LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +1d

assessed

270

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0451

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual +0.0027

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.4064	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3673	-0.44%	3.422	+1.18%	0.0199	✗	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0859	-0.30%	3.382	+9.27%	0.0746	✗	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0662	-0.25%	3.095	+0.68%	0.0120	✗	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.1084	-0.24%	3.074	-1.35%	0.0211	✓	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1682	-0.25%	3.116	-1.89%	0.0147	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.0216	-0.13%	3.176	+4.97%	0.0598	✗	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0805	-0.15%	3.0255	-1.93%	0.0270	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3379	-0.38%	3.085	-7.92%	0.0546	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3619	-0.37%	3.3505	-0.71%	0.0252	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.8164	-0.56%	3.3745	-12.08%	0.0923	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.6184	-0.51%	3.838	+5.53%	0.0462	✗	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.6096	-0.51%	3.637	+0.25%	0.0015	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.589	-0.50%	3.628	+0.58%	0.0036	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5562	-0.50%	3.607	+0.92%	0.0419	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7955	-0.59%	3.574	-6.39%	0.0220	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9941	-0.62%	3.818	-5.00%	0.0416	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6442	-0.57%	4.019	+9.66%	0.1109	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5478	-0.54%	3.665	+2.75%	0.0019	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5255	-0.55%	3.567	+0.62%	0.0075	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7817	-0.64%	3.545	-6.86%	0.0586	✓	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.9221	-0.66%	3.806	-3.60%	0.0532	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.9009	-0.64%	3.948	+0.56%	0.0135	✗	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.4167	-0.64%	3.926	-11.68%	0.1211	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.6246	-0.65%	4.445	-4.51%	0.0219	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.8115	-0.68%	4.655	-3.91%	0.0339	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.8203	-0.70%	4.8445	-0.21%	0.0007	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	5.0329	-0.75%	4.8545	-4.27%	0.0309	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.2659	-0.81%	5.071	-4.48%	0.0378	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	5.029	-0.76%	5.309	+4.77%	0.0872	✗	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.7065	-0.72%	5.0675	+6.90%	0.0805	✗	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.7426	-0.74%	4.7405	-0.78%	0.1080	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.7779	-0.76%	4.778	-0.76%	0.0015	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.7357	-0.77%	4.8145	+0.88%	0.0092	✗	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.7774	-0.80%	4.7725	-0.90%	0.1066	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.5692	-0.78%	4.816	+4.58%	0.0477	✗	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9929	-0.66%	4.605	+14.57%	0.1292	✗	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.3553	-0.73%	4.0195	-8.39%	0.0205	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0831	-0.69%	4.3875	+6.71%	0.0409	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1873	-0.71%	4.1115	-2.50%	0.0078	✓	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.3215	-0.72%	4.217	-3.12%	0.0257	✓	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.2597	-0.72%	4.353	+1.46%	0.0065	✓	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.493	-0.76%	4.2905	-5.23%	0.0072	✓	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.788	-0.79%	4.5275	-6.19%	0.0523	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.685	-0.79%	4.826	+2.19%	0.0443	✗	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.481	-0.77%	4.7225	+4.57%	0.0799	✗	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.7138	-0.85%	4.516	-5.01%	0.0540	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7777	-0.94%	4.754	-1.43%	0.0083	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.4045	-0.82%	4.823	+8.60%	0.1255	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7668	-0.67%	4.441	+17.11%	0.0880	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4987	-0.60%	3.792	+7.73%	0.0824	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5442	-0.58%	3.52	-1.26%	0.0139	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.5096	-0.61%	3.565	+0.96%	0.0050	✓	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5319	-0.62%	3.531	-0.65%	0.0066	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4734	-0.67%	3.554	+1.63%	0.0182	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.684	-0.73%	3.497	-5.77%	0.0240	✓	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4278	-0.73%	3.711	+7.47%	0.0654	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2586	-0.81%	3.453	+5.11%	0.0524	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3712	-0.88%	3.285	-3.41%	0.0208	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5437	-0.96%	3.401	-4.95%	0.0569	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1587	-0.89%	3.578	+12.27%	0.1162	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.1003	-0.89%	3.187	+1.89%	0.0437	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6501	-0.71%	3.128	+17.20%	0.1072	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5852	-0.65%	2.669	+2.57%	0.0210	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3455	-0.57%	2.602	+10.30%	0.0366	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.3188	-0.57%	2.359	+1.16%	0.0140	