XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s7

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +7d

assessed

309

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1036

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0206

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.079943	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.079692	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07601	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074149	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074564	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076503	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080504	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083418	-2.65%	0.082275	-3.99%	0.0538	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.078256	-2.50%	0.08196	+2.12%	0.0008	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.080749	-2.31%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0286	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078528	-2.44%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0302	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086428	-2.24%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0881	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085279	-2.34%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0527	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082558	-2.43%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0212	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.081646	-2.50%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0404	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085566	-2.32%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0334	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088008	-2.00%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0191	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092934	-1.98%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0706	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094514	-1.87%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0149	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093524	-2.23%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0343	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.091203	-2.27%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0381	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094054	-2.18%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0568	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092641	-2.34%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0506	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.0935	-2.37%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0766	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.095812	-2.51%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0543	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.103022	-2.89%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1083	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107552	-3.51%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1239	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.109631	-4.36%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1696	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107046	-3.43%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1169	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.088194	-2.01%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0902	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094554	-1.89%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0620	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095978	-2.05%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0815	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087024	-2.48%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1376	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089871	-2.51%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1577	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091399	-2.58%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1674	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085351	-2.37%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1100	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.079381	-1.97%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0301	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.080389	-1.82%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0285	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.082587	-1.58%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0191	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.076806	-1.27%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0701	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.079355	-0.88%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0775	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082175	-0.37%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0654	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083902	-0.22%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0447	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089309	+0.14%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0581	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098142	-0.20%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1225	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.09351	+0.61%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0895	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.091034	+1.62%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0822	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094836	+1.84%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1149	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.095466	+2.43%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0941	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09963	+3.28%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0701	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085443	+2.60%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0205	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.085156	+3.05%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1197	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.087203	+3.97%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0529	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.086957	+3.41%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0230	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090124	+3.75%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0028	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087504	+3.48%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0286	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.094313	+4.55%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0046	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.090766	+3.47%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0537	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.092526	+2.27%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0922	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.098548	+1.21%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1537	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101462	-0.18%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1866	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093538	-0.19%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0956	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100916	-0.67%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1681	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087474	-1.57%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0952	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078696	-2.13%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0652	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074015	-2.47%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0727	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074234	-2.43%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0191	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072871	-2.61%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0236	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073828	-2.65%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0534	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074216	-2.81%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0043	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073238	-2.81%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0130	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071805	-2.86%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0200	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076098	-3.09%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0295	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076199	-3.15%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0147	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074334	-2.97%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0548	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073809	-2.99%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0724	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073472	-3.01%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0841	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072739	-3.12%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0552	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072671	-3.07%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0452	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075445	-3.14%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0521	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075101	-3.19%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0360	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073689	-3.04%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0068	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.072952	-2.92%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0084	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071547	-2.72%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0086	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076189	-2.38%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0042	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075311	-2.38%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0205	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081636	-2.29%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0515	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077096	-2.22%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0114	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083682	-1.84%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0559	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081662	-1.91%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0491	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083087	-1.85%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0940	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079712	-1.77%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0138	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083571	-1.57%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0319	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082386	-1.51%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0725	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083699	-1.59%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0262	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079006	-1.73%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0619	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081386	-1.59%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0333	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083913	-1.51%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0046	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085102	-1.50%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0769	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090615	-1.51%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0932	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091733	-1.57%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1237	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087999	-1.68%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0973	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087311	-1.73%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1030	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089349	-1.71%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1009	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.09026	-1.73%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0521	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093814	-1.66%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0969	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089421	-1.63%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0326	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097182	-1.64%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0815	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.107078	-1.94%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1378	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.1048	-1.73%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1689	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10476	-1.73%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1585	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104834	-1.75%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1712	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093699	-1.47%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0226	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089503	-1.43%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0399	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085381	-1.41%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0352	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103151	-1.67%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0224	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094465	-1.39%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0366	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099379	-1.46%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0055	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101916	-1.72%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0061	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102872	-1.93%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1158	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090964	-1.13%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0212	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087792	-1.14%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0842	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083896	-1.12%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3140	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088178	-1.15%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1753	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.092709	-1.69%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1866	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098201	-2.58%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1395	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095406	-2.45%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1725	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107825	-4.24%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0807	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089077	-2.43%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0689	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.08774	-2.67%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0233	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087427	-2.43%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0814	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084994	-2.31%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1093	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.08063	-2.39%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2249	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074131	-1.68%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2947	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060474	-1.19%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5512	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065339	-1.15%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2429	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069134	-1.24%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1923	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068468	-1.20%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2128	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065037	-0.71%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2091	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.06651	-0.73%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1593	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082382	-2.39%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0839	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.090035	-4.12%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3296	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083707	-2.89%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1223	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089761	-3.48%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0839	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.086208	-3.25%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0085	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.08763	-3.70%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0208	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085035	-4.13%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0210	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.09088	-4.84%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1298	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.0821	-3.52%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3541	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084878	-3.66%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2079	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083019	-3.52%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2450	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078529	-3.41%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.2003	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081256	-3.61%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1740	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.079344	-3.47%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1560	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086318	-3.77%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1848	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.083987	-3.68%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0783	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.078839	-3.44%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1303	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080836	-3.48%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0563	