8=======>

2022-02-16 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2139
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.3%
in alpha space · 76.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.600478-3.92%0.4331-30.70%0.0139✓1.911.8M2022-02-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.4065-3.79%6.357+38.80%0.4258✗0.361.8M2022-02-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.1627-3.26%0.9299-22.63%0.0692✓0.941.5M2022-02-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.5776-3.24%1.7484+7.23%0.3573✗1.55140k2022-02-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.02737-3.23%0.022758-19.54%0.0268✓1.2989k2022-02-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.00582-3.16%0.00444-26.12%0.0585✗2.0117.9M2022-02-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.6229-3.14%2.1538-42.41%0.3674✓0.9330k2022-02-23
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.166-3.12%3.28-23.72%0.0115✓1.397.9M2022-02-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.2127-3.05%1.7207-24.60%0.1559✓0.582.9M2022-02-23
PROPropyEthereum2.342.2688-3.04%1.78-23.93%0.0756✗1.94812k2022-02-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.435979-2.73%0.3293-26.53%0.0031✓1.7321.4M2022-02-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.9086-2.72%2.27-55.01%0.6041✓1.02664k2022-02-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.087629-2.63%0.0687-23.67%0.0210✓1.36868k2022-02-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.0509-2.30%5.85-29.00%0.2722✓0.291.7M2022-02-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1893-2.26%2.5516-21.81%0.0264✓1.203.3M2022-02-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.044797-2.25%0.0366-20.14%0.0707✓0.802.2M2022-02-23
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002131-2.24%0.0000019-12.84%0.0489✗1.0014.3M2022-02-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0272-2.17%0.67-36.19%0.0960✓2.021.1M2022-02-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.8203-2.13%1.294-30.43%0.1137✓1.392.9M2022-02-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0023,189.25-2.11%20,320.95-14.22%0.0333✗1.017.2M2022-02-23
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2995-2.07%1.807-23.04%0.0773✓1.0084k2022-02-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.068141-1.96%0.0476-31.51%0.0701✓1.7664.3M2022-02-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.032856-1.92%0.0253-24.48%0.0150✓1.50499k2022-02-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.8789-1.84%2.8418-28.08%0.1661✓0.892.3M2022-02-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.591033-1.82%0.4849-19.45%0.0515✓0.89840k2022-02-23
STXStacksnative1.551.5232-1.73%1.13-27.10%0.1349✓1.00980k2022-02-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016693-1.63%0.01214-28.46%0.1331✓1.13450k2022-02-23
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.4265-1.58%4.977-23.78%0.0901✓1.011.9M2022-02-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4262.4163-1.58%48.79-23.07%0.0393✓1.269.2M2022-02-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.6605-1.47%5.76-14.79%0.0020✓0.88430k2022-02-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.6245-1.44%9.28-13.91%0.0263✓0.67821k2022-02-23
DIADIAEthereum0.970.956896-1.35%1.1+13.40%0.3030✗1.00269k2022-02-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.4074-1.33%1.1954-16.19%0.0452✗1.272.4M2022-02-23
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.7636-1.32%5.7401-27.04%0.0611✓1.47153k2022-02-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.7891-1.32%6.0975+3.93%0.1085✗0.35441k2022-02-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.1294-1.28%2.285-27.92%0.0690✓1.5016.5M2022-02-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4012-1.26%4.68-14.44%0.0137✓0.79407k2022-02-23
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.532382-1.23%0.443-17.81%0.0504✗1.434.5M2022-02-23
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.6384-1.20%8.34-29.20%0.1212✓1.303.1M2022-02-23
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.2718-1.16%2.35-29.00%0.1672✓1.00681k2022-02-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7497-1.11%4.135-13.91%0.0031✓0.83379k2022-02-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.055464-1.11%0.049178-12.31%0.0829✗1.247.6M2022-02-23
BANDBandEthereum4.874.8162-1.10%3.655-24.95%0.0716✓1.251.9M2022-02-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.4756-1.09%2.878-18.10%0.0434✓0.89481k2022-02-23
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551594.5133-1.09%67.7591-29.09%0.0823✓1.53315k2022-02-23
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113056-1.00%0.0943-17.43%0.0153✓1.0137k2022-02-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021556-1.00%0.01876-13.84%0.0647✗1.242.4M2022-02-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.8541-0.98%18.43-20.15%0.0164✓1.2110.5M2022-02-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.114911-0.94%0.144+24.14%0.3893✗1.0064k2022-02-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.15474-0.93%0.1206-22.79%0.0286✓1.353.2M2022-02-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5128.2466-0.92%25.15-11.79%0.0642✗1.1066.4M2022-02-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.8776-0.92%17.29-21.69%0.0464✓1.1524.2M2022-02-23
