2022-02-04 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2637

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.4%

in alpha space · 61.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.85%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.057326	+0.71%	0.05622	-1.23%	0.0437	✗	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022287	+0.39%	0.00002872	+29.37%	0.2302	✓	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.2123	+0.24%	2.1819	-1.13%	0.0348	✗	1.14	888k	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.202755	+0.22%	0.2056	+1.63%	0.0094	✗	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.064586	+0.21%	0.063958	-0.76%	0.0263	✗	0.90	396k	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040835	+0.09%	0.047719	+16.96%	0.1333	✓	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	121.4971	+0.06%	125.69	+3.52%	0.0102	✓	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1404	+0.05%	1.0803	-5.22%	0.0742	✗	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	7.0411	+0.04%	6.7399	-4.24%	0.0597	✗	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.772264	+0.03%	0.771	-0.13%	0.0206	✗	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.147991	+0.03%	0.14485	-2.09%	0.0401	✗	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.1005	+0.03%	2.07	-1.43%	0.0381	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6506	+0.02%	2.58	-2.64%	0.0452	✗	0.99	604k	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	306.3644	-0.00%	321.01	+4.78%	0.0281	✗	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	112.6849	-0.00%	96.5	-14.37%	0.1766	✓	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.070368	-0.04%	0.072	+2.27%	0.0036	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.087054	-0.05%	0.0868	-0.34%	0.0240	✓	1.15	256k	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	43.1653	-0.06%	40.36	-6.55%	0.0954	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.7136	-0.07%	8.92	+2.29%	0.0007	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.4319	-0.08%	19.087	-1.85%	0.0438	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3698	-0.10%	3.4051	+0.95%	0.0086	✓	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	102.9322	-0.13%	103.99	+0.89%	0.0106	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.44	-0.14%	0.4181	-5.11%	0.0745	✓	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	40,402.51	-0.14%	42,347.70	+4.67%	0.0291	✗	0.97	51k	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.044003	-0.15%	0.04188	-4.97%	0.0691	✓	1.07	29k	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.125998	-0.16%	0.149	+18.07%	0.1439	✗	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.486204	-0.20%	0.4583	-5.93%	0.0841	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010577	-0.22%	0.01244	+17.36%	0.1386	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.909036	-0.25%	0.9345	+2.55%	0.0030	✓	1.67	783k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000082463	-0.25%	0.00008391	+1.50%	0.0027	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	106.9075	-0.28%	116.54	+8.70%	0.0635	✗	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.208617	-0.29%	0.215393	+2.95%	0.0138	✗	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.042139	-0.29%	0.03653	-13.56%	0.1625	✓	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.588508	-0.29%	0.5696	-3.49%	0.0557	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.4469	-0.36%	5.99	-7.42%	0.0917	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.4306	-0.36%	7.219	+11.85%	0.0976	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.7241	-0.36%	2.754	+0.73%	0.0135	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.308658	-0.37%	0.2888	-6.78%	0.0946	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.011146	-0.39%	0.01056	-5.63%	0.0726	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.268878	-0.42%	0.301	+11.48%	0.0962	✗	0.90	67k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4031	-0.42%	6.24	-2.95%	0.0397	✓	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	21.8919	-0.45%	22.36	+1.68%	0.0070	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	6.0955	-0.45%	6.01	-1.85%	0.0292	✓	0.82	103k	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.4144	-0.47%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0966	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	7.9586	-0.47%	7.923	-0.91%	0.0107	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.973424	-0.47%	0.96	-1.84%	0.0386	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010788	-0.48%	0.01151	+6.18%	0.0416	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.783	-0.53%	1.7756	-0.94%	0.0239	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.098061	-0.54%	0.09752	-1.09%	0.0234	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.8181	-0.57%	4.25	+10.68%	0.0842	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.8123	-0.59%	1.833	+0.55%	0.0101	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	2,980.24	-0.60%	2,929.08	-2.31%	0.0373	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	41,354.08	-0.63%	42,386.47	+1.85%	0.0063	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.349795	-0.63%	0.375	+6.53%	0.0460	✗	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	165.8222	-0.63%	163.71	-1.89%	0.0376	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.3336	-0.63%	7.7	+4.34%	0.0431	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013544	-0.63%	0.01359	-0.29%	0.0128	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7586	-0.64%	1.71	-3.39%	0.0504	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.643035	-0.66%	0.616904	-4.70%	0.0621	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.187338	-0.67%	0.1735	-8.01%	0.0893	✓	0.68	423k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.249592	-0.68%	0.2594	+3.22%	0.0184	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	131.7926	-0.68%	124.54	-6.15%	0.0792	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	94.9435	-0.70%	94.64	-1.01%	0.0198	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.6905	-0.72%	2.54	-6.27%	0.0791	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.4549	-0.72%	29.96	+0.98%	0.0127	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	45.6954	-0.73%	43.46	-5.58%	0.0714	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.4998	-0.73%	17.24	-16.51%	0.2050	✓	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.1634	-0.73%	1.0976	-6.35%	0.0804	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	77.3186	-0.76%	81.81	+5.01%	0.0320	✗	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	164.037	-0.77%	169.21	+2.36%	0.0125	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.3393	-0.77%	4.453	+1.83%	0.0113	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.372	-0.79%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0900	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	88.0367	-0.79%	84.8321	