8=======>

2022-01-17 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0423
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.8%
in alpha space · 93.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.09%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.80950.818759+1.14%0.4591-43.29%0.4308✗1.052.7M2022-01-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.3324.4674+0.56%16.47-32.31%0.1333✗1.873.9M2022-01-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.13150.131895+0.30%0.1023-22.21%0.0737✗1.292.4M2022-01-24
SOLSolanaSolana139.85140.2634+0.30%91.96-34.24%0.2759✗1.04152.8M2022-01-24
LRCLoopringEthereum1.22891.2302+0.10%0.8598-30.03%0.0922✗1.901.3M2022-01-24
XVGVergenative0.013140.013147+0.05%0.00934-28.92%0.1683✗1.242.0M2022-01-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.778.7739+0.04%5.27-39.91%0.4102✗0.71995k2022-01-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.62.601+0.04%1.76-32.31%0.2070✗1.313.1M2022-01-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,218.0142,225.17+0.02%36,693.32-13.09%0.0002✗1.00636.6M2022-01-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.066380.06631-0.11%0.05018-24.40%0.1082✓1.2213.3M2022-01-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3120.311648-0.11%0.2227-28.62%0.1564✓1.282.1M2022-01-24
UMAUMAEthereum8.138.1195-0.13%5.94-26.94%0.1756✓0.984.1M2022-01-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.4619.4293-0.16%12.81-34.17%0.3108✓0.75841k2022-01-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0161.0141-0.18%0.703-30.81%0.2324✓0.962.2M2022-01-24
QTUMQtumQtum7.68797.6726-0.20%5.4487-29.13%0.1492✓1.38263k2022-01-24
XVSVenusEthereum13.5913.5549-0.26%7.93-41.65%0.3769✓1.142.9M2022-01-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.2424-0.29%0.82-34.19%0.2255✓1.352.4M2022-01-24
ETHEthereumEthereum3,210.983,201.46-0.30%2,441.74-23.96%0.1233✓1.05478.4M2022-01-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4057.3805-0.33%5.898-20.35%0.0467✓1.27271k2022-01-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.6825.5937-0.34%18.03-29.79%0.1644✓1.3360.5M2022-01-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.077480.077181-0.39%0.05059-34.71%0.2220✓1.432.4M2022-01-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06760.067328-0.40%0.0376-44.38%0.4423✓1.0025.5M2022-01-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative3130.8713-0.42%24.17-22.03%0.1007✓1.032.9M2022-01-24
RADRadworksEthereum7.897.8571-0.42%5.07-35.74%0.3139✓0.891.1M2022-01-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.082051-0.42%0.0557-32.40%0.1903✓1.40990k2022-01-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.252.2396-0.46%1.58-29.78%0.2040✓1.032.7M2022-01-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0556-0.47%2.34-23.78%0.1309✓0.97891k2022-01-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3597.3236-0.48%6.128-16.73%0.0766✓0.72178k2022-01-24
COMPCompoundEthereum181.47180.5743-0.49%124.78-31.24%0.2097✓1.14123k2022-01-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.00791.9979-0.50%1.6127-19.68%0.0688✓1.0489k2022-01-24
TRXTRONTron0.0708510.070484-0.52%0.055067-22.28%0.1149✓0.94511k2022-01-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.389.3302-0.53%6.18-34.12%0.4132✓-0.011.4M2022-01-24
UNIUniswapEthereum16.6416.5471-0.56%10.7-35.70%0.2551✓1.2912.2M2022-01-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.027860.027702-0.57%0.020919-24.91%0.1362✓1.035.7M2022-01-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.79378.6226-0.57%292.51-23.18%0.1182✓1.006.6M2022-01-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.7352.7176-0.63%2.007-26.62%0.1771✓0.9025k2022-01-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7457-0.64%3.5476-5.90%0.0633✓-0.06361k2022-01-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028830.000028644-0.65%0.00002123-26.36%0.1088✓1.361.8M2022-01-24
NANOnanopayBase3.01262.9928-0.66%2.2825-24.23%0.1133✓1.12665k2022-01-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05330.052947-0.66%0.0337-36.77%0.2586✓1.381.4M2022-01-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.9928.7941-0.68%18.43-36.43%0.2946✓1.0815.1M2022-01-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.510.50652-0.68%0.312-38.82%0.3041✓1.291.8M2022-01-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013580.013485-0.70%0.00795-41.46%0.1862✓2.4424.2M2022-01-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5027-0.72%4.86-25.80%0.1988✓0.66564k2022-01-24