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2632	-0.56%	2.332	+2.46%	0.0035	✓	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2531	-0.57%	2.276	+0.44%	0.0130	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.2212	-0.57%	2.266	+1.43%	0.0193	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2578	-0.58%	2.234	-1.63%	0.0034	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.3211	-0.59%	2.271	-2.74%	0.0221	✓	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.4029	-0.62%	2.335	-3.43%	0.0267	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3683	-0.62%	2.418	+1.47%	0.0270	✗	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2902	-0.60%	2.383	+3.43%	0.0557	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2682	-0.61%	2.304	+0.96%	0.0167	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.283	-0.63%	2.282	-0.67%	0.0007	✓	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3547	-0.69%	2.2975	-3.10%	0.0352	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1729	-0.60%	2.371	+8.46%	0.0931	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0448	-0.54%	2.186	+6.32%	0.0575	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9935	-0.50%	2.056	+2.62%	0.0211	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	2.0275	-0.51%	2.0035	-1.69%	0.0114	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	2.0079	-0.50%	2.038	+0.99%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.057	-0.53%	2.018	-2.42%	0.0181	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2668	-0.62%	2.068	-9.34%	0.0623	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1659	-0.60%	2.281	+4.68%	0.0394	✗	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2859	-0.66%	2.179	-5.30%	0.0486	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.1168	-0.57%	2.301	+8.08%	0.0812	✗	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1329	-0.56%	2.129	-0.75%	0.0215	✗	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0531	-0.53%	2.145	+3.92%	0.0288	✗	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	2.021	-0.51%	2.064	+1.60%	0.0180	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1461	-0.58%	2.0315	-5.88%	0.0416	✓	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2906	-0.62%	2.1585	-6.36%	0.0461	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.3288	-0.65%	2.305	-1.66%	0.0048	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1657	-0.61%	2.344	+7.57%	0.0639	✗	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1954	-0.62%	2.179	-1.36%	0.0138	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2427	-0.63%	2.209	-2.13%	0.0138	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2733	-0.64%	2.257	-1.35%	0.0189	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.27	-0.65%	2.288	+0.13%	0.0062	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3971	-0.70%	2.285	-5.34%	0.0357	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.575	-0.77%	2.414	-6.97%	0.0611	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2882	-0.73%	2.595	+12.58%	0.0954	✗	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.6091	-0.79%	2.305	-12.36%	0.1093	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.5565	-0.79%	2.63	+2.06%	0.0287	✗	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.6652	-0.85%	2.577	-4.13%	0.0298	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3771	-0.79%	2.688	+12.19%	0.1130	✗	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.3099	-0.80%	2.396	+2.90%	0.0260	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.4379	-0.86%	2.3285	-5.31%	0.0341	✓	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.5536	-0.95%	2.459	-4.62%	0.0304	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.4395	-0.91%	2.578	+4.71%	0.0507	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1805	-0.84%	2.462	+11.96%	0.1162	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0998	-0.86%	2.199	+3.82%	0.0402	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0483	-0.91%	2.118	+2.47%	0.0226	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	2.053	-1.01%	2.067	-0.34%	0.0102	✓	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.8341	-0.86%	2.074	+12.11%	0.1090	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8455	-0.84%	1.85	-0.59%	0.0184	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.7177	-0.77%	1.861	+7.51%	0.0733	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.7068	-0.77%	1.731	+0.64%	0.0185	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.8095	-0.85%	1.72	-5.75%	0.0500	✓	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.597	-0.75%	1.825	+13.42%	0.1307	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6831	-0.82%	1.609	-5.19%	0.0333	✓	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4934	-0.70%	1.697	+12.83%	0.1471	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5986	-0.77%	1.504	-6.64%	0.0470	✓	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5554	-0.74%	1.611	+2.81%	0.0277	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5465	-0.74%	1.567	+0.58%	0.0232	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.5326	-0.74%	1.558	+0.91%	0.0083	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.6008	-0.76%	1.544	-4.28%	0.0428	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.7064	-0.79%	1.613	-6.22%	0.0406	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.7202	-0.80%	1.72	-0.81%	0.0115	✗	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6748	-0.78%	1.734	+2.73%	0.0417	✗	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.671	-0.77%	1.688	+0.24%	0.0044	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.6168	-0.75%	1.684	+3.38%	0.0272	✗	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.5258	-0.73%	1.629	+5.99%	0.0564	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5465	-0.74%	1.537	-1.35%	0.0059	✓	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3817	-0.74%	1.558	+11.93%	0.1012	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5719	