XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s7

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1833

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0633

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.073278	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072651	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070997	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.071449	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.073339	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076947	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.079382	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074071	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076467	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074133	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.081591	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080582	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078032	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077233	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.081006	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083171	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.087997	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089505	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088888	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086629	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.089254	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.087852	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.088917	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.091543	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.099279	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.104324	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.106883	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.103533	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.085569	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.091691	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.093405	-4.68%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0879	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.084431	-5.38%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1092	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.086674	-5.98%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1381	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.087651	-6.57%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1543	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.081197	-7.12%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1282	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.075778	-6.42%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0153	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076625	-6.42%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0207	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079109	-5.73%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0486	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.073336	-5.73%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0055	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.076076	-4.98%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0249	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079229	-3.94%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0067	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.080721	-4.01%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0385	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.086347	-3.18%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0965	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.094146	-4.27%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1810	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.090393	-2.74%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1146	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.088189	-1.55%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0863	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.092417	-0.76%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0935	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093448	+0.27%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1061	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097228	+0.79%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0859	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083097	-0.22%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0425	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082705	+0.08%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0146	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.08435	+0.57%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0179	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084553	+0.55%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0091	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088053	+1.36%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0142	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.086076	+1.79%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0882	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093504	+3.65%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1018	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.091057	+3.80%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1388	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094298	+4.23%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0582	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.101938	+4.69%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2192	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.105415	+3.71%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2380	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.098556	+5.16%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1720	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.106685	+5.00%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2282	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.08763	-1.40%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0911	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.07725	-3.93%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0101	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.072157	-4.92%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0419	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.072319	-4.94%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1250	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.071021	-5.08%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1262	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.071862	-5.25%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1579	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.072307	-5.31%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2165	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.071389	-5.26%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1748	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.070188	-5.05%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1338	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.074304	-5.38%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1538	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.074464	-5.36%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1219	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.072674	-5.14%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0115	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.072225	-5.07%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0506	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.072232	-4.65%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.1090	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.07139	-4.91%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0613	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.071059	-5.22%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0462	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.072932	-6.37%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0743	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.072346	-6.75%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1576	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.071571	-5.83%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1577	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.07115	-5.32%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1726	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.069928	-4.92%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1337	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.074433	-4.63%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1262	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.073381	-4.89%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1443	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.078903	-5.56%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1975	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.074633	-5.35%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1498	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08066	-5.38%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1448	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.079027	-5.07%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0818	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.080284	-5.16%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0362	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077171	-4.90%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0489	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.080775	-4.86%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0126	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080053	-4.30%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0285	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.080971	-4.80%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0934	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.076666	-4.64%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0102	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.079125	-4.32%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0325	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.081117	-4.79%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0573	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.081734	-5.40%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0574	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086061	-6.46%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0830	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.086845	-6.82%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1090	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.082705	-7.59%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1372	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.082408	-7.25%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0437	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.08445	-7.10%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0740	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.085306	-7.12%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1245	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.088823	-6.89%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1970	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.084614	-6.92%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1759	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.092416	-6.46%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2303	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.102151	-6.46%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3235	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.099687	-6.53%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2579	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.099643	-6.53%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2595	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.099643	-6.61%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2947	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.08878	-6.65%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1975	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.084559	-6.87%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2088	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080547	-6.99%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1730	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.097216	-7.33%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3084	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.088948	-7.15%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1526	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.094197	-6.60%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2546	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.096809	-6.65%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2349	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.097586	-6.97%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2528	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.085431	-7.14%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0768	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.082056	-7.59%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0653	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.077978	-8.10%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0363	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.082771	-7.21%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0656	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.088116	-6.56%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0581	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.094684	-6.07%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1920	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.091983	-5.95%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1514	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105106	-6.66%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1978	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.086096	-5.70%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0479	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.085069	-5.64%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1162	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.084644	-5.53%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1139	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.08219	-5.53%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1425	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078003	-5.56%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1250	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.071954	-4.57%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2284	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.058339	-4.68%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3907	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063419	-4.06%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3729	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.067025	-4.25%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3241	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.066149	-4.55%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4007	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.062741	-4.21%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4818	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.064416	-3.86%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4458	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.079359	-5.97%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3090	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.088298	-5.97%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2221	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.081086	-5.93%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2780	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.087363	-6.06%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2709	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.083775	-5.98%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3524	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.085692	-5.83%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.4885	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.0835	-5.86%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4332	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.089041	-6.76%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4183	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.079806	-6.22%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5779	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.082277	-6.61%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.5999	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.080474	-6.48%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5228	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.076309	-6.14%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4890	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.07915	-6.11%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3569	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.076867	-6.49%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4304	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.08336	-7.07%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4186	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080713	-7.44%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5342	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075433	-7.61%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5702	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077558	-7.39%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6495	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.077542	-7.25%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4235	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.080332	-7.34%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3730	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.082219	-7.62%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3784	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.088729	-7.91%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3404	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.086103	-8.60%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3065	