LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

49.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1234

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3436	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3081	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.04	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0243	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0671	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1265	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9913	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0467	-1.24%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0981	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2789	-2.14%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0335	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3014	-2.17%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0661	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7324	-2.75%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1675	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5422	-2.61%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1025	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5346	-2.58%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0894	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5144	-2.57%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1571	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.481	-2.60%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0909	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.709	-2.86%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0605	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9012	-2.93%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0765	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5599	-2.87%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1244	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.4665	-2.82%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0804	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4432	-2.87%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0874	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.6895	-3.06%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0338	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8259	-3.09%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0630	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8038	-3.11%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0296	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3104	-3.03%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1112	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5123	-3.07%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2433	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6936	-3.12%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2802	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7013	-3.16%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2895	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.905	-3.27%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2618	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1261	-3.44%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2467	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8993	-3.32%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1749	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5881	-3.21%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0213	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6192	-3.32%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0585	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6526	-3.36%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0233	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6112	-3.38%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0128	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6475	-3.50%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0962	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4465	-3.44%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0092	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.8914	-3.19%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0251	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2404	-3.35%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0697	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	3.9762	-3.29%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0874	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.0777	-3.30%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0791	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2096	-3.29%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0453	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.15	-3.27%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1531	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.3767	-3.33%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0986	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.6634	-3.37%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0832	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.564	-3.36%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0185	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.3679	-3.28%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0183	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.5914	-3.42%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0277	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6488	-3.61%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0131	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.2948	-3.29%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.1044	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.6806	-2.94%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1878	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.424	-2.73%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3220	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.4741	-2.55%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2977	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4391	-2.60%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2409	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4655	-2.49%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2972	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4086	-2.53%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3253	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6266	-2.27%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1914	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.3765	-2.21%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1356	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2094	-2.30%	3.52	+7.15%	0.1050	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3186	-2.42%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0764	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4713	-2.98%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0179	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1024	-2.66%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1211	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0513	-2.45%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1425	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.5972	-2.69%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2778	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5306	-2.74%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1776	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2956	-2.69%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1694	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.269	-2.70%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1990	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2143	-2.71%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2617	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2047	-2.70%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1648	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1735	-2.71%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1421	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.209	-2.73%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0476	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2701	-2.78%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0430	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3487	-2.86%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0143	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3151	-2.85%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0020	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2399	-2.78%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0506	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2184	-2.79%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0539	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2324	-2.83%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0333	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3001	-2.99%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0017	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1254	-2.77%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1148	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0021	-2.62%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1975	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9531	-2.52%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1915	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9855	-2.57%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1259	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9669	-2.53%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1128	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0133	-2.64%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0975	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2151	-2.89%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0750	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1175	-2.82%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0212	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2319	-3.00%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0851	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0698	-2.78%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0293	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0859	-2.76%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0084	-2.70%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0273	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9773	-2.67%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0629	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.0975	-2.83%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0884	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2376	-2.93%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0020	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2737	-3.00%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0465	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1141	-2.98%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0251	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1425	-3.01%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0067	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1887	-3.03%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0528	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2178	-3.07%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0902	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.214	-3.11%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0428	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3364	-3.21%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0309	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5072	-3.38%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0863	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2283	-3.33%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0553	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5385	-3.48%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1482	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4877	-3.47%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1073	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5925	-3.55%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1224	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3134	-3.45%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0186	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.248	-3.46%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0436	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3718	-3.55%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0723	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4817	-3.74%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0549	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3713	-3.68%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1018	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1215	-3.52%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1873	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0429	-3.54%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2577	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9916	-3.65%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1672	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9926	-3.93%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1306	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7824	-3.65%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2764	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7933	-3.64%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3273	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6708	-3.48%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3481	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.661	-3.43%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2510	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7591	-3.61%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1617	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5552	-3.34%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2680	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6367	-3.55%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2461	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4547	-3.28%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2894	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5551	-3.47%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2209	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5129	-3.45%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1755	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5045	-3.43%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1784	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4915	-3.40%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2406	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.558	-3.41%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0688	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6605	-3.46%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0571	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6737	-3.48%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0771	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6296	-3.46%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0133	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6261	-3.44%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0116	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5741	-3.37%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0080	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4861	-3.31%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0388	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5069	-3.28%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0751	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3453	-3.36%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2192	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5322	-3.27%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0893	