ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s7

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0626

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0193

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.299985	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.300707	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.337894	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.311702	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.307458	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.315281	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.301555	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.315325	-2.71%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0574	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.287814	-2.63%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0304	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.302639	-2.69%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1408	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.312779	-2.71%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0221	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.31732	-2.74%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0211	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.31724	-2.75%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0453	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286421	-2.64%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0949	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.299286	-2.70%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0728	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.289911	-2.65%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0470	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.312426	-2.72%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0325	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.305254	-2.72%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1128	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.315528	-2.75%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0755	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.297963	-2.69%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1179	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.316505	-2.76%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0437	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.32032	-2.77%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0068	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.32211	-2.80%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0742	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.326357	-2.84%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0442	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.314526	-2.80%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0367	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.321748	-2.82%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0225	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.318581	-2.81%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0446	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.328931	-2.90%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0168	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.329658	-2.93%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0077	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.337184	-3.05%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0047	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.330336	-2.93%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0566	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.31435	-2.81%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0774	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.269742	-2.59%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1585	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.274209	-2.64%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1338	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278378	-2.72%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1512	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.246959	-2.46%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2123	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.243109	-2.41%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2493	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.236518	-2.29%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2248	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.261575	-2.62%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1113	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.253195	-2.50%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0349	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.254156	-2.47%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0529	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.248977	-2.32%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0930	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.249933	-2.37%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0154	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.244328	-2.03%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0479	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.247055	-2.04%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0183	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.218882	-1.18%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2174	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.259331	-1.99%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0452	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.254929	-1.69%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0537	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.250627	-1.25%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0466	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.261514	-0.72%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0349	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.256712	-1.47%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0415	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.249419	-0.87%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0026	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.257661	-0.29%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1582	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246487	-0.17%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0361	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.251049	+0.14%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0119	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.256059	-0.09%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0325	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.260262	+0.64%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0007	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263042	+0.21%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0135	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.262282	-0.04%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0263	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.26687	-0.16%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0266	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.264816	-0.71%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0692	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.267562	-1.23%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0811	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.265414	-0.78%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0283	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.237965	-2.03%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0135	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.211271	-1.96%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.1011	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.197416	-1.98%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1179	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.198555	-2.00%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1228	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.200922	-2.04%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0934	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.198432	-2.01%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1321	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.202735	-2.06%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0818	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.204649	-2.08%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0434	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.211228	-2.16%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0599	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.216646	-2.24%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0888	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.232357	-2.45%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1447	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.230165	-2.39%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0871	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.232977	-2.44%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1139	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.229949	-2.40%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0786	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.22846	-2.41%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0774	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.220206	-2.26%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0032	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.21704	-2.23%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0280	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.211521	-2.16%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1126	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.209547	-2.13%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0991	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.198009	-1.98%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1579	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.200525	-1.99%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1329	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.203183	-1.99%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1479	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.204225	-2.00%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0884	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.203281	-1.99%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0852	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.196852	-1.92%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0969	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.204407	-1.96%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0713	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.210886	-2.05%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0212	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.211849	-2.06%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0171	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.21573	-2.07%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0353	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.21371	-2.01%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0053	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.218913	-2.05%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0172	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.215284	-2.05%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0491	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.216028	-2.07%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0445	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.216524	-2.07%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0010	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.216487	-2.09%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.215449	-2.07%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0051	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.215516	-2.04%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0064	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.208739	-1.95%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0479	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.206161	-1.97%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0216	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.21695	-2.05%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0035	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.215727	-2.03%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0109	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.214519	-2.00%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0334	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.213822	-2.01%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0202	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.217052	-2.05%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0216	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.217017	-2.02%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0426	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.218592	-2.02%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0140	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.211685	-1.95%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0432	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.208788	-1.93%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0441	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.208686	-1.93%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0267	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.203963	-1.89%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0450	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.199652	-1.84%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0736	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187154	-1.70%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.1064	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.198835	-1.81%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0682	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.199083	-1.78%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0301	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.201133	-1.79%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0176	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.201456	-1.78%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0231	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.208564	-1.81%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0260	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.215989	-1.87%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0474	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.21735	-1.87%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0815	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.216894	-1.86%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0223	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.213736	-1.82%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0066	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.213652	-1.81%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0110	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.210493	-1.78%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0171	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209773	-1.75%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0517	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.215857	-1.79%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0605	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.221474	-1.83%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0351	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.228911	-1.88%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0080	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.222276	-1.82%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0082	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218214	-1.75%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0004	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218372	-1.68%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0181	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.217075	-1.60%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0083	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.208183	-1.01%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0186	