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.080728	-3.44%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0159	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.083717	-3.44%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0365	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.085982	-3.39%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0290	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093429	-3.03%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0291	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091045	-3.35%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0068	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.09307	-3.10%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0587	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099655	-2.68%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0846	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104699	-2.47%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1364	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.103226	-2.80%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1269	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106948	-2.95%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1628	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103784	-2.64%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0938	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.09791	-2.14%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0046	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090558	-2.15%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0654	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086476	-2.18%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1406	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.08765	-2.29%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1461	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.088682	-2.12%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1493	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.089163	-2.13%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1808	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089121	-2.28%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1171	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.090954	-2.25%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0003	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.093925	-2.26%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0938	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096249	-2.19%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1279	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.09888	-1.81%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0954	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097784	-2.36%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0944	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.09754	-2.51%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0821	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098862	-2.17%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0452	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099471	-2.24%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0225	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099613	-2.91%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0353	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101457	-3.00%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0581	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100481	-3.24%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0891	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106141	-2.93%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0937	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.12384	-2.79%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2200	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.136446	-3.09%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3594	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.12739	-2.79%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2886	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.130155	-2.87%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2802	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.135832	-2.98%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2889	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.120571	-2.96%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2099	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.132712	-2.92%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2437	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.126527	-2.93%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0699	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.119739	-2.77%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.0980	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.121143	-2.85%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0066	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.126432	-2.97%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0147	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.116138	-3.30%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0760	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.117573	-3.35%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0196	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.11291	-3.78%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0752	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.105783	-4.10%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0887	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.11183	-6.10%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0024	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102695	-3.12%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1324	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090697	-2.32%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2860	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086511	-2.08%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2830	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.08477	-1.89%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2959	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087063	-1.79%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2775	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087845	-1.57%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2145	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.092116	-1.64%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2971	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098929	-1.56%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1354	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.096171	-1.56%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0131	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095093	-1.51%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0136	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089656	-1.53%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0039	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091269	-1.54%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0264	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092885	-1.45%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0478	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097646	-1.37%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0176	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106957	-1.38%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0634	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.116532	-1.70%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1079	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.121339	-1.99%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1483	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.10605	-1.30%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0525	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108753	-1.36%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1118	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106902	-1.34%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1168	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.1051	-1.31%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0472	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098314	-1.29%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0768	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097842	-1.32%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1118	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089738	-1.39%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1924	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091792	-1.35%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0103	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093521	-1.35%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0791	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097347	-1.37%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0471	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.116784	-1.82%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0851	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.112015	-1.91%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0673	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113375	-2.01%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1700	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103043	-1.49%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1154	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096271	-1.36%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0387	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.100434	-1.44%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0643	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090464	-1.35%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0369	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093241	-1.44%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1699	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.10166	-1.68%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0165	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085907	-1.37%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2064	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085827	-1.35%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1084	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088288	-1.41%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1402	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095247	-1.50%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0886	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093673	-1.55%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0244	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092159	-1.59%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0150	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.09083	-1.65%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0959	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094892	-1.77%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0115	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.100168	-1.99%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0503	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094363	-1.91%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0278	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.099898	-2.25%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0052	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095107	-2.25%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0175	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.089926	-2.09%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0244	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.080663	-1.15%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1482	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.080126	-1.14%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2153	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.082641	-1.21%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2382	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.081932	-0.81%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1913	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083599	-0.24%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1896	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083743	-0.01%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1859	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081193	+2.91%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0318	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094029	-0.87%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0453	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.093996	-1.16%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0702	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.1019	-1.97%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0684	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.099873	-1.41%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0199	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.104445	-1.74%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0776	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.119007	-3.13%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0712	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.12167	-3.21%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2791	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.139374	-3.88%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0869	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133462	-3.57%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0466	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.121287	-2.85%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1096	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.115627	-2.51%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1374	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.125631	-2.69%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1131	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.121284	-2.50%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1528	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.119894	-2.41%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1762	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123055	-2.34%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1692	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.117725	-2.38%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1414	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.130626	-2.37%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0636	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128003	-2.59%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1074	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136994	-2.43%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0917	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.14128	-2.36%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0228	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.139251	-2.49%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0273	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.158168	-2.24%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0496	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.15782	-2.40%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0977	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.149344	-2.58%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1464	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.160346	-2.53%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2733	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.156856	-2.57%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2371	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.164901	-2.54%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2629	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160866	-2.56%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2410	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.174066	-2.59%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2220	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.203228	-2.85%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2661	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.184849	-2.61%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1243	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.187353	-2.72%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1135	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.193105	-2.86%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1756	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.189495	-3.12%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1288	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.166421	-2.68%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0664	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156941	-2.64%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.15945	-2.66%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2131	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.153452	-3.00%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1379	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.150651	-3.06%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2053	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.148804	-2.81%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2584	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136024	-2.67%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3332	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.129562	-2.73%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2597	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129189	-2.87%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2226	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.126209	-2.84%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2497	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.124598	-2.96%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2552	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.125314	-3.08%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2238	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.132583	-3.22%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1497	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.126816	-3.34%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.1062	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.115326	-3.33%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1243	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.120996	-3.40%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0785	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.128841	-3.45%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.13073	-3.34%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.146382	-3.41%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.15092	-3.38%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.143508	-3.30%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.158031	-3.20%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2015	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.