2022-01-13 · +7d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0014

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.5%

in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.019	1.0262	+0.71%	0.6721	-34.04%	0.3751	✗	1.05	3.1M	2022-01-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.69	25.8538	+0.64%	21.12	-17.79%	0.1176	✗	1.84	4.3M	2022-01-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.8007	+0.38%	2.79	+0.00%	0.0530	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-01-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1388	0.139138	+0.24%	0.1141	-17.80%	0.1395	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.24	146.5355	+0.20%	127.52	-12.80%	0.0913	✗	1.04	185.4M	2022-01-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.311	0.311313	+0.10%	0.2832	-8.94%	0.0363	✗	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0695	0.069488	-0.02%	0.06785	-2.37%	0.0317	✗	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5609	7.5595	-0.02%	7.057	-6.66%	0.0060	✓	1.37	268k	2022-01-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01377	0.013765	-0.04%	0.01234	-10.38%	0.0527	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,581.65	42,564.84	-0.04%	40,670.97	-4.49%	0.0004	✗	1.00	730.7M	2022-01-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7269	-0.12%	2.35	-13.92%	0.0887	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066158	0.066075	-0.13%	0.067694	+2.32%	0.0675	✗	0.94	552k	2022-01-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.027	1.0256	-0.14%	0.939	-8.57%	0.0447	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.79	19.7608	-0.15%	18.34	-7.33%	0.0407	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.46	15.432	-0.18%	14.49	-6.27%	0.0046	✓	1.27	12.4M	2022-01-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.28	30.216	-0.21%	29.37	-3.01%	0.0182	✗	1.01	2.9M	2022-01-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0827	0.082515	-0.22%	0.0736	-11.00%	0.0502	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.3	8.2801	-0.24%	7.75	-6.63%	0.0214	✓	0.97	4.4M	2022-01-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.85	13.811	-0.28%	11.36	-17.98%	0.1433	✓	1.13	3.2M	2022-01-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.04	8.0151	-0.31%	6.89	-14.30%	0.1107	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.301	1.2968	-0.32%	1.143	-12.14%	0.0645	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,241.88	3,229.90	-0.37%	3,000.94	-7.43%	0.0255	✓	1.05	560.6M	2022-01-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.82	25.7206	-0.38%	23	-10.92%	0.0519	✓	1.31	66.7M	2022-01-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.58	9.5389	-0.43%	7.97	-16.81%	0.1806	✓	-0.02	1.6M	2022-01-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4953	1.4887	-0.44%	1.0653	-28.76%	0.2474	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	377.35	375.5751	-0.47%	357.74	-5.20%	0.0030	✓	0.99	8.1M	2022-01-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.51	28.3697	-0.49%	26.19	-8.14%	0.0309	✓	1.07	16.0M	2022-01-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07897	0.078577	-0.50%	0.06885	-12.81%	0.0670	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.758	7.7194	-0.50%	6.92	-10.80%	0.0764	✓	0.72	199k	2022-01-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.54	9.4922	-0.50%	7.96	-16.56%	0.1439	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-01-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009497	0.000094488	-0.51%	0.00009053	-4.68%	0.0032	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-01-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.804	2.7886	-0.55%	2.539	-9.45%	0.0528	✓	0.89	26k	2022-01-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0547	0.054394	-0.56%	0.0452	-17.37%	0.1222	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.611	7.568	-0.56%	7.481	-1.71%	0.0465	✗	1.27	291k	2022-01-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028546	0.028376	-0.60%	0.026039	-8.78%	0.0386	✓	1.03	5.9M	2022-01-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.14	3.1205	-0.62%	2.8	-10.83%	0.0641	✓	0.96	923k	2022-01-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01926	0.019141	-0.62%	0.018378	-4.58%	0.0161	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0395	3.0197	-0.65%	2.8203	-7.21%	0.0170	✓	1.12	699k	2022-01-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.823	1.8111	-0.65%	1.679	-7.90%	0.0235	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-01-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	190	188.7438	-0.66%	162.17	-14.65%	0.0996	✓	1.14	153k	2022-01-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.35	2.3344	-0.67%	2.03	-13.62%	0.0929	✓	1.02	3.1M	2022-01-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.013388	-0.68%	0.01217	-9.72%	0.0505	✓	0.98	686k	2022-01-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.512	0.508517	-0.68%	0.428	-16.41%	0.1138	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.99	55.6032	-0.69%	47.6	-14.98%	0.0903	✓	1.42	686k	2022-01-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.71	6.6617	-0.72%	6.14	-8.49%	0.0513	✓	0.66	643k	2022-01-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.016109	-0.75%	0.01551	-4.44%	0.0079	✓	0.65	25k	2022-01-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0877	