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.213953	-1.04%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0069	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.210376	-0.95%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0653	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.210959	-0.82%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0423	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209356	-0.12%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0163	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214305	-0.14%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0061	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.22522	-0.92%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0180	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.234094	-1.14%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0802	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.248807	-1.74%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0925	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.265711	-2.06%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1660	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.269939	-2.09%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1668	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.266534	-2.05%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1584	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.258223	-1.97%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1058	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.254398	-1.93%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0503	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.264685	-2.00%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0464	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.277974	-2.09%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0397	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.272683	-2.02%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0417	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.279234	-2.06%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0129	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.279255	-2.05%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0058	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.277626	-2.04%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0378	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.27622	-1.98%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0336	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.283068	-2.02%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0245	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.281827	-2.01%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0139	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.279395	-1.97%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0061	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.278021	-1.93%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0281	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.283675	-1.94%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0150	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.298227	-2.03%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0248	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.301327	-1.94%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0418	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.300999	-2.02%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0277	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.303619	-1.96%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0272	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.315598	-1.99%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0668	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.306308	-1.82%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0420	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.303044	-1.90%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0275	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.303476	-1.91%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0113	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.302259	-1.90%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0087	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.310083	-1.84%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0100	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.312363	-1.90%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0057	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.295431	-1.78%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0737	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.293134	-1.83%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0391	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.295691	-1.83%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0308	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.296923	-1.84%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0281	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.29119	-1.86%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0302	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.291491	-1.85%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0401	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.298769	-1.88%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0310	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.299278	-1.81%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0126	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.306309	-1.76%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0247	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.311042	-1.88%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0395	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.30713	-1.84%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0207	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.309171	-1.79%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0270	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.313701	-1.85%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0370	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.309426	-1.96%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0158	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.309989	-2.00%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0279	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.312627	-2.12%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0394	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.318373	-2.07%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0188	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.324095	-2.00%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0379	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.316059	-2.06%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0274	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.309819	-2.02%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0058	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.305064	-2.00%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0174	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.301114	-1.95%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0379	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.294762	-2.04%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0547	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.308332	-2.05%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0318	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.299419	-1.99%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0670	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.293901	-2.00%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0665	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.294708	-2.03%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0401	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.293236	-1.99%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0414	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.293115	-2.07%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0012	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.290249	-2.04%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0207	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.290379	-2.06%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0297	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.28012	-1.99%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0336	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.282354	-1.99%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0169	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.288168	-2.02%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0166	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.274034	-1.92%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0552	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.269741	-1.88%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0845	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.265956	-1.82%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0796	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.274991	-1.86%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0662	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.280552	-1.87%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0128	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.284438	-1.88%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0304	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.289074	-1.88%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0466	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.287732	-1.87%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0080	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.290883	-1.86%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0179	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.280387	-1.79%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0164	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.28312	-1.80%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0141	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.284299	-1.80%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0443	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.294023	-1.83%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0034	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.30889	-1.88%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0479	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.323081	-1.86%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0663	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.328985	-1.82%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0687	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.319985	-1.88%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0685	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.310184	-1.87%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0518	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.317053	-1.90%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0868	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.310556	-1.88%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0307	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.312687	-1.89%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0027	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.315795	-1.90%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0062	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.315108	-1.90%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0035	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.315151	-1.88%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0300	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.312954	-1.86%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0274	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.313944	-1.86%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0023	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.309013	-1.84%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0274	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.317744	-1.84%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0263	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.324386	-1.91%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0247	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.331074	-1.93%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0262	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.33885	-1.98%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0558	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.348278	-2.03%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0915	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.340445	-1.97%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0886	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.348349	-2.01%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1397	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.352582	-2.03%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1377	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.311111	-1.70%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0157	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.292618	-1.51%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0993	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.289425	-1.62%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1975	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.299045	-1.66%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1833	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.300112	-1.63%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1701	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.305916	-1.57%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1444	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.315794	-1.56%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1129	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.323913	-1.64%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0162	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.324009	-1.67%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0375	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.326753	-1.64%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0915	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.367584	-1.93%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1693	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.36398	-1.84%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1672	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356591	-1.52%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1462	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.355335	-1.46%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0950	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.373172	-1.75%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1095	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.377488	-1.80%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1217	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.388089	-1.87%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1386	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.393806	-1.79%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0556	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.399633	-1.88%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0556	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.357052	+0.24%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0228	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.361116	-0.98%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0844	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.360517	-1.20%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1513	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352585	-1.32%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2204	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.343575	-0.64%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2376	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.358033	-1.23%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2532	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.383051	-1.81%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2543	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.400814	-1.88%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2071	