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4184	-3.31%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1439	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3846	-3.38%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1727	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3773	-3.35%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1325	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.45	-3.53%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0316	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4147	-3.50%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0993	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7046	-4.29%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1718	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5459	-3.74%	1.584	-1.37%	0.0988	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2934	-3.19%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3004	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3317	-3.29%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2898	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.324	-3.32%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3355	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2209	-3.25%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4555	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1372	-3.13%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4452	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0918	-3.21%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6946	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1451	-3.28%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5149	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3334	-3.65%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0994	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2478	-3.65%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1530	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1824	-3.59%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1923	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1419	-3.72%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1331	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3632	-4.74%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0918	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2246	-4.18%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0369	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.094	-3.52%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0922	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.927222	-2.81%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3961	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.843459	-2.32%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4352	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.856972	-2.34%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3802	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.837533	-2.27%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4017	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.894336	-2.26%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5207	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.876806	-2.36%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4046	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.904978	-2.32%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2820	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.975644	-2.39%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0482	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.032	-2.55%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1077	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0249	-2.67%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1173	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.047	-2.78%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1835	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.964596	-2.47%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0684	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.934129	-2.08%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0064	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.944817	-2.19%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0141	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.887968	-1.99%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0954	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.903263	-2.14%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1135	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.889554	-2.03%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1435	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.884939	-2.00%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1713	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.866642	-2.02%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0832	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.925685	-2.30%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0449	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.879221	-1.98%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0283	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.847882	-1.81%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0303	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.89618	-1.84%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0312	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.912257	-1.91%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0201	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.929267	-1.92%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0405	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.907405	-1.85%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0051	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.864073	-1.87%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1303	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.879866	-1.96%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0198	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.88222	-2.03%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0452	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.871261	-2.11%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0295	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.955631	-2.09%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0569	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0278	-2.07%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0869	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0201	-2.20%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1470	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0191	-2.25%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.1988	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0003	-2.26%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1429	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1153	-2.46%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2365	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0661	-2.55%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2316	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1733	-2.71%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2262	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.107	-2.56%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1177	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.993221	-2.24%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.976566	-2.25%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0474	-2.39%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0588	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0009	-2.30%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0433	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.987223	-2.21%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0739	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.964275	-2.20%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1286	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.966574	-2.27%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0621	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.929162	-2.09%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0081	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.873983	-1.69%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0840	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.857106	-1.60%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1634	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.798524	-1.11%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2135	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.817734	-1.06%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1587	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.847197	-1.20%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1350	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.871421	-1.26%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1161	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.898594	-1.47%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0866	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.978336	-1.63%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0436	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.992007	-1.64%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0919	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.93874	-1.60%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0817	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.926248	-1.52%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0811	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0339	-1.72%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1429	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0454	-1.74%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.0993	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1709	-1.97%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2304	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.1887	-2.00%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1794	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2688	-2.10%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1745	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1448	-1.69%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1171	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0689	-1.66%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0452	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0885	-1.67%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0051	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0813	-1.66%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0086	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1325	-1.73%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0637	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.054	-1.63%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1232	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0382	-1.60%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1568	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.007	-1.37%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0395	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0092	-0.96%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0442	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1105	-1.73%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0710	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1193	-1.82%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0661	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1829	-2.12%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0201	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3396	-2.43%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1834	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2704	-2.35%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2133	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3234	-2.47%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2526	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3248	-2.52%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2662	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3444	-2.58%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1791	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3236	-2.53%	1.14	-16.05%	0.1904	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.3914	-2.67%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2007	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4156	-2.77%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1118	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.3918	-2.70%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1508	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3497	-2.62%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0760	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.407	-2.73%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0013	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4718	-2.79%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0453	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.4889	-2.81%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0506	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.435	-2.78%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0139	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4054	-2.74%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0050	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5441	-2.95%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0097	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.635	-3.08%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0838	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.627	-3.15%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.0955	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.5941	-3.10%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0173	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5494	-3.07%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.3884	-2.63%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.3809	-2.62%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4292	-2.84%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1269	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5006	-3.00%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1350	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.57	-3.08%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0891	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5805	-3.04%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0322	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6132	-3.05%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4123	-1.65%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0434	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5299	-2.92%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4391	-2.89%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5442	-3.06%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4669	-2.98%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1892	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5161	-3.06%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1998	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6688	-3.15%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1733	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5611	-3.16%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2136	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.924	-3.32%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8751	-3.30%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6538	-3.17%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0775	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5276	-3.17%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7477	-3.23%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0135	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.