2.0718	-0.76%	1.8707	-10.39%	0.0546	✓	1.04	94k	2022-01-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.92	7.8574	-0.79%	7.38	-6.82%	0.0340	✓	0.62	694k	2022-01-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171588	0.17023	-0.79%	0.155509	-9.37%	0.0409	✓	1.08	5.4M	2022-01-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.179	0.177567	-0.80%	0.1666	-6.93%	0.0228	✓	0.89	439k	2022-01-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8032	3.7718	-0.82%	3.7088	-2.48%	0.0198	✓	-0.06	364k	2022-01-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.77	0.763533	-0.84%	0.682	-11.43%	0.0465	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.3	29.0479	-0.86%	24.39	-16.76%	0.1068	✓	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.37	1.3581	-0.87%	1.11	-18.98%	0.1262	✓	1.64	582k	2022-01-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.451	1.4382	-0.88%	1.272	-12.34%	0.0610	✓	1.35	4.7M	2022-01-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0337	1.0246	-0.88%	0.90658	-12.30%	0.0422	✓	1.75	986k	2022-01-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01482	0.014688	-0.89%	0.01227	-17.21%	0.1208	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002968	0.000029412	-0.90%	0.00002648	-10.78%	0.0435	✓	1.34	1.7M	2022-01-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.585	19.404	-0.92%	19.429	-0.80%	0.0744	✗	1.59	11.7M	2022-01-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6645	0.658351	-0.93%	0.6442	-3.05%	0.0357	✗	1.25	4.0M	2022-01-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1089	0.107886	-0.93%	0.1002	-7.99%	0.0228	✓	1.11	303k	2022-01-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0137	1.0041	-0.95%	0.8682	-14.35%	0.0811	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.12	72.4168	-0.96%	69.09	-5.51%	0.0023	✓	1.07	6.3M	2022-01-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.737451	0.730301	-0.97%	0.655547	-11.11%	0.0577	✓	1.10	2.8M	2022-01-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.72	27.4511	-0.97%	25.43	-8.26%	0.0454	✓	0.68	360k	2022-01-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1567	0.155135	-1.00%	0.1484	-5.30%	0.0111	✗	1.21	4.2M	2022-01-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0792	0.078405	-1.00%	0.0723	-8.71%	0.0319	✓	1.07	19k	2022-01-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5711	0.565352	-1.01%	0.5001	-12.43%	0.0672	✓	1.21	12.5M	2022-01-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.82	135.4007	-1.04%	129.8	-5.13%	0.0194	✗	1.34	32.2M	2022-01-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1161	4.0734	-1.04%	3.715	-9.74%	0.0304	✓	1.34	4.4M	2022-01-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3616	1.3474	-1.04%	1.1614	-14.70%	0.0967	✓	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01444	0.014289	-1.05%	0.01207	-16.41%	0.0591	✓	2.39	26.8M	2022-01-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2328	1.2195	-1.08%	1.2589	+2.12%	0.0830	✗	1.11	95.6M	2022-01-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1801	0.178119	-1.10%	0.18914	+5.02%	0.1305	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-01-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.371	2.3444	-1.12%	2.111	-10.97%	0.0544	✓	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10876	0.10752	-1.14%	0.0964	-11.36%	0.0577	✓	1.12	25k	2022-01-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.76	88.7318	-1.15%	79.35	-11.60%	0.0602	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-01-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.57	163.6561	-1.16%	132.32	-20.08%	0.1706	✓	0.91	7.0M	2022-01-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.264	0.260944	-1.16%	0.2346	-11.14%	0.0462	✓	1.31	4.2M	2022-01-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.36	108.0462	-1.20%	104.32	-4.61%	0.0079	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.28	3.2405	-1.20%	3.35	+2.13%	0.0815	✗	1.05	808k	2022-01-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.269407	0.266027	-1.25%	0.231498	-14.07%	0.0915	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-01-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0161	-1.26%	4.78	-5.91%	0.0052	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-01-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.1158	0.114325	-1.27%	0.1095	-5.44%	0.0034	✓	1.01	57k	2022-01-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.08	1.0662	-1.27%	0.89	-17.59%	0.0928	✓	1.91	1.7M	2022-01-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0793	0.07825	-1.32%	0.0529	-33.29%	0.3456	✓	1.00	28.0M	2022-01-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3308	0.32634	-1.35%	0.3693	+11.64%	0.1902	✗	1.45	3.8M	2022-01-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.41	206.5344	-1.37%	198.37	-5.27%	0.0114	✓	1.13	17.6M	2022-01-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.788	4.722	-1.38%	4.731	-1.19%	0.0321	✗	0.66	474k	2022-01-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.25	141.2699	-1.38%	118.84	-17.04%	0.1162	✓	1.23	10.9M	2022-01-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.02	7.9087	-1.39%	7.4	-7.73%	0.0326	✓	0.74	767k	2022-01-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04068	0.040115	-1.39%	0.03533	-13.15%	0.0861	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1086	