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.415691	-1.96%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0929	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.423141	-1.98%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0320	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.417713	-1.95%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0327	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.420214	-1.93%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0629	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.42525	-1.95%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0186	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.424731	-1.93%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0121	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.429222	-1.94%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0176	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.440143	-1.97%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0347	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.424407	-1.89%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0060	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.445294	-1.96%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0141	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.453736	-1.98%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0399	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.464562	-1.99%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0112	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.469918	-2.00%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0003	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.480667	-2.04%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0110	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.500006	-2.09%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.449723	-1.91%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0542	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.438789	-1.95%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0159	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.443727	-1.96%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0048	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.445093	-1.96%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0011	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.451491	-1.98%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0124	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.443817	-1.94%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0359	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.449724	-1.96%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0422	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.474708	-2.00%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0594	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.489201	-2.06%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0485	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.481268	-2.08%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0518	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.47651	-2.07%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0449	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.481903	-2.11%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0540	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.47314	-2.08%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0805	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.457031	-2.01%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0555	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.485275	-2.14%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0832	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.466319	-2.03%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0349	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.468544	-2.02%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0081	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.42354	-1.84%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0964	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.420466	-1.83%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1172	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.423414	-1.83%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1080	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.434497	-1.85%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0726	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.437527	-1.86%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1104	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.456617	-1.91%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0638	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.466781	-1.94%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0359	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.486035	-2.01%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1110	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.477552	-1.96%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.0964	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.444645	-1.80%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0571	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.454455	-1.82%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0478	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.446973	-1.81%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0040	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.442574	-1.76%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0171	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.466925	-1.84%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0121	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.467945	-1.86%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0876	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.47262	-1.86%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0635	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.485757	-1.91%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0382	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.504705	-1.96%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0032	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.51058	-1.98%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0414	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.51384	-2.00%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0656	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.523564	-2.03%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0614	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.515012	-1.98%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0923	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.494654	-1.89%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0411	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.500165	-1.93%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0168	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.509112	-1.96%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0326	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.527618	-2.02%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0346	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.491384	-1.84%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0071	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.53042	-2.03%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.536812	-2.06%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0035	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.571309	-2.24%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1000	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.58865	-2.36%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1556	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.602444	-2.50%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1949	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.608323	-2.65%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1881	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.589354	-2.44%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1293	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.603626	-2.64%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1698	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.522223	-1.62%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0534	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.450464	-0.30%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1645	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.450143	-0.28%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2136	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.467103	-1.10%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2966	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.502366	-1.57%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3130	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.494184	-1.36%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2657	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.505916	-1.57%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3300	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511795	-1.63%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2241	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51348	-1.54%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0362	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.557395	-1.85%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0088	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.585334	-1.95%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0507	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.608717	-2.04%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0166	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.610119	-2.04%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0254	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.628164	-2.11%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0309	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.627132	-2.10%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0757	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.630359	-2.10%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0446	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.603286	-1.95%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0334	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.630553	-2.07%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0196	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.56148	-1.77%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0783	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.55136	-1.84%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1311	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.597784	-1.97%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1626	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.616038	-2.01%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1636	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.612149	-2.01%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1510	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.617442	-2.04%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1113	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.597126	-1.95%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1765	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.591483	-1.91%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1548	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.675615	-2.08%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0666	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.725039	-2.27%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1117	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.664656	-2.08%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0311	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.668559	-2.10%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0454	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.649961	-2.04%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0032	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.603432	-1.91%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0272	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62029	-1.93%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0946	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.652705	-2.01%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0043	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.659483	-2.02%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0317	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.611207	-1.85%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0397	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.601677	-1.78%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0596	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.613823	-1.82%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0497	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.642316	-1.89%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0032	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.662974	-1.94%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0203	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.685192	-1.99%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0387	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.692155	-2.02%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0649	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.605531	-1.80%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0775	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.576103	-1.79%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1573	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.668583	-1.92%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1106	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.698567	-1.96%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0934	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.690373	-2.03%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0824	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.721505	-1.97%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0824	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.700197	-1.95%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1106	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.707166	-1.99%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0061	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.718027	-2.02%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0879	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.730146	-2.10%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0818	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.712536	-2.12%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0567	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.672214	-2.12%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0430	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.678141	-2.14%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0513	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.693868	-2.20%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1290	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.679812	-2.17%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1229	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.667994	-2.14%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0875	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.679962	-2.18%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0769	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.720593	-2.28%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0676	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.699546	-2.26%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0493	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.729802	-2.32%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0772	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.766005	-2.35%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0278	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.785412	-2.36%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0303	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.78285	-2.36%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0447	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.793807	-2.36%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0090	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.