-0.76%	1.392	-12.12%	0.1194	✓	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4558	-0.76%	1.584	+7.98%	0.0978	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.4217	-0.79%	1.467	+2.37%	0.0337	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.4137	-0.79%	1.433	+0.56%	0.0109	✓	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4894	-0.91%	1.425	-5.19%	0.0422	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4529	-0.89%	1.503	+2.52%	0.0661	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7585	-1.26%	1.466	-17.69%	0.1792	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5898	-1.01%	1.781	+10.90%	0.1521	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.3259	-0.76%	1.606	+20.21%	0.2875	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3658	-0.81%	1.336	-2.98%	0.0229	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3582	-0.83%	1.377	+0.55%	0.0174	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2521	-0.78%	1.3695	+8.52%	0.0822	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1658	-0.70%	1.262	+7.50%	0.0820	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1199	-0.72%	1.174	+4.08%	0.0622	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1747	-0.79%	1.128	-4.73%	0.0130	✓	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3703	-0.99%	1.184	-14.45%	0.1234	✓	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2822	-0.99%	1.384	+6.87%	0.0722	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.2146	-0.97%	1.295	+5.58%	0.0590	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1738	-1.03%	1.2265	+3.41%	0.0251	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.4098	-1.48%	1.186	-17.12%	0.1432	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2624	-1.22%	1.431	+11.97%	0.1244	✗	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.1234	-0.93%	1.278	+12.70%	0.1191	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.947938	-0.64%	1.134	+18.87%	0.1818	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.85965	-0.45%	0.954	+10.48%	0.1111	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.873491	-0.46%	0.8635	-1.60%	0.0012	✓	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.853237	-0.44%	0.8775	+2.39%	0.0420	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.910897	-0.45%	0.857	-6.34%	0.0323	✓	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.893797	-0.47%	0.915	+1.89%	0.0035	✓	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.922141	-0.47%	0.898	-3.08%	0.0087	✓	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.994425	-0.51%	0.9265	-7.30%	0.0528	✓	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0529	-0.57%	0.9995	-5.62%	0.0453	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0466	-0.61%	1.059	+0.57%	0.0106	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0701	-0.64%	1.053	-2.23%	0.0229	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.983488	-0.56%	1.077	+8.90%	0.0881	✗	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.949684	-0.45%	0.989	+3.67%	0.0625	✗	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.961333	-0.48%	0.954	-1.24%	0.0145	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.902432	-0.39%	0.966	+6.62%	0.0551	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.919045	-0.43%	0.906	-1.84%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.904357	-0.40%	0.923	+1.65%	0.0220	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.899427	-0.40%	0.908	+0.55%	0.0037	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.881104	-0.38%	0.903	+2.09%	0.0012	✓	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.942992	-0.48%	0.8845	-6.65%	0.0716	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.893716	-0.37%	0.9475	+5.63%	0.0668	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.860834	-0.31%	0.897	+3.88%	0.0566	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.909897	-0.34%	0.8635	-5.42%	0.0331	✓	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.926659	-0.36%	0.913	-1.83%	0.0301	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.943987	-0.37%	0.93	-1.85%	0.0178	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.921241	-0.35%	0.9475	+2.49%	0.0407	✗	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.87751	-0.34%	0.9245	+5.00%	0.0511	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.894256	-0.36%	0.8805	-1.89%	0.0446	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.897104	-0.38%	0.8975	-0.33%	0.0073	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.886538	-0.39%	0.9005	+1.18%	0.0171	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.971964	-0.41%	0.89	-8.81%	0.0576	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0449	-0.44%	0.976	-7.00%	0.0470	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0383	-0.45%	1.0495	+0.62%	0.0196	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0376	-0.47%	1.043	+0.05%	0.0000	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0187	-0.47%	1.0425	+1.86%	0.0126	✗	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1372	-0.55%	1.0235	-10.49%	0.1011	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0879	-0.56%	1.1435	+4.52%	0.0112	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1983	-0.64%	1.094	-9.29%	0.0528	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1292	-0.60%	1.206	+6.16%	0.0644	✗	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	1.011	-0.49%	1.136	+11.81%	0.0974	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.994029	-0.50%	1.016	+1.70%	0.0103	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0671	-0.55%	0.999	-6.90%	0.0527	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0194	-0.50%	1.073	+4.73%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	1.0047	-0.48%	1.0245	+1.49%	0.0220	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.981284	-0.48%	1.0095	+2.38%	0.0006	✓	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.983959	-0.51%	0.986	-0.30%	0.0036	