2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration123.58123.7122+0.11%138.31+11.92%0.0842✗1.19930k2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.4495+0.11%20.73+12.48%0.0831✗1.229.2M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum108.35108.4455+0.09%117.95+8.86%0.0839✗1.026.6M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.670548+0.08%0.75+11.94%0.2059✗1.941.0M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.1555+0.08%2.2311+3.59%0.1087✗0.8728k2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.9808+0.08%8.421+69.20%0.3611✓1.001.8M2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120691+0.08%0.1299+7.71%0.1453✗1.332.9M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2818+0.06%3.41+3.96%0.1902✗1.397.0M2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.3654+0.05%6.038+12.59%0.0528✗1.04241k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.149538+0.03%0.16542+10.66%0.1217✗1.3629k2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1822.1869+0.03%26.56+19.75%0.0565✗1.441.8M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1937,274.63+0.02%43,912.34+17.83%0.0002✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.3412+0.01%15.29+14.62%0.0633✗1.2260.6M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.5992+0.01%2.98+14.66%0.0017✗0.84198k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.1201+0.01%2.13+0.47%0.1980✗1.24324k2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6793-0.01%5.57+19.02%0.0426✗0.80431k2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.7487-0.01%10.05+14.86%0.0780✓1.3210.8M2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0378-0.02%1.202+15.80%0.0594✓1.262.8M2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.062187-0.02%0.0714+14.79%0.0372✓1.0714k2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759167.7453-0.02%71.55+5.59%0.1919✓1.50243k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.181834-0.03%0.193624+6.45%0.1094✓1.0521.4M2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5328.5212-0.03%30.37+6.45%0.1043✓1.021.5M2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.084452-0.06%0.0991+17.28%0.0803✓1.46668k2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.239435-0.07%0.2945+22.91%0.0157✗1.17410k2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.902642-0.07%1.0742+18.92%0.0065✓1.10160k2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.010051-0.09%0.01231+22.37%0.0474✓1.532.2M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.082792-0.09%0.091+9.81%0.0875✓1.1147k2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.750539-0.10%0.8082+7.57%0.1782✓1.54317k2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.2706-0.10%10.14+9.27%0.0290✓0.72758k2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.502-0.11%29.52+11.27%0.0710✓1.094.9M2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1675-0.11%2.43+11.98%0.0521✓1.01275k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.5521-0.12%1.464-5.79%0.2413✓1.113.4M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.8606-0.13%4.413+14.16%0.0643✓1.21283k2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.8379-0.14%3.0322+6.70%0.1002✓1.012.6M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.1729-0.16%5.551+7.14%0.0609✓0.8065k2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.0072.0036-0.17%2.298+14.50%0.0343✓1.0419k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.3804-0.19%1.496+8.17%0.1200✓1.221.0M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash88.2888.1035-0.20%100.9+14.30%0.0562✓1.171.5M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.037359-0.22%0.04078+8.92%0.0917✓1.0931k2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012203-0.22%0.01235+0.98%0.1123✓0.7615k2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1781.9825-0.23%86.11+4.79%0.0984✓0.90946k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1925-0.24%1.389+16.20%0.0726✓1.372.6M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.783342-0.25%0.8204+4.47%0.1567✓1.2422.9M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.7164-0.25%2.7751+61.28%0.3951✗0.522.7M2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2917.2428-0.27%19.31+11.68%0.0754✓1.1522.3M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.8314-0.32%6.64+13.50%0.0626✗0.411.3M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1354.1214-0.33%4.505+8.95%0.0514✓0.86395k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5809-0.33%1.9592+23.52%0.0389✗1.0772k2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.06844-0.38%0.0775+12.81%0.1011✓1.371.1M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.737-0.40%6.43+11.63%0.0297✓0.88425k2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.715-0.44%6.4867+13.01%0.1110✓1.45153k2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.639-0.44%4.016+9.88%0.1090✓1.271.9M2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.834-0.53%5.59+15.02%0.0174✓0.99682k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025773-0.60%0.02832+9.22%0.0328✓0.774.4M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.146018-0.67%0.149+1.36%0.1117✓0.80345k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.7840.4931-0.70%46.16+13.19%0.0583✓1.1526.3M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.6194-0.71%13.69+7.71%0.0873✓1.03369k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2845-0.73%1.359+5.02%0.1707✓1.381.8M2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.5316-0.78%2.7532+7.90%0.1280✓1.293.2M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero149.01147.7891-0.82%177.46+19.09%0.0186✗1.00966k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.017863-0.87%0.01634-9.32%0.3565✓1.6311.1M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9520,132.44-0.93%22,346.94+9.97%0.0649✓1.035.7M2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.2471-1.01%2.895+27.53%0.0258✗1.39579k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.42789-1.20%0.5029+16.12%0.1485✓1.892.0M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.131.1158-1.26%1.25+10.62%0.1028✓1.32725k2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.8838-1.34%1.8782-1.63%0.2045✓1.23206k2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5452-1.35%2.52-2.33%0.1740✓1.00671k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.477871-1.45%0.5665+16.83%0.0126✓0.96643k2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.315-1.49%2.35+0.00%0.1491✓1.00639k2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7948.0367-1.54%55.59+13.94%0.0710✓1.327.5M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.036028-1.56%0.03397-7.19%0.2046✓0.891.7M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.011946-1.60%0.012216+0.63%0.1655✓1.1539k2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09755.9968-1.65%5.9424-2.54%0.0735✓0.39412k2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.781.7486-1.77%1.82+2.25%0.2280✓1.63582k2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.912932-1.82%0.7242-22.12%0.3322✓0.611.5M2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004353-1.95%0.00469+5.63%0.2348✓1.8912.6M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.048153-2.08%0.04679-4.86%0.2356✓1.267.5M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1524.5067-2.56%32.25+28.23%0.0938✗1.1052.8M2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.022141-2.71%0.021073-7.40%0.2226✓1.06111k2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.7579-2.72%2.237+23.80%0.0770✗1.0076k2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001845-2.91%0.00000196+3.16%0.1034✓1.0014.4M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 259.5457.768-2.98%92.43+55.24%0.2513✗1.334.5M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.139144-3.37%0.116-19.44%0.3490✓1.0253k2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.6714-4.41%1.6226-7.20%0.2777✓1.51229k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0515-4.41%1.02-7.27%0.1945✓1.00286k2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum6.3575.9534-6.35%7.3+14.83%0.1486✗0.342.0M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.