UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1484

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0084

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275567	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.276165	-0.51%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0091	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247753	-0.44%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0827	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218855	-0.37%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1333	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230123	-0.41%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0645	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280422	-0.59%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1902	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278267	-0.60%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0314	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272726	-0.60%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0102	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.29523	-0.72%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0301	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198352	-0.05%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3693	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.23565	-0.28%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1236	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208413	-0.03%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1069	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.205751	-0.01%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0041	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.1979	-0.06%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0180	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229023	-0.07%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1079	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243236	-0.16%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0068	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265695	-0.27%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0819	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286675	-0.39%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0564	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289265	-0.36%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0450	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272708	-0.26%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0571	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298694	-0.40%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0806	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.402873	-0.75%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3265	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.390875	-0.73%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0398	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290136	-0.36%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.3008	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.313527	-0.49%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0493	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.362125	-0.64%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1403	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.333829	-0.60%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0800	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.337778	-0.64%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0014	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392457	-0.71%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1438	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479203	-0.78%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1533	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.552181	-0.88%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1258	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.458258	-0.84%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0919	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.481222	-0.90%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0391	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.577887	-1.18%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1809	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.468442	-1.01%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1491	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371066	-0.73%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2397	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.316856	-0.66%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1558	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368059	-0.75%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1079	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376097	-0.77%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0331	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.350992	-0.85%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0836	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.378741	-0.88%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0684	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.392816	-0.92%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0374	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.414679	-0.99%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.496626	-1.06%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.551344	-1.18%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.669578	-1.42%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1668	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.776552	-1.74%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1402	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.621144	-1.56%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2389	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.7552	-1.88%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.820435	-2.11%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.853429	-2.38%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.89148	-2.50%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.513383	-2.14%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5657	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.319398	-1.53%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5035	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.238812	-1.01%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3011	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.261588	-1.17%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.364331	-2.12%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3352	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.1567	-0.53%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8588	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197119	-0.77%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2184	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140154	-0.53%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3328	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084224	-1.03%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5058	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.109959	-0.67%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104492	-0.86%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0125	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.