✓	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.944688	-0.45%	0.989	+4.21%	0.0447	✗	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.886233	-0.31%	0.949	+6.75%	0.0894	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.868661	-0.27%	0.889	+2.07%	0.0250	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.80645	-0.13%	0.871	+7.86%	0.0518	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.825481	-0.12%	0.8075	-2.30%	0.0356	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.856105	-0.16%	0.8265	-3.62%	0.0289	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.880906	-0.18%	0.8575	-2.83%	0.0264	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.909816	-0.24%	0.8825	-3.23%	0.0109	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.991517	-0.30%	0.912	-8.30%	0.0423	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.0055	-0.30%	0.9945	-1.39%	0.0234	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.951388	-0.27%	1.0085	+5.71%	0.0638	✗	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.938281	-0.24%	0.954	+1.44%	0.0343	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0487	-0.31%	0.9405	-10.60%	0.0909	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0605	-0.33%	1.052	-1.13%	0.0183	✗	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1895	-0.42%	1.064	-10.93%	0.1212	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2076	-0.44%	1.1945	-1.53%	0.0113	✗	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2896	-0.50%	1.213	-6.40%	0.0178	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1604	-0.36%	1.296	+11.29%	0.1257	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0836	-0.31%	1.1645	+7.13%	0.0395	✗	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1035	-0.31%	1.087	-1.81%	0.0413	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0961	-0.31%	1.107	+0.68%	0.0051	✗	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1487	-0.33%	1.0995	-4.60%	0.0507	✓	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0684	-0.29%	1.1525	+7.56%	0.0704	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0521	-0.28%	1.0715	+1.56%	0.0141	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.019	-0.20%	1.055	+3.33%	0.0088	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.018	-0.10%	1.021	+0.20%	0.0409	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1267	-0.29%	1.019	-9.82%	0.0776	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1364	-0.32%	1.13	-0.88%	0.0092	✗	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2035	-0.41%	1.14	-5.67%	0.0070	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3657	-0.53%	1.2085	-11.98%	0.0935	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.295	-0.46%	1.373	+5.53%	0.0137	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3501	-0.51%	1.301	-4.13%	0.0286	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.352	-0.51%	1.357	-0.15%	0.0519	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3726	-0.54%	1.359	-1.52%	0.0121	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3511	-0.51%	1.38	+1.62%	0.0008	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4214	-0.57%	1.358	-5.00%	0.0158	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4471	-0.61%	1.4295	-1.82%	0.0032	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4228	-0.54%	1.456	+1.78%	0.0538	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.379	-0.51%	1.4305	+3.21%	0.0479	✗	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4386	-0.55%	1.386	-4.18%	0.0216	✗	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.5053	-0.58%	1.4465	-4.46%	0.0333	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5229	-0.59%	1.514	-1.17%	0.0053	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4676	-0.57%	1.532	+3.79%	0.0235	✗	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4371	-0.55%	1.476	+2.15%	0.0160	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5809	-0.64%	1.445	-9.18%	0.0697	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6754	-0.69%	1.591	-5.69%	0.0255	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6681	-0.71%	1.687	+0.42%	0.0100	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6338	-0.68%	1.68	+2.13%	0.0464	✗	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.588	-0.66%	1.645	+2.91%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.419	-0.49%	1.5985	+12.10%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4112	-0.48%	1.426	+0.56%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4629	-0.55%	1.418	-3.60%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5376	-0.61%	1.471	-4.91%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.6096	-0.64%	1.547	-4.51%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6197	-0.63%	1.62	-0.61%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6531	-0.65%	1.63	-2.04%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4325	-0.24%	1.664	+15.88%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5667	-0.59%	1.436	-8.88%	0.0635	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4736	-0.57%	1.576	+6.34%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5829	-0.63%	1.482	-6.97%	0.0269	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.5031	-0.59%	1.593	+5.36%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5543	-0.62%	1.512	-3.32%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.7113	-0.68%	1.564	-9.23%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.6011	-0.67%	1.723	+6.89%	0.0781	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9746	-0.77%	1.612	-18.99%	0.1493	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.9243	-0.76%	1.99	+2.63%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6961	-0.70%	1.939	+13.52%	0.1241	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5668	-0.68%	1.708	+8.27%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7928	-0.73%	1.5775	-12.65%	0.0993	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.