-4.40%	0.0618	✓	1.35	351k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.990645	-0.81%	0.9169	-8.19%	0.0977	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	179.0601	-0.81%	165.1	-8.55%	0.1025	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.844	-0.84%	16.98	+13.43%	0.1224	✗	0.66	908k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.2066	-0.85%	3.154	-2.47%	0.0307	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.030944	-0.85%	0.03298	+5.67%	0.0482	✗	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.0816	-0.88%	10.65	-4.74%	0.0631	✓	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.890909	-0.91%	0.82329	-8.43%	0.1083	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.792651	-0.92%	0.92	+15.00%	0.1147	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.108554	-0.95%	0.1086	-0.91%	0.0171	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	53.538	-0.97%	50.35	-6.86%	0.0875	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2372	-0.97%	1.1623	-6.97%	0.0804	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.3864	-0.99%	5.4	-0.74%	0.0156	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.4165	-0.99%	21.09	-2.50%	0.0362	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.934	-1.00%	4.7016	-5.66%	0.0706	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	29.4004	-1.01%	32.74	+10.24%	0.0887	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.946943	-1.02%	0.8754	-8.50%	0.0973	✓	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.8059	-1.02%	6.5603	-4.59%	0.0625	✓	1.40	174k	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.01639	-1.04%	0.015872	-4.17%	0.0533	✓	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	3.9722	-1.04%	4.3129	+7.44%	0.0590	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.953865	-1.05%	1.1483	+19.12%	0.1591	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.672103	-1.06%	0.6537	-3.77%	0.0540	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.302994	-1.11%	0.2842	-7.25%	0.0836	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.3299	-1.11%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0127	✗	0.72	398k	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	14.9563	-1.15%	14.96	-1.12%	0.0176	✓	0.97	731k	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2633	-1.17%	1.99	-13.10%	0.1507	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.158218	-1.18%	0.1566	-2.19%	0.0294	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	22.0049	-1.19%	19.82	-11.00%	0.1256	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.3824	-1.20%	6.47	+0.15%	0.0016	✓	0.83	483k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.022131	-1.20%	0.022611	+0.94%	0.0025	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	132.6333	-1.20%	129.51	-3.53%	0.0405	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9636	-1.21%	2.31	-23.00%	0.2666	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.1143	-1.22%	5.96	-3.72%	0.0451	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.065475	-1.25%	0.0869	+31.07%	0.2607	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.081354	-1.26%	0.07747	-5.97%	0.0626	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	30.7339	-1.27%	26.56	-14.68%	0.1662	✓	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.6968	-1.41%	1.637	-4.88%	0.0561	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.7434	-1.48%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0231	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006531	-1.50%	0.0062	-6.49%	0.0892	✓	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.4453	-1.53%	4.9	-11.39%	0.1276	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.118841	-1.54%	0.1086	-10.02%	0.1163	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.1368	-1.55%	3.6	+12.99%	0.1205	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.534463	-1.57%	0.52	-4.24%	0.0531	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.432	-1.79%	1.257	-13.79%	0.1529	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.0661	-1.79%	6.1868	+19.94%	0.1953	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.3681	-1.80%	2.89	-15.74%	0.1787	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.4931	-1.88%	3.29	-7.58%	0.0749	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.4472	-1.91%	2.354	-5.65%	0.0574	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.98969	-2.01%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0488	✓	1.00	369k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	50.2934	-2.02%	59.07	+15.08%	0.1405	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.039911	-2.18%	0.0319	-21.81%	0.2526	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.400933	-2.21%	0.6358	+55.07%	0.4322	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	7.8309	-2.24%	7.97	-0.50%	0.0110	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.121189	-2.27%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0536	✓	1.00	110k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.0817	-2.31%	1.074	-3.01%	0.0328	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	24,304.77	-2.41%	23,115.13	-7.19%	0.0670	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	28.6877	-2.42%	28.06	-4.56%	0.0396	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.088	-2.43%	1.95	-8.88%	0.0937	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.199458	-2.57%	0.18907	-7.64%	0.0809	✓	1.49	32k	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.046	-2.57%	2.28	+8.57%	0.0899	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.58389	-2.59%	0.5956	-0.63%	0.0002	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.3519	-2.64%	4.09	-8.50%	0.0866	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.742	-2.71%	2.9222	+3.68%	0.0474	✗	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5068	-2.79%	1.51	-2.58%	0.0162	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2048	-2.84%	1.1	-11.29%	0.1144	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.049484	-2.86%	0.05111	+0.33%	0.0140	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.5782	-2.95%	5.157	-10.28%	0.0969	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.516053	-2.96%	0.4503	-15.33%	0.1693	✓	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.00000216	-3.12%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0185	✓	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.038349	-3.27%	0.032124	-18.97%	0.2007	✓	1.28	123k	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.0179	-3.36%	1.9151	-8.29%	0.0644	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.076829	-3.72%	0.0654	-18.05%	0.1956	✓	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4323	-3.86%	3.97	+11.20%	0.1402	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.2119	-3.89%	1.2269	-2.70%	0.0061	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.2859	-3.97%	3.5941	+5.04%	0.0742	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.