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087695	-8.70%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2094	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.093505	-8.69%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0018	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.098004	-8.71%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0296	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.09596	-9.64%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0488	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.098187	-10.90%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0000	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.094481	-11.37%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0334	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.089821	-10.22%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0733	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.083204	-10.10%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.3111	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.079687	-9.86%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4345	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.080565	-10.18%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2731	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.081766	-9.75%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2517	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.082294	-9.67%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1566	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.082376	-9.68%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1438	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.08405	-9.67%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0959	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.086331	-10.17%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1516	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.088609	-9.95%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0140	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.091279	-9.36%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0149	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.090506	-9.63%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0434	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.0906	-9.45%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.0996	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.091767	-9.19%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0557	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.092173	-9.41%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0646	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.092356	-9.98%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0510	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.094162	-9.98%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1063	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.092766	-10.67%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1837	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098721	-9.72%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1870	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.117803	-7.53%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3486	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.1303	-7.46%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4632	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.120973	-7.69%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3865	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.124012	-7.45%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3830	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.129549	-7.46%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4108	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.114373	-7.95%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3587	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.126384	-7.55%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3676	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.120503	-7.55%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2825	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.113592	-7.76%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2299	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.114623	-8.08%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2081	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.119457	-8.32%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2630	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.109352	-8.95%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3271	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.110049	-9.54%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3994	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.105333	-10.24%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4155	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.099241	-10.03%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3234	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.104027	-12.66%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3649	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.094316	-11.02%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2347	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.084351	-9.15%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0843	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.080645	-8.72%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0399	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.079608	-7.86%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0227	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082193	-7.28%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0424	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083574	-6.36%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0595	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.087628	-6.43%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0431	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.093836	-6.63%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0560	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.091444	-6.40%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0509	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.090693	-6.07%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0276	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.085627	-5.96%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0099	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.087037	-6.11%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0446	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.088671	-5.92%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0913	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.0929	-6.16%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0465	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.101894	-6.04%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1077	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.111738	-5.75%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2072	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.116548	-5.86%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1183	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.101079	-5.93%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2560	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.10369	-5.95%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2364	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.102006	-5.86%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.2011	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.100183	-5.93%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2593	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.093918	-5.70%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2710	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.09333	-5.87%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2396	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.086088	-5.40%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3159	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.088006	-5.42%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2642	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.089544	-5.54%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2587	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.093218	-5.55%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2470	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.112226	-5.65%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1180	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.10804	-5.39%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1395	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.10886	-5.91%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1225	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.098906	-5.44%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0853	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.092855	-4.86%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0559	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.096483	-5.32%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0828	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.088294	-3.71%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0239	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.090707	-4.12%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0033	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.097473	-5.73%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0516	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.083973	-3.59%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0088	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.08393	-3.53%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0408	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.085794	-4.19%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0691	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09159	-5.28%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0078	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.090327	-5.07%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0109	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.089181	-4.77%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0024	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.088094	-4.61%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0182	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.091592	-5.18%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0265	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.096005	-6.06%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0732	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.09141	-4.98%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1573	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.096134	-5.94%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1529	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.092344	-5.09%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0715	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.087917	-4.28%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1236	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.078452	-3.86%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2420	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.077693	-4.14%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2796	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.080408	-3.88%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2119	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079902	-3.27%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2224	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.081519	-2.72%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1271	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.081708	-2.44%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2273	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077129	-2.24%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0875	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.091884	-3.13%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2235	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.092116	-3.14%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4055	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.099715	-4.07%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3180	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.097895	-3.36%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4423	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.101965	-4.08%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3374	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.113537	-7.58%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4389	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.115178	-8.37%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4354	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.129177	-10.91%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3718	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.123252	-10.95%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3901	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.112715	-9.72%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5124	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.108213	-8.76%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4682	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.116474	-9.78%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4301	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.113455	-8.80%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3978	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.112514	-8.41%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4711	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.115339	-8.46%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4273	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.109852	-8.91%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4611	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.122224	-8.65%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4771	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.119419	-9.12%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5547	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129022	-8.10%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5121	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.133745	-7.57%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4254	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.131108	-8.19%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4761	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.150169	-7.19%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3135	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.149227	-7.71%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3263	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.139671	-8.89%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2160	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.151071	-8.16%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0672	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.147262	-8.53%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0624	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.156008	-7.80%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0121	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.151808	-8.05%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0876	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.166081	-7.06%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0478	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.195559	-6.52%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0524	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.177623	-6.42%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0823	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.180387	-6.34%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1789	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.186085	-6.40%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2275	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.183117	-6.38%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1971	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.16055	-6.11%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1352	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.151257	-6.17%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1685	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.153859	-6.07%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.148721	-5.99%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.146082	-6.00%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.14375	-6.11%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1460	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.131087	-6.20%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0917	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.124743	-6.35%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.12434	-6.51%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.120922	-6.91%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.11928	-7.10%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.119903	-7.27%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.126982	-7.31%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.120655	-8.04%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.107753	-9.68%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1577	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.113953	-9.02%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1365	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.122351	-8.32%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.124387	-8.03%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1479	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.139892	-7.69%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.144051	-7.78%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.136268	-8.18%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1817	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.150424	-7.86%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0916	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.