ZENHorizenBase53.2752.8772-0.74%34.11-35.97%0.2407✓1.41642k2022-01-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8291.8154-0.74%1.474-19.41%0.0477✓1.142.0M2022-01-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01631.0085-0.76%0.74957-26.24%0.0521✓1.74896k2022-01-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3911.38-0.79%1.163-16.39%0.0193✗1.364.0M2022-01-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.021.0119-0.79%0.67-34.31%0.1427✓1.921.5M2022-01-24
DODODODOEthereum0.7680.761896-0.79%0.477-37.89%0.2643✓1.458.0M2022-01-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10640.105524-0.82%0.0759-28.67%0.1716✓1.13269k2022-01-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01450.014381-0.82%0.01025-29.31%0.1577✓1.292.2M2022-01-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.34151.3304-0.83%0.9125-31.98%0.2172✓1.1430.5M2022-01-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54780.543195-0.84%0.3932-28.22%0.1523✓1.2212.2M2022-01-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.777.7044-0.84%5.5-29.21%0.2493✓0.63720k2022-01-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.9228.6722-0.86%19.02-34.23%0.2017✓1.491.0M2022-01-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17550.173995-0.86%0.1426-18.75%0.0736✓0.89403k2022-01-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7277760.721525-0.86%0.505092-30.60%0.2019✓1.102.4M2022-01-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049790.049357-0.87%0.03766-24.36%0.1232✓1.0521k2022-01-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00770.99871-0.89%0.554-45.02%0.3920✓1.411.5M2022-01-24
MOVRMoonriverBase137.7719136.5297-0.90%75.75-45.02%0.4490✓1.00489k2022-01-24
XTZTezosTezos4.05384.0166-0.92%2.9641-26.88%0.1138✓1.353.3M2022-01-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0207230.02053-0.93%0.014337-30.82%0.1844✓1.252.7M2022-01-24
ZECZcashZcash138.84137.5481-0.93%94.49-31.94%0.2033✓1.2310.6M2022-01-24
XECeCashnative0.000099540.000098607-0.94%0.00007195-27.72%0.1735✓1.016.5M2022-01-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.25690.254454-0.95%0.1756-31.65%0.1865✓1.323.9M2022-01-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3252.3028-0.95%1.504-35.31%0.2701✓1.112.0M2022-01-24
SCSiacoinnative0.013520.01339-0.96%0.00936-30.77%0.2195✓0.99654k2022-01-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9527.6796-0.97%20.79-25.62%0.1906✓0.68353k2022-01-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2561330.253631-0.98%0.198106-22.66%0.1030✓1.0324.2M2022-01-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,814.5041,400.72-0.99%36,642.30-12.37%0.0156✗0.9814k2022-01-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709440.169248-0.99%0.137427-19.61%0.0553✓1.095.6M2022-01-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.6885.8074-1.01%63.05-27.26%0.1497✓1.13100.4M2022-01-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016520.01635-1.03%0.01192-27.85%0.2224✓0.6724k2022-01-24
QNTQuantEthereum159.74158.0981-1.03%102.9-35.58%0.3006✓0.926.4M2022-01-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.22671.2141-1.03%0.8826-28.05%0.1716✓1.052.7M2022-01-24
XEMNEMnative0.11480.113551-1.09%0.0977-14.90%0.0070✓1.0249k2022-01-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.351.3351-1.10%0.8-40.74%0.2822✓1.64556k2022-01-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.984.9244-1.12%4.22-15.26%0.0111✓1.183.2M2022-01-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0540690.053447-1.15%0.036957-31.65%0.2041✓1.187.9M2022-01-24
KSMKusamaHydration259.34256.1998-1.21%174.93-32.55%0.2185✓1.161.4M2022-01-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum76.5575.6096-1.23%51.24-33.06%0.2371✓1.086.4M2022-01-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107180.105835-1.25%0.08158-23.89%0.1031✓1.1227k2022-01-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.967.859-1.27%5.59-29.77%0.2374✓0.74682k2022-01-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.040110.039593-1.29%0.02733-31.86%0.2456✓0.898.4M2022-01-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.78108.3556-1.30%91.78-16.40%0.0340✓0.941.9M2022-01-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15950.157371-1.33%0.1111-30.34%0.1754✓1.234.2M2022-01-24
MINAMina Protocolnative3.413.3633-1.37%2.34-31.38%0.2142✓1.06808k2022-01-24
DASHDashDash135.73133.8358-1.40%90.49-33.33%0.2275✓1.172.8M2022-01-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7983.7439-1.43%2.941-22.56%0.1420✓0.71526k2022-01-24
BANDBandEthereum5.35.2223-1.47%3.37-36.42%0.2865✓1.082.1M2022-01-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088780.087449-1.50%0.06212-30.03%0.2394✓0.7345k2022-01-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.61910.609639-1.53%0.4258-31.22%0.1656✓1.382.7M2022-01-24