RADRadworksEthereum6.076.015-0.91%4.86-19.93%0.0471✓1.02701k2022-02-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1885-0.89%2.599-19.21%0.0739✓0.80215k2022-02-23
HIVEHivenative1.11251.103-0.85%0.8185-26.43%0.0379✓1.591.9M2022-02-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.267042-0.84%0.221-17.94%0.0210✓1.031.8M2022-02-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031898-0.82%0.02593-19.37%0.0676✓0.856.2M2022-02-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.693235-0.81%0.4391-37.17%0.2118✓1.50665k2022-02-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013332-0.81%0.01006-25.15%0.0252✓1.571.8M2022-02-23
XMRMoneroMonero179.36177.9866-0.77%149.01-16.92%0.0117✓1.011.2M2022-02-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3994.6621-0.76%73.5-22.95%0.0152✓1.45104.0M2022-02-23
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44169.146-0.76%130.67-23.33%0.0271✓1.418.0M2022-02-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4345-0.72%2.007-18.15%0.0214✓1.0520k2022-02-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1123-0.69%0.938-16.25%0.0570✗1.39694k2022-02-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.8026-0.68%12.71-20.11%0.0482✓1.04483k2022-02-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031769-0.66%0.01802-43.65%0.3484✓1.3410.7M2022-02-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.8754-0.64%18.81-21.72%0.0139✗1.54387k2022-02-23
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01135.2128-0.59%109.49-19.50%0.0024✓1.3058k2022-02-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7996-0.58%1.383-23.59%0.0593✓1.251.3M2022-02-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.830608-0.57%0.65943-21.06%0.0167✗1.51334k2022-02-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.954728-0.57%0.7513-21.76%0.0083✗1.52552k2022-02-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013814-0.55%0.01223-11.95%0.0061✗0.7814k2022-02-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.4754-0.54%22.18-22.53%0.0023✓1.512.0M2022-02-23
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.153-0.54%2.58-18.61%0.0369✓1.00829k2022-02-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8501-0.53%1.19-36.02%0.2434✓1.211.3M2022-02-23
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.173773-0.53%0.147-15.86%0.0595✓0.66388k2022-02-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6363-0.52%2.12-20.00%0.0114✓1.26390k2022-02-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2532.0903-0.50%26.53-17.74%0.0161✓1.065.5M2022-02-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.97432-0.49%0.7853-19.79%0.0142✓1.2326.7M2022-02-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.104698-0.48%0.0845-19.68%0.0389✗1.55996k2022-02-23
KSMKusamaHydration166.77165.9889-0.47%123.58-25.90%0.0990✓1.20973k2022-02-23
XVGVergenative0.011710.011656-0.46%0.00938-19.90%0.0011✓1.331.2M2022-02-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030816-0.43%0.00002484-19.74%0.0140✗1.402.8M2022-02-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.371387-0.43%0.282-24.40%0.0529✓1.362.3M2022-02-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9436-0.43%1.389-28.84%0.1075✓1.401.1M2022-02-23
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.39-0.42%1.554-35.25%0.2655✓1.013.2M2022-02-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.3324-0.40%5.181-18.51%0.0631✓0.8472k2022-02-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1869-0.38%0.90329-24.19%0.0949✓1.09193k2022-02-23
ZECZcashZcash125.58125.139-0.35%97.51-22.35%0.0510✓1.217.4M2022-02-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.0845-0.32%13.34-22.17%0.0509✓1.2070.2M2022-02-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.501-0.29%5.27-19.17%0.0748✓0.83463k2022-02-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.485783-0.29%0.3536-27.42%0.0882✓1.408.9M2022-02-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.980161-0.29%0.779-20.75%0.0060✓1.372.4M2022-02-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.8154-0.29%3.8658-19.95%0.0233✓1.20335k2022-02-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.8013-0.27%2.318-17.48%0.0305✗1.341.0M2022-02-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.890922-0.27%0.7126-20.23%0.0484✓1.0711.9M2022-02-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2707-0.26%1.038-18.52%0.0004✓1.233.4M2022-02-23
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.8966-0.22%59.54+6.28%0.2954✗1.426.3M2022-02-23
