UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +30d

assessed

34

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

82.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6818

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0879

actual -0.3130

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.27438	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.27407	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.269139	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.240824	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.211469	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.222233	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.267932	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.265307	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.259862	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.278917	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.189653	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.224395	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.198467	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.195818	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.188166	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.217202	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.230256	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.251435	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.271111	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.271922	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.255735	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.279316	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.378564	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.367001	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.269352	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.291129	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.338407	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.309331	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.312493	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.368388	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.460931	-4.56%	0.28138	-41.74%	0.4508	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.529527	-4.95%	0.281425	-49.48%	0.5786	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.433864	-6.11%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4812	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.457206	-5.85%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.6200	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.546854	-6.48%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.9338	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.43466	-8.15%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.7124	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.343879	-8.00%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2857	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.290638	-8.88%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1430	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.339628	-8.42%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2578	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.346452	-8.59%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2374	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.319166	-9.84%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5385	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.345353	-9.61%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4679	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.357882	-9.73%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.6289	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.37917	-9.47%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6642	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.461078	-8.14%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8858	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.513341	-7.99%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.8579	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.621166	-8.55%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9987	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.704644	-10.84%	0.266405	-66.29%	1.0442	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.569524	-9.74%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.7648	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.673158	-12.54%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.8830	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.70487	-15.90%	0.27341	-67.38%	1.0361	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.708221	-18.99%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9512	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.710141	-22.34%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.6210	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.442693	-15.62%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.1913	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.305883	-5.69%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.236342	-2.04%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2059	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.263787	-0.34%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.2730	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.33784	-9.24%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.159144	+1.02%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6871	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.201778	+1.57%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.6063	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139688	-0.86%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.1371	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.075655	-11.10%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8798	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.10538	-4.81%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.4427	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.094335	-10.50%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.5319	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.