KCSKuCoinnative20.85120.5237-1.57%15.591-25.23%0.0515✓1.5910.7M2022-01-24
XMRMoneroMonero214.7211.3226-1.57%147.04-31.51%0.2325✓0.933.1M2022-01-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.823.4219-1.59%15.61-34.41%0.2463✓1.1470.4M2022-01-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0314.7888-1.60%12.53-16.63%0.0710✓0.68998k2022-01-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.350.344365-1.61%0.254-27.43%0.1980✓0.7645k2022-01-24
HIVEHivenative1.25611.2357-1.62%0.8485-32.45%0.1826✓1.383.7M2022-01-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.680383-1.62%0.5079-26.56%0.1154✓1.263.5M2022-01-24
SUSHISushiEthereum6.446.331-1.69%4.4-31.68%0.1836✓1.2817.7M2022-01-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.90532.8554-1.72%2.08-28.41%0.1728✓1.034.9M2022-01-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.16161.1416-1.72%0.7906-31.94%0.2321✓0.9623.2M2022-01-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08260.081174-1.73%0.0578-30.02%0.1905✓1.0620k2022-01-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1884.1148-1.75%3.081-26.43%0.1800✓0.781.1M2022-01-24
LUNATerraTerra 277.0675.6953-1.77%65.92-14.46%0.1242✗1.877.5M2022-01-24
XYMSymbolnative0.19060.187199-1.78%0.1572-17.52%0.0786✓0.68536k2022-01-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.4663-1.81%2.02-42.78%0.3607✓1.288.5M2022-01-24
GTGateEthereum6.99686.8703-1.81%6.2431-10.77%0.0174✓0.814.1M2022-01-24
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.6898-1.87%2.31-38.56%0.2649✓1.452.2M2022-01-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19064.1124-1.87%3.0465-27.30%0.1231✓1.264.1M2022-01-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.314326-1.90%0.2121-33.80%0.2485✓1.03397k2022-01-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.4433.7816-1.91%23.47-31.85%0.1316✓1.662.7M2022-01-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9844.8837-2.01%3.711-25.54%0.1824✓0.66469k2022-01-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.363.2915-2.04%2.6-22.62%0.0611✓1.252.9M2022-01-24
AAVEAaveEthereum226.66222.0156-2.05%152.41-32.76%0.2148✓1.1516.2M2022-01-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.19147.9898-2.12%109.65-27.48%0.1119✓1.3431.1M2022-01-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.2324-2.27%8.64-17.48%0.0637✓0.75808k2022-01-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.34093.2613-2.38%2.7044-19.05%0.0212✓1.182.3M2022-01-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.6228.913-2.39%20.73-30.01%0.1376✓1.3934.3M2022-01-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.27316.1125-2.56%4.1138-34.42%0.2324✓1.17457k2022-01-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.60181.5603-2.59%1.023-36.14%0.2978✓0.89445k2022-01-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0789720.076762-2.80%0.053067-32.80%0.2289✓1.001.6M2022-01-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2943.197-2.95%2.568-22.04%0.0221✓1.721.1M2022-01-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,588.0730,548.17-3.29%23,944.84-24.20%0.1473✓0.6922.2M2022-01-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.784.6223-3.30%2.82-41.00%0.3008✓1.3832.4M2022-01-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.98020.947286-3.36%0.8142-16.94%0.0022✓1.06108k2022-01-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206250.199141-3.45%0.16604-19.50%0.0366✗1.566,3502022-01-24
API3Api3Ethereum43.8589-3.53%3.94-1.50%0.1499✗0.92471k2022-01-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60761.5492-3.63%1.5542-3.32%0.1228✗0.851.1M2022-01-24
GITCOINGITCOIN12.47712.0129-3.72%6.712-46.21%0.5649✓0.1244k2022-01-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62140.596785-3.96%0.5315-14.47%0.0796✗1.391.5M2022-01-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.1954.0189-4.20%2.9084-30.67%0.2263✓0.692,2572022-01-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1537.4471-4.35%36.03-7.97%0.0970✗0.9798.5M2022-01-24
FTTFTXEthereum44.3842.3665-4.54%35.59-19.81%0.0243✓1.0722.8M2022-01-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.370541-4.70%0.2619-32.64%0.1479✓1.423.9M2022-01-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.5811.954-4.98%6.71-46.66%0.5512✓0.192.6M2022-01-24
ADACardanoCardano1.60271.521-5.10%1.0664-33.46%0.2011✓1.1097.1M2022-01-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94320.894928-5.12%0.5732-39.23%0.2001✓1.7546.2M2022-01-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.