XTZTezosTezos4.03824.0297-0.21%2.9331-27.37%0.1071✓1.292.4M2022-02-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5949-0.19%2.7875-22.61%0.0890✓1.012.5M2022-02-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6848-0.19%1.331-21.15%0.0466✓1.162.1M2022-02-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6178-0.18%14.24-19.32%0.0705✗1.733.4M2022-02-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.167512-0.17%0.1335-20.44%0.0579✓1.03470k2022-02-23
FTTFTXEthereum46.3846.3006-0.17%40.78-12.07%0.0681✗1.1930.4M2022-02-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.28751-0.17%0.234-18.75%0.0536✓0.9373k2022-02-23
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2011-0.17%8.75-22.01%0.0276✓1.3412.2M2022-02-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075595-0.14%0.0622-17.83%0.0189✓1.0817k2022-02-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8216-0.13%1.5861-13.05%0.0475✗1.1469k2022-02-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2305-0.13%6.71-7.32%0.0305✓0.271.2M2022-02-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,847.62-0.11%37,268.19-15.10%0.0011✓1.00642.7M2022-02-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.732-0.11%14.35-14.33%0.0449✓0.661.5M2022-02-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8964-0.07%3.748-23.51%0.0625✓1.252.6M2022-02-23
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.2334-0.07%5.858-28.90%0.2963✓0.2737k2022-02-23
DASHDashDash115.33115.2573-0.06%88.28-23.45%0.0854✓1.111.9M2022-02-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.5439-0.06%82.17-13.14%0.0053✗0.891.1M2022-02-23
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.218635-0.05%0.181888-16.85%0.0155✓1.0321.9M2022-02-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.7712-0.04%15.97-19.26%0.0096✗1.3633.6M2022-02-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,123.41-0.03%2,580.97-17.39%0.0051✓1.13581.4M2022-02-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0783-0.03%4.23-30.43%0.1915✓1.04555k2022-02-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.081152-0.02%0.06016-25.88%0.1763✓0.7589k2022-02-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.3067-0.01%28.53+0.78%0.1640✗0.951.2M2022-02-23
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.5622+0.01%108.35-16.36%0.0130✗1.017.8M2022-02-23
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085402+0.01%0.00007022-17.77%0.0090✗1.144.7M2022-02-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.475749+0.07%0.3651-23.20%0.0217✗1.481.9M2022-02-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.17637+0.07%0.14949-15.18%0.0977✓1.6132k2022-02-23
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2621+0.17%1.9093-15.46%0.0365✓1.26367k2022-02-23
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010799+0.18%0.0084-22.08%0.0798✗1.05483k2022-02-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6756+0.21%2.17-18.73%0.0405✗1.03373k2022-02-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.788734+0.22%0.667-15.25%0.0138✓1.111.9M2022-02-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.285649+0.23%0.2039-28.46%0.0857✗1.544.0M2022-02-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.098114+0.23%0.08287-15.34%0.0124✓1.1150k2022-02-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4711+0.23%5.363-28.05%0.1736✗0.96407k2022-02-23
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.9091+0.26%18.749-10.10%0.0996✓1.2710.1M2022-02-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.04478+0.27%0.03744-16.17%0.0022✓1.1131k2022-02-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085344+0.29%0.0693-18.57%0.0099✗1.21194k2022-02-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.149179+0.30%0.127361-14.37%0.0080✓1.016.1M2022-02-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1364+0.30%1.59-25.35%0.0765✗1.342.1M2022-02-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8044,098.86+0.31%37,524.20-14.64%0.0020✓0.9751k2022-02-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.57013+0.32%0.4922-13.39%0.0756✓1.362.4M2022-02-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55335.6467+0.33%288.37-13.80%0.0106✓0.998.9M2022-02-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.30775+0.34%0.2396-21.88%0.0660✗1.13538k2022-02-23
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066739+0.40%0.060784-8.56%0.0455✓0.85344k2022-02-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.221145+0.43%0.1703-22.66%0.0331✗1.393.7M2022-02-23
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.8009+0.45%32.84-19.15%0.0415✓1.58364k2022-02-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.680159+0.45%0.526579-22.23%0.0679✗1.153.6M2022-02-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84128.4521+0.48%105.41-17.55%0.0039✓1.2332.4M2022-02-23
GTGateEthereum6.88276.9162+0.49%6.1482-10.67%0.0231✓0.863.8M2022-02-23
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0899+0.61%0.8664-20.02%0.0430✗1.14106.9M2022-02-23
SOLSolanaSolana101.94102.7111+0.76%84.64-16.97%0.0140✓1.27179.7M2022-02-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.058104+0.89%0.04486-22.10%0.0309✗1.391.2M2022-02-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.