UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0353

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.271496	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.271651	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.243987	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.215722	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.226585	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.275163	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.273026	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.267624	-2.46%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0016	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.289102	-2.78%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0361	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.197228	-0.61%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2300	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.232827	-1.48%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0167	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.207307	-0.56%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1465	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.204677	-0.54%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3467	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.196406	-0.81%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3437	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.227296	-0.83%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2288	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.240687	-1.21%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2683	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26224	-1.56%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1857	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.282119	-1.98%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1133	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.284814	-1.89%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2696	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.268904	-1.65%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2219	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.293587	-2.10%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3210	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.393645	-3.02%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5340	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.382034	-2.97%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4958	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.285032	-2.11%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1241	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.307131	-2.52%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1142	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.354038	-2.86%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2063	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.326187	-2.88%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1864	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.32967	-3.03%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1058	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.383052	-3.09%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0776	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.467707	-3.16%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1167	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.53832	-3.37%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5489	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.44672	-3.33%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4128	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.468669	-3.49%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3122	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.560283	-4.19%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5728	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.455001	-3.85%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4178	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.361433	-3.30%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0429	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.308217	-3.37%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2821	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.357701	-3.54%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3359	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.365187	-3.65%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1761	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.339444	-4.11%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.3018	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.366201	-4.16%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4170	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.379502	-4.28%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2234	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.400321	-4.42%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.48042	-4.29%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3724	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.532886	-4.49%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3509	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.6449	-5.05%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4865	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.744077	-5.85%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7102	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.596921	-5.40%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4147	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.722243	-6.16%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5398	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.782005	-6.70%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6370	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.81094	-7.24%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4931	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.844975	-7.59%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.4218	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.488607	-6.86%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.2956	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.30771	-5.13%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9230	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.23242	-3.66%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9755	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.254329	-3.91%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0951	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.34755	-6.63%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9023	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.154331	-2.04%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7488	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.193732	-2.48%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5571	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.137864	-2.15%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3372	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.080867	-4.97%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3738	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.107039	-3.31%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8189	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.100929	-4.24%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8693	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.