1.0931	-1.40%	1.0173	-8.24%	0.0272	✓	0.97	23.2M	2022-01-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.49	3.441	-1.40%	3.36	-3.72%	0.0397	✗	1.38	2.2M	2022-01-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.783	3.7298	-1.41%	3.583	-5.29%	0.0078	✓	0.70	526k	2022-01-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.4941	-1.47%	14.59	-0.82%	0.0375	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	161	158.6219	-1.48%	119.9355	-25.51%	0.2338	✓	1.00	540k	2022-01-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7733	6.6728	-1.48%	7.0322	+3.82%	0.0895	✗	0.81	3.8M	2022-01-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,708.50	42,055.95	-1.53%	41,418.10	-3.02%	0.0297	✗	0.98	14k	2022-01-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8936	2.8487	-1.55%	2.6385	-8.82%	0.0300	✓	1.02	5.3M	2022-01-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1924	0.189411	-1.55%	0.1782	-7.38%	0.0297	✓	0.68	441k	2022-01-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9355	5.8412	-1.59%	5.2113	-12.20%	0.0611	✓	1.16	457k	2022-01-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	266.15	261.845	-1.62%	239.61	-9.97%	0.0361	✓	1.15	1.4M	2022-01-20
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2902	1.2689	-1.65%	1.0699	-17.07%	0.1074	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-01-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.350874	-1.72%	0.328	-8.12%	0.0331	✓	0.75	43k	2022-01-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2959	1.2736	-1.72%	1.1313	-12.70%	0.0705	✓	1.05	3.2M	2022-01-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09247	0.090866	-1.73%	0.08157	-11.79%	0.0745	✓	0.73	52k	2022-01-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.64	3.5768	-1.74%	4.19	+15.11%	0.1930	✗	0.76	471k	2022-01-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0577	0.056696	-1.74%	0.050637	-12.24%	0.0595	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-01-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.091	10.8911	-1.80%	9.432	-14.96%	0.1372	✓	0.14	50k	2022-01-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.18	4.1038	-1.82%	3.861	-7.63%	0.0251	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9153	3.8435	-1.83%	3.8114	-2.65%	0.0232	✗	0.69	2,257	2022-01-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.37	138.748	-1.85%	121.15	-14.30%	0.0816	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-01-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.34	10.1344	-1.99%	10.09	-2.42%	0.0301	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.249	3.1818	-2.07%	3.1598	-2.75%	0.0475	✗	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3443	4.2535	-2.09%	3.9838	-8.30%	0.0076	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.31369	-2.09%	0.2825	-11.83%	0.0579	✓	1.02	397k	2022-01-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5749	1.5402	-2.20%	1.3945	-11.45%	0.0590	✓	0.88	558k	2022-01-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.85	76.107	-2.24%	77.41	-0.57%	0.0629	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	223.84	218.6788	-2.31%	188.73	-15.69%	0.1049	✓	0.92	3.0M	2022-01-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05421	0.052958	-2.31%	0.04537	-16.31%	0.1063	✓	1.05	19k	2022-01-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	6.8619	-2.39%	5.81	-17.35%	0.1077	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35.73	34.8708	-2.40%	30.25	-15.34%	0.0661	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3822	1.3485	-2.44%	1.5815	+14.42%	0.1987	✗	0.86	922k	2022-01-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	24.88	24.2559	-2.51%	20.18	-18.89%	0.1323	✓	1.13	74.3M	2022-01-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.72	3.6238	-2.59%	3.06	-17.74%	0.1112	✓	1.26	9.0M	2022-01-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.355	3.2664	-2.64%	3.095	-7.75%	0.0258	✓	1.74	1.2M	2022-01-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.84	5.6778	-2.78%	4.68	-19.86%	0.1437	✓	1.08	2.4M	2022-01-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.93	39.7401	-2.91%	45.17	+10.36%	0.1761	✗	1.05	21.5M	2022-01-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081503	0.079051	-3.01%	0.07094	-12.96%	0.0624	✓	1.00	2.6M	2022-01-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	31.39	30.4099	-3.12%	24.98	-20.42%	0.1331	✓	1.39	33.4M	2022-01-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.04	10.6479	-3.55%	9.52	-13.77%	0.1024	✓	0.21	2.8M	2022-01-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,460.45	30,304.00	-3.68%	31,414.30	-0.15%	0.0668	✗	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1	0.962667	-3.73%	1.0839	+8.39%	0.1631	✗	0.97	110k	2022-01-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7059	0.679158	-3.79%	0.5606	-20.58%	0.1286	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.03	4.8209	-4.16%	3.97	-21.07%	0.1315	✓	1.37	31.8M	2022-01-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.62	35.9512	-4.44%	38.97	+3.59%	0.1235	✗	0.93	86.7M	2022-01-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6418	0.612051	-4.64%	0.5776	-10.00%	0.0061	✓	1.40	736k	2022-01-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8402	0.790108	-5.96%	0.757	-9.90%	0.0360	✓	1.72